Texas vs Texas A&M Odds, Spread & Prediction – Week 14 SEC Showdown

• #3 Texas is a 5.5-point road favorite over #20 Texas A&M in SEC action on Saturday, November 30
• The winner will advance to the SEC Championship Game versus Georgia
• Check out the latest Texas vs Texas A&M odds, spread and prediction, below

It’s Rivalry Week in college football, and no game has higher stakes than #3 Texas (10-1, 6-1 SEC) versus #20 Texas A&M (8-3, 5-2 SEC).

Saturday will mark the first meeting between the in-state rivals since 2011, and oddsmakers are bullish on the Longhorns in the latest College Football odds.

Texas vs Texas A&M Odds

Texas is currently favored by 5.5 points, in a contest with a total of 48.5. As of Friday, the spread tickets are fairly evenly split, with the Longhorns drawing 59% of the wagers but just 39% of the handle.

Total-wise, bettors are all-in on the over according to the College Football public betting trends. Over 48.5 is garnering 70% of the tickets, pushing some books to move the line a point higher.

Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm ET at Kyle Field in College Station, Texas, with ABC and ESPN+ providing the broadcast coverage.

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Odds as of November 29 at 2:00 pm ET. Be sure to check out the best sportsbook promotions before placing a bet on any Week 14 College Football matchup.

A Lot at Stake

The winner of this heavyweight tilt will book a spot in the SEC Championship Game next week versus Georgia. If Texas falls, they’ll likely still be one of the final 12 in the College Football Playoff odds, but the same cannot be said about A&M.

The Aggies only chance to keep their Playoff hopes alive is by beating the Longhorns. Should they do that and then topple the Bulldogs next week, they’d lock up the No. 2 seed and a First Round bye. Beat the Longhorns, but then lose to Georgia, and A&M will also be left on the outside looking in.

How Bad is Ewers Ankle Injury

One of the other big headlines heading into this matchup is the health of Texas starting QB Quinn Ewers. The Junior suffered an ankle injury in last week’s win over Kentucky, but managed to finish the game.

Ewers’ ankle is reportedly quite tender and he’s receiving extra treatment in hopes of playing Saturday. He took first team reps on Tuesday and Wednesday but was reportedly limited. If he does suit up, his mobility likely won’t be great, which is a major red flag for Longhorns backers.

So Apparently Quinn Isn’t Progressing As Much As We’d Like… pic.twitter.com/jJDTRzq4nb

— Barstool Longhorn (@UTBarstool) November 29, 2024

A healthy Ewers was pressured on 39% of his dropbacks in Texas’ only loss to the Bulldogs. He completed only 38% of his throws under duress for 87 yards. Texas A&M grades out 24th in pass rush productivity per Pro Football Focus, 19 spots higher than the Bulldogs.

The Blue Print for Beating Texas

The Aggies can absolutely replicate Georgia’s strategy and make Ewers’ life miserable. A&M has racked up 194 pressures through 11 games, with future Sunday rushers Nic Scourton and Shemar Stewart leading the way.

If they can dial up substantial pressure, they’ll disrupt the the Longhorns offense. That will not only keep the game close, but put the Aggies in line for a potential upset.

On the other side of the ball, you can forget trying to attack Texas’ number on pass defense. A&M would be wise to lean on the ground game, controlling the clock and limiting how many possessions the Longhorns get.

Marcel Reed Rushing Stats – Last 4 Games

Aggies QB Marcel Reed is a true dual-threat option, something Texas doesn’t have much experience dealing with this season. He’s rushed for 4 TD and over 200 yards over his last four starts, and his legs will be counted on for another big effort.

Texas vs Texas A&M Prediction

Without throwing too much shade at Texas, this is a program that’s beaten two teams who currently boast a winning record. They’ve faced one team currently ranked inside the top-25, and lost by two touchdowns.

The Longhorns have also been dreadful against the spread. They’re covered in only two SEC games this season. Yes, the advanced metrics love them, but that’s in large part due to their hyper-efficiency versus inferior competition. They won’t look nearly as good against a team in their own weight class.

A&M, meanwhile, beat a ranked Missouri team and an LSU squad just on the outside looking in. Those wins were by a combined 46 points, and both games were also at home in College Station.

• Texas vs Texas A&M Pick: Texas A&M +5.5 (-110)