A first-round bye is on the line as Penn State and Oregon battle for the Big Ten Championship. The winner of the Big Ten will be the one or two-seed in the CFP bracket. The loser will likely be the five-seed and host a home playoff game. Kickoff for this highly-anticipated matchup is scheduled for 8 pm ET at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.

With this being Oregon’s first season in the conference, these two programs have not played much. This will be just the fifth time these teams have played and the first since the Rose Bowl in 1995 where Penn State won 38-20. The Nittany Lions lead the all-time series 3-1.

See below for the latest Penn State vs Oregon odds and my picks and prediction for the 2024 Big Ten Championship.

Penn State vs Oregon Odds

The college football odds list #1 Oregon as a 3.5-point favorite over Penn State. This line has not moved since opening. The O/U is set at 50.5 but was 49.5 earlier in the week.

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Penn State Betting Trends

Penn State is playing with house money in this game. No one expected them to be here, but since Michigan upset Ohio State last week, the Nittany Lions now have a shot at the Big Ten title.

The 11-1 Nittany Lions have a 6-6 record against the spread, but they have covered in four of their last six games. The big story in this game for Penn State is whether or not James Franklin can finally win a big game. Franklin is 1-13  straight up in his career against top-five teams. He has also not done great as an underdog as he is 0-9 SU and 2-7 against the spread in those games.

Still, this Penn State team is talented and has a real shot in this game with their defense. The Nittany Lions are the fourth-ranked defense in college football. They are sixth in the country and second in the Big Ten in scoring defense, allowing just 14 points per game, and they are also fourth in the conference in total sacks. In order to be Big Ten champions, the Nittany Lion defense will need to come to play against Oregon’s explosive offense.

Lucas Oil Stadium is looking a bit different #B1GFootball pic.twitter.com/S3pNwy5dTg

— Big Ten Football (@B1Gfootball) December 6, 2024

Unlike some Penn State teams in the past, it is not all about the defense. They still are not flashy, but they average 5 yards per carry and quarterback Drew Allar completes 71% of his passes. Tight end Tyler Warren is as reliable as they come when it comes to catching the ball. They control the time of possession and do not turn the ball over. That method has led them to fourth in the Big Ten in scoring with 33.3 points per game.

Oregon Betting Trends

In their first year in the conference, the Oregon Ducks ran the table in the Big Ten to make it to the championship game. Oregon has been the #1 team in the country for five weeks now and just continue to rattle off wins. Their biggest victory of the season was a 32-31 thriller against Ohio State in October.

Oregon has covered the spread in six of their 12 games, but they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven. They are known for their explosive offense with Dillon Gabriel and Tez Johnson, but their defense has also been elite. The Ducks allow just 283.8 yards and 16.2 points per game. On offense, the Ducks average 35.2 points and have scored 35 points or more in five of their last six games.

Unlike James Franklin, Dan Lanning has won some big games, but he did lose to Washington twice last season, once in the Pac 12 Championship game. This game will be the toughest test Oregon has faced this season as they have to travel for this one.

Big Ten Championship Prediction

The Big Ten Championship has a chance to be the game of the weekend. Even though both teams are locked into a College Football Playoff spot, this game is still meaningful for both programs.

Penn State running back Nicholas Singleton is averaging over six yards per carry, and the weak spot of this Oregon defense is their ability to stop the run. They allow 112 rushing yards per game and are in the middle of the Big Ten in rush defense. The Nittany Lions have a good shot at controlling this game up front like they want to do.

They are also fifth in the Big Ten in rushing defense, so Oregon will have a difficult time moving the ball on the ground. This will open up their ability to generate pressure on Dillon Gabriel, and that is the recipe Penn State needs to follow in order to become Big Ten champions.

Oregon’s offense does have an explosiveness factor that Penn State’s offense does not, so this game could potentially open up with a big play or two. However, I am trusting this Penn State defense. Outside of Ohio State, the Ducks have not played many teams of Penn State’s caliber. They also have to travel all the way from Eugene to Indianapolis.

It is a little worrisome backing James Franklin in this spot, but I am betting on the team playing with house money getting over a field goal with a travel advantage. Points should be at a premium with these two defenses, so I also like getting points with the better run game. Give me Penn State to cover the spread on Saturday.

Penn State vs Oregon Pick: Penn State +3.5 (-110)

The post Penn State vs Oregon Prediction, Pick & Odds – Big Ten Championship appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

There are just five weeks left in the regular season. NFL Week 14 is also the last week of the season with byes then every team will be in action from here on out. After a couple of weeks of struggling against the spread, underdogs bounced back a little bit last week and went 9-7 ATS overall. In my best bets for Week 14, there are two underdogs and one favorite that I am targeting to cover the spread.

See below for all my NFL ATS picks for Week 14.

NFL Week 14 Picks Against the Spread

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Odds as of Friday, December 6 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Make sure you claim the best DraftKings promo code before locking in your NFL Week 14 bets.

Week 14 ATS Pick #1: Browns +6.5 vs Steelers

If you have been keeping up with this article every week, you know how much I love underdogs in AFC North matchups. Three weeks ago, I bet on the Steelers vs. the Ravens and won, and two weeks ago, I bet on the Browns on Thursday Night Football vs. the Steelers. Last week, Steelers +3 was one of my best bets against the Bengals, and they won outright. I also bet on the Browns vs the Ravens earlier in the year to cover as big favorites. Since 2018, underdogs in AFC North matchups are 50-31 (61.73%) against the spread, so if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.

Underdogs in AFC North matchups are now 50-31 (61.73%) against the spread since 2018

Steelers +3 pic.twitter.com/L1sZIKWJVU

— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) December 1, 2024

Now the Browns have not won in Pittsburgh since 2003, but we do not need them to win, we just need them to keep this game close. Kevin Stefanski has also been good on short rest. Cleveland lost and failed to cover the spread last week in miserable fashion on Monday Night Football, but they still played well and had a real shot of winning that game. Under Stefanski, the Browns are 9-2 straight up and 8-3 against the spread when playing on short rest.

These two teams know each other very well, so I am going to bet on the Browns to keep this game closer than the spread suggests. If  Jameis Winston can limit the pick sixes and Cleveland’s defense can make a few plays, this will be yet another close AFC North battle. I will take the Browns plus the points on Sunday.

• Pick: Browns +6.5 (-110)

Week 14 ATS Pick #2: Dolphins -5.5 vs Jets

The Jets have been atrocious down the stretch. After beating the Texans on Halloween, they have lost (and failed to cover) in three straight games. New York is just 3-9 against the spread this season and 1-8 ATS over their last nine games.

Since Tua Tagovailoa returned from injury, the Dolphins have looked good. They are 4-2 against the spread in those six games, and the offense has averaged 27 points per game. I am not taking their Thanksgiving game into much consideration as it is well-known that the Dolphins do not play well in the cold. For this game, they are back in sunny Miami to play a division opponent that they know well. Miami has dominated this series of late winning seven of the last eight matchups.

We have also seen the Dolphins beat up on bad teams. In his career, Tua is 22-8 straight up and 19-11 against the spread when playing teams below .500. He is also 14-7 ATS against these teams at home. The once-great Jets defense has given up at least 26 points to offenses not as good as Miami’s. I will take the Dolphins to cover the spread at home on extended rest.

• Pick: Dolphins -5.5 (-112)

Week 14 ATS Pick #3: Rams +3.5 vs Bills

I am taking a deep breath and trusting the situation for this bet. The Bills have won seven in a row and just beat the Chiefs and 49ers in their last two games. They are playing great football right now and are admittingly terrifying to bet against, but the Rams offer some value in this spot.

The NFL odds have the Rams as 3.5-point home underdogs to the Bills on Sunday. Buffalo will be a popular bet on Sunday, and the NFL betting splits show 80% of the betting handle is on the Bills to cover the spread at the time of publishing.

NFL teams receiving the most bets at @DKSportsbook

1. Bills -3.5
2. Chargers +4
3. Bears +3.5
4. Dolphins -5.5
5. Eagles -13 pic.twitter.com/rq0NjZPLX4

— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) December 6, 2024

As mentioned earlier, the Bills just played the Chiefs and 49ers to clinch their division. Next week, Buffalo plays the Lions in what could potentially be the game of the year. This is a combination of a letdown and a look-ahead spot for the Bills. The Rams on the other hand are 6-6 and battling for a playoff spot in a tight NFC West race. I like getting over a field goal at home with a talented Rams team that has something to play for.

• Pick: Rams +3.5 (-112)

The post NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 14 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Not only is this the last college football game of the 2024 regular season, but this is the last time this year that we can partake in one of the best traditions in all of gambling: betting on the Hawaii game late-night. So even though this is a game between teams that are 5-6 and 4-7, we need to make it count. Kickoff in this one is scheduled for 11 pm ET.

New Mexico needs this win to become bowl-eligible and has owned this head-to-head matchup as of late. Hawaii leads the all-time series 16-11, but the Lobos have won eight of their last ten meetings.

New Mexico vs Hawaii Odds

The college football odds list New Mexico as a 3.5-point favorite at Hawaii to round out the regular season. The Lobos opened as 2-point favorites but have since been bet up to 3 and 3.5. The total has also moved slightly since last week. The O/U opened at 61 and is now 62 as we get closer to kickoff.

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New Mexico Betting Trends

New Mexico is 5-6 straight up and 7-4 against the spread this season. The Lobos have covered the spread in five of their last seven games. New Mexico is looking for their third straight victory to become bowl-eligible, which would be an impressive feat after going 4-8 last year.

As an 11.5-point underdog in their last game, the Lobos pulled off the outright upset over Washington State. They got the week off last week, so this New Mexico team that has been playing well will be well-rested before their trip out west.

Devon Dampier has now become the only QB in Lobo football history to rush for 1,000 yards in a season. pic.twitter.com/yMUkkYyGmD

— Lobo Football History (@LoboFBHistory) November 17, 2024

Quarterback Devon Dampier and the Lobos offense are having a great season. Dampier has thrown for 2,592 yards and 12 touchdowns while rushing for over 1,000 yards with 16 touchdowns on the ground. They are fourth in the country in total offense with 484.5 yards per game. The problem for New Mexico this season has been the defense. They are 131st in the nation and allow 38 points per game.

Hawaii Betting Trends

Hawaii is 4-7 this season, but they are 6-5 against the spread and have covered in three of their last four. Despite being an under team to start the year, the over has hit in three of Hawaii’s last four games.

Like New Mexico, the Rainbow Warriors are also coming off a bye. Before their bye week, they dropped two in a row. Quarterback Brayden Schager had some hype heading into this season, but has not lived up to it. He’s had a fine season with over 2,500 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions, but the hopes that the offense would get to the next level with the run-and-shoot scheme just has not happened. It has not helped that the run game has been absent and Schager has been sacked 43 times this year. Schager is also questionable in this game.

Hawaii’s defense has come to play at times this season and played tough vs Boise State earlier in the year, but they were just gashed by Utah State in their last outing. The latter is more representative of the current state of Hawaii’s defense. They have been outgained in four of their last six games and have struggled mightily compared to how they played earlier in the year.

New Mexico vs Hawaii Prediction

Not only is New Mexico the better team, but they have more to play for. They are looking to make their first bowl game since 2016 and can accomplish that feat with a win.

Hawaii’s defense was stout early in the year but gave up 55 points to Utah State in their last game, so Dampier and co. should have no trouble moving the ball up and down the field after a bye. New Mexico’s defense is worrisome, but Hawaii’s offense has not been anything special plus their starting quarterback is questionable.

The Lobos should be able to score plenty of points to win this game and cover the spread. I’ll back the more motivated team on the road, and the Lobos should be going bowling in Bronco Mendenhall’s first season at New Mexico.

• New Mexico vs Hawaii Pick: New Mexico -3.5 (-110)

The post New Mexico vs Hawaii Prediction, Odds & Line – Late-Night College Football appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Rivalry Week is here, and one of the biggest games of the weekend takes place at Clemson. The #12 Tigers host #15 South Carolina on Saturday, November 30. The Palmetto Bowl is scheduled to kick off at noon ET.

Clemson has dominated this rivalry of late as they have won eight of the last nine meetings. South Carolina’s last win in this series was in 2022 when the Gamecocks won at Clemson 31-30.

While neither team is a lock to make the CFP bracket with a win, both programs are looking to make their case that they belong. The winner of this game would need some help and more chaos to ensue to make the College Football Playoff, but both teams are still alive.

Will South Carolina beat Clemson on the road again or will the Tigers continue their domination over the Gamecocks? Keep reading for my picks and prediction for one of, if not the biggest Palmetto Bowl in history.

South Carolina vs Clemson Odds

The college football odds list Clemson as a three-point favorite over South Carolina on Saturday. South Carolina opened at +4.5 before being bet down to a field goal. The O/U is set at 49.5 and has not moved since the line opened last week.

Odds as of Friday, November 29 at BetMGM. Claim the best BetMGM promo code before placing your CFB Week 14 bets.

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South Carolina Betting Trends

South Carolina enters Rivalry Week as one of the hottest teams in college football. They have won five in a row, including big wins over Texas A&M and Missouri, and have covered the spread in five of their last six games. The Gamecocks are one of the best ATS teams in the country this season with an 8-3 record.

The Gamecocks can score. Led by quarterback LaNorris Sellers, they average over 400 yards per game and have scored at least 28 points in their last five games. In the last two games, Sellers has 659 passing yards, nine total touchdowns, and two interceptions. While their passing attack has improved of late, South Carolina has found more success on the ground. The Gamecocks are fourth in the SEC in rushing yards with 181.8 per game.

Eyes forward pic.twitter.com/conWzrFuXe

— Gamecock Football (@GamecockFB) November 27, 2024

The offense has been great, but the defense is what has elevated this South Carolina team. They have allowed just 16 points per game this season and are third in the country in sacks. They will look to cause havoc against Clemson to round out the regular season.

Clemson Betting Trends

The Tigers are 9-2 straight up and 5-6 against the spread this season. Clemson has covered the spread just once in their last five games.

Clemson’s offense has been good with quarterback Cade Klubnik and running back Phil Mafah, but the defense has been great. Quarterbacks have struggled against the Tigers’ opportunistic defense. They have forced seven turnovers in the last three games and are third in the ACC in scoring defense.

On offense, Clemson is the epitome of a balanced attack. They rank 23rd in passing offense and 26th in rushing offense. They have had their way with the majority of the ACC opponents they have faced. Despite the balanced attack, the under has hit in three of Clemson’s last four games.

South Carolina vs Clemson Prediction

Both teams essentially had a bye week last week to prepare for this game as South Carolina beat Wofford 56-12 and Clemson beat The Citadel 51-14. This should be an exciting game, but I trust South Carolina much more in this spot.

Clemson’s offense has been productive, but they have not seen a defense as good as South Carolina’s since they played Georgia in their opener. Clemson’s whole schedule outside of Week 1 is worth questioning as well. They played an ACC schedule and avoided SMU and Miami. The best ACC team that they played was Louisville and they lost to them at home. I expect South Carolina’s front seven to cause fits for Clemson’s offense.

Clemson’s defense has been great against ACC competition, but they have been vulnerable on the ground. They are 10th in their conference in rushing yards allowed with 139.6 per game. The combination of Sellers and running back Raheim Sanders will be too much for Clemson.

South Carolina is a really good, complete team that was just a couple of plays away from beating LSU and Alabama which would have made them 10-1 heading into this game. I believe the wrong team is favored in the Palmetto Bowl this year, so I like getting three points with South Carolina on Saturday.

South Carolina vs Clemson Pick: South Carolina +3 (-110)

The post South Carolina vs Clemson Prediction, Pick & Odds – CFB Week 14 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Even with the Thanksgiving and Black Friday games this week, there are still 12 NFL games on Sunday and Monday in Week 13. There are some pivotal matchups including Steelers vs Bengals, Eagles vs Ravens, and 49ers vs Bills. In my NFL Week 13 best bets, I am targeting Sunday’s AFC North battle as well as two other intriguing games.

See below for all my NFL picks against the spread for Week 13.

NFL Week 13 Picks Against the Spread

Odds as of Friday, November 29 at bet365. Make sure you claim the best bet365 bonus code before locking in your NFL Week 13 bets.

Week 13 ATS Pick #1: Falcons +1 vs Chargers

These are two teams trending in different directions, but the NFL odds suggest that it should be a close game. The Chargers lost last week to the Ravens on Monday Night Football, but before that, they won five of their last six games. The Falcons on the other hand limped into their bye week with two straight losses.

Even though the last time we watched the Falcons play, they got lit up by the Broncos, their bye week was much needed. They were able to reset and get healthier, so they will be ready to go in this game. So while it is a good spot for the Falcons, it is a terrible situation for the Chargers. They just played in back-to-back primetime games and have the Chiefs on deck. To make matters worse, on a short week, they have to travel all the way from Los Angeles to Atlanta and play in the early window on Sunday.

With Kirk Cousins under center, the Falcons offense has looked great. While the Chargers defense has been good all year, over the past two weeks they have been extremely vulnerable to the pass. Atlanta gets the win at home.

• Pick: Falcons +1 (-110)

Week 13 ATS Pick #2: Steelers +3 vs Bengals

In Week 13, we have another AFC North matchup. Since 2018, underdogs in AFC North matchups are 49-31 (61.25%) against the spread. The Steelers were on the wrong side of that trend last Thursday night vs the Browns, but I like for Pittsburgh to get back on track vs the Bengals on Sunday. Mike Tomlin himself is great against the spread as an underdog as well. Tomlin is 61-31-3 (65.8%) ATS as a head coach.

Underdogs in AFC North matchups are now 49-31 (61.25%) against the spread since 2018 https://t.co/3PeCr7m9tH

— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) November 22, 2024

Pittsburgh’s defense is no joke. They held the Ravens to 16 points two weeks ago and now play another familiar foe. The Bengals offense has been tremendous through the air, so Pittsburgh will be tested, but they have the talent to limit Burrow and co.

While I trust the Steelers defense, it is Cincinnati’s defense that I am truly betting against. They have not been able to stop anyone, so even though Russell Wilson and the Pittsburgh offense have slowed over the last couple of weeks, they should have no issue scoring. The Bengals are off the bye week which should help them, but the Steelers last played on Thursday Night Football, so they are well rested as well coming off the mini-bye. This should be a typical AFC North showdown that comes down to the wire, so I will gladly bet the Steelers getting points.

• Pick: Steelers +3 (-110)

Week 13 ATS Pick #3: Broncos -5.5 vs Browns

The Broncos play the Browns on Monday Night Football in Week 13. Denver has won two in a row and is playing good football right now. Bo Nix’s NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds have improved greatly over the last two weeks. The Broncos are tied with the Lions for the best against-the-spread record in the NFL right now at 9-3. As a favorite, they are 5-0 ATS.

Cleveland got a huge win last Thursday night vs the Steelers, but I am not putting much stock into that win. It was a lot of fun to watch two AFC North teams play in the snow, and even though they won, the Browns were outgained in that game. Denver’s defense is one of the top units in the NFL, and I do not see the Browns having a lot of success moving the ball.

On the other side of the ball, the Browns’ once top-tier defense has been as inconsistent as possible this season. I BOlieve in Denver’s offense and think they make a statement against a subpar Cleveland team on Monday Night Football.

• Pick: Broncos -5.5 (-110)

The post NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 13 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Army has been one of the best stories in college football this season, and now they can add another chapter to that story when they face Notre Dame in CFB Week 13. The Black Knights are 9-0 and are ranked 19th in the country. If they can pull out a win here as an underdog, it would go a long way for their chances to reach the CFP bracket.

Notre Dame owns this series, but the two programs have not played since 2016. The Fighting Irish are 39-8-4 against Army all time and have won the last 15 matchups.

Kickoff for this Top 25 matchup is scheduled for 7:00 pm ET and will be played at Yankee Stadium. Keep reading for the latest Army vs Navy odds and predictions.

Notre Dame vs Army Odds

The college football odds have Notre Dame listed as a 14-point favorite over Army. With -650 odds on the moneyline, sportsbooks are giving the Fighting Irish a win probability of 86.67%. The total is set at 45.5. The Notre Dame vs Army lines have not moved much since opening. The spread opened at Notre Dame -14.5 and moved to -15.5 for a little bit before returning to the 14 it is now. The O/U opened at 44.5 and has been bet up one point.

Odds as of Saturday, November 23 at ESPN BET. Claim the best ESPN BET promo code before locking in your CFB Week 13 bets.

Notre Dame Betting Trends

Notre Dame is 9-1 on the season and an impressive 7-2-1 against the spread. The Fighting Irish have covered the spread in five straight games heading into this game. Outside of a loss to Northern Illinois, Notre Dame has looked unstoppable this season. They have won eight in a row and have beaten their last five opponents by 33 points per game.

The addition of Riley Leonard has been great for Notre Dame this season, especially on the ground. Their rushing attack averages 216.7 yards per game, which is good for eleventh in the country. We all know the Fighting Irish want to run the ball, so having a quarterback who can tuck it and run has elevated the offense. On the season, Leonard has been efficient with 1,789 yards passing, 12 passing touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. He leads the team in rushing touchdowns with 13 and is also second on the team in rushing with 641 yards. Running back Jeremiyah Love has the most rushing yards with 720 and is averaging 6.3 yards per carry. Love has 12 rushing touchdowns this season.

Notre Dame’s defense has been ELITE this season. #GoIrish pic.twitter.com/Jwa2aXP90M

— NBC Sports (@NBCSports) November 21, 2024

The offense has looked great, but the defense has been extremely impressive. They have allowed their opponent to score more than 16 points in only two of their ten games. They enter Week 13 ranked second in defensive success rate. They also lead the nation in takeaways with 25. Simply put, teams have had a difficult time moving the ball against Notre Dame.

Army Betting Trends

Army is undefeated and is an unbelievable 7-1-1 against the spread this season. After covering the spread in six straight games to start the year, the Black Knights failed to cover two in a row. They got back on track last week by covering the spread vs Air Force.

Much like Notre Dame, Army wants to run the ball. They are first in the country in rushing yards per game by a large margin. The Black Knights run for 334.9 yards per game, and for context, the team that ranks second in rushing yards per game is averaging 262.8. The offense runs through quarterback Bryson Daily, who leads the team in both passing and rushing yards. On the ground, Daily has over 1,000 yards and 21 touchdowns. Their triple-option attack has led them to second in the country in offensive success rate.

The Black Knights are as disciplined as any team in college football. They rarely commit penalties or turnovers, and even though they do not throw the ball much, they are still first in the country in passing efficiency. Army has only turned the ball over three times this season and is second in the nation in time of possession. That is a winning combination that is tough to stop.

Notre Dame vs Army Prediction

Army has been a fun team to watch (and bet on) this season, but unfortunately, this will be where their winning streak ends. Both teams want to run the ball and have done it well this year, but I trust Notre Dame’s playmakers over Army’s. I feel like we watched this game a few weeks ago when Notre Dame played Navy. The spread in that game was similar to this one, and while the Black Knights are a better team and do not turn the ball over as much, I believe we could see a similar outcome as that 51-14 rout.

Notre Dame’s defense is just too strong and talented. Army’s best chance to keep this game close is to control the time of possession, and I am not sure they will be able to do that against a team that has already locked down a good triple-option team this season. I will take Notre Dame to cover the spread.

Army vs Notre Dame Pick: Notre Dame -14 (-115)

The post Army vs Notre Dame Odds, Prediction & Pick – College Football Week 13 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Who would have thought that these two teams would be fighting for a spot in the Big 12 Championship in Week 13? Both BYU and Arizona State were projected to finish near the bottom of the conference over the summer, but now BYU is 9-1 and Arizona State is 8-2. BYU is currently in first place in the Big 12, while Arizona State is in third.

Arizona State has owned this series 20-8, but BYU has won the last three meetings. The latest matchup between these two programs was in 2021 when BYU won 27-17 in Provo. In what might be the biggest game in this series’s history, who will cover the spread on Saturday?

BYU vs Arizona State Odds

Despite being ranked lower, the college football odds have the Sun Devils listed as 3-point favorites at home. Since the lines opened, the odds have not changed much. The spread moved slightly from BYU +3.5 to BYU +3, while the O/U has stayed put at 48.5.

Odds as of Friday, November 22 at ESPN BET. Be sure to claim the best ESPN BET promo code before locking in your BYU vs Arizona State bets.

BYU Looking to Bounce Back

BYU suffered its first loss of the season last week against Kansas. Despite the 17-13 loss at home, they still control their own destiny and will be in the Big 12 Championship if they win their final two games.

The Cougars are 7-3 against the spread this season but have only covered once over the last three games. This is the fifth time that BYU is an underdog this season, and they are 4-0 ATS in those games.

BYU’s offense has slowed over the last two games, but they averaged 37 points per game in their six games prior. Heading into this game, they are still ranked 38th in the country in scoring offense. BYU is led by Quarterback Jake Retzlaff, who has thrown for 19 touchdowns and eight interceptions while adding another four touchdowns on the ground.

On the defensive side of the ball, BYU has been very opportunistic. The Cougars have forced 22 takeaways on the season and are strong against the run. Their rush defense will need to come to play if BYU wants to win this game on the road.

Arizona State Still Has Big 12 Championship Hopes

While Arizona State does not control their own destiny like BYU and Colorado, the Sun Devils are right there when it comes to their chances of making the conference championship game. They are currently in third place in the conference with an 8-2 record (5-2 in the Big 12). This game is massive for their title game hopes. If Arizona State wins then beats Arizona next week, and Iowa State loses to Utah, they should be in.

The Sun Devils are 5-0 straight up at home this season and are an impressive 8-2 against the spread. When favored by at least three points, they are 3-0 ATS.

Arizona State wants to run the ball. They do not shy away from their game plan, and yet they have executed it extremely well this season. Running back Cam Skattebo is averaging over five yards per carry and has over 1,000 rushing yards on the season. He has also started to become more involved in the passing game and has averaged 59.75 receiving yards over his last four games. On top of that, Skattebo has 13 total touchdowns on the year.

MOVE THE CHAINS pic.twitter.com/87N9gXzTXr

— Sun Devil Football (@ASUFootball) November 17, 2024

While the whole season has been a surprise for Arizona State, their defense has especially impressed. They are a top 50 unit and have allowed just 122 rushing yards per game, which is good for third in the Big 12.

BYU vs Arizona State Prediction

This game should be an exciting one. Both of these teams are physical and battle-tested, and both are eyeing the Big 12 Championship. The winner there has a great shot at making the CFP bracket.

BYU’s defense has been strong, and while I believe they will be able to stop (or at least slow down) Skattebo early, he should be able to get going late in this game after wearing down their defense. BYU can put up points, but they have struggled to convert on third downs, which makes me like Arizona State in this matchup. The Sun Devils are not flashy on offense, but they have long, sustained drives, so I believe they will control this game.

Arizona State is at home, and their fans will be loud with this being the biggest game the program has played in quite some time. I trust Arizona’s defense to slow down BYU’s offense and for the ground game to take over in this one. I will take Arizona State to cover the spread on Saturday.

BYU vs Arizona State Pick: Arizona State -3 (-120)

The post BYU vs Arizona State Prediction, Pick & Line – CFB Week 13 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Six teams are on the bye in Week 12, so Sunday and Monday will feature twelve games in total. Double-digit spreads have been few and far between this season, but there are two this weekend. Favorites of ten points or higher are 5-0 against the spread this year, so the Commanders (-10.5) and Chiefs (-10.5) could be worth a look this week.

Keep reading for my NFL Week 12 picks against the spread for every game, plus my best bets for Sunday.

NFL Week 12 Picks Against the Spread

Odds as of Friday, November 22 at ESPN BET. Be sure to claim the best ESPN BET promo code before placing your NFL Week 12 bets.

Week 12 ATS Pick #1: Packers -3 vs 49ers

This 49ers team is spiraling. It may have just been one loss, but it was gut-wrenching to watch Geno Smith run for a touchdown late in the fourth quarter to upset San Francisco last week. Once one of the Super Bowl favorites, San Francisco is not even in the NFL playoff bracket heading into Week 12. At 5-5, they are fourth in the NFC West standings, and the NFL odds have the 49ers listed as 3-point underdogs to the Packers on Sunday.

The 49ers vs Packers matchup under Kyle Shanahan is mixed. While Shanahan is 3-0 straight up against Green Bay in the playoffs, he is just 1-3 against them in the regular season.

San Francisco heads into this game banged up. Purdy is dealing with shoulder soreness, and Nick Bosa is questionable to play. Even if they both play, they will not be 100% which does not bode well for them going against Green Bay. The Packers are fourth in the league in takeaways, and Jordan Love has the offense moving, even if they did get a little lucky last week vs the Bears.

The temperature is supposed to be cold in Green Bay, so I do not expect the 49ers’ 1-3 road ATS record to improve this weekend. I’ll take the Packers to win and cover the spread.

• Pick: Packers -3 (-115)

Week 12 ATS Pick #2: Cardinals +1 vs Seahawks

On the other side of that 49ers vs Seahawks matchup last week, Seattle got a huge win. It was a hard-fought, emotional battle that was won late in the game, which can be draining for a team. The Cardinals are coming off a bye, so they have had extra time to rest and prepare for this game.

Despite the game being in Seattle, Geno Smith is just 1-5 against the spread at home this season. The Cardinals have been a surprise team. They are the current favorites to win the division, and Kyler Murray has played extremely well and has been efficient. James Conner has also been tough to bring down, so the offense is humming heading into this game.

Kyler Murray has his 2nd rushing TD

: #NYJvsAZ on CBS/Paramount+
: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/p3zE6OhoJ2

— NFL (@NFL) November 10, 2024

Seattle’s rushing defense is 27th in the league, so that bodes well for the Cardinals, who have the fifth-best rushing attack in the NFL. The Cardinals have won four in a row, and even though their last two games were against the Bears and Jets, the defense only allowed 15 points combined in those games. I like Arizona off a bye to go into Seattle and win the game.

• Pick: Cardinals +1 (-115)

Week 12 ATS Pick #3: Eagles -3 vs Rams

The Eagles and Rams play on Sunday Night Football in Week 12. Philadelphia has won their last three games against the Rams and are 4-1 against the spread on the road this season. We already know that there will be a lot of Eagles fans present at SoFi Stadium, so I feel good laying the points with a road favorite in this one.

Philadelphia has won six games in a row, and their rushing attack has been incredible behind Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts. The Rams are middle-of-the-pack when it comes to rushing defense and will have to sell out to stop the run. This will allow the Eagles to take advantage of LA’s vulnerable passing defense. When AJ Brown plays, Philadelphia’s offense is much better, and he should be in store for a big game on Sunday night.

Even though the Rams are getting healthier and have won four of their last five games, Philadelphia’s defense presents a major threat. They allow the least passing yards per attempt in the NFL this season and have a strong front seven. With the Rams offensive line having some injuries, the Eagles should feast on defense. I expect the Eagles to control this game and win on the road.

• Pick: Eagles -3 (-105)

The post NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 12 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Just a couple of weeks ago, this game would have looked a lot different. Clemson is still in the running to win the ACC as they are in second place, but they suffered a tough loss at home to Louisville two weeks ago. Then Pitt was 7-0 and the surprise team in the conference before dropping two in a row.

While it is not the ACC powerhouse matchup it would have been two weeks ago, this game is still important for both programs. Clemson wants to get to the ACC Championship game and make it into the CFP bracket, while Pitt is trying to get back to their winning ways.

Clemson vs Pitt Odds

The college football odds have the Clemson Tigers listed as 11.5-point road favorites. The line opened at Clemson -9 and has since moved to where it is now. The total has also moved considerably as the O/U was 56.5 before being bet down to 52.5.

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Clemson Betting Trends

Clemson heads into this game 7-2 straight up and 5-4 against the spread. The Tigers are currently sitting in second place in the ACC with a 6-1 record in conference play.

After a tough outing in Week 1 vs Georgia, the Tigers have seemed to figure it out. They won seven of their next eight and the offense has settled in behind quarterback Cade Klubnik and running back Phil Mafah. Klubnik has 24 passing touchdowns on the season with just four interceptions. A big reason for Klubnik’s success has been Mafah and the rushing attack. Mafah has rushed for over 100 yards in four of his last five games and is just under 1,000 yards on the campaign. The ground game has done a great job of setting up the play-action attack for Klubnik and Co.

Phil Mafah went for 128 yards on 26 carries in the win against Virginia Tech, his sixth 100+ yard rushing game of the season.

[ ACC Network] pic.twitter.com/YMJALcGuCG

— ClemsonSportsNetwork (@ClemsonSportNet) November 10, 2024

Clemson is averaging 37.7 points per game, which is good for third in the ACC. They are also second in the conference in rushing yards per game, averaging just under 200.

The Tigers defense has been stout as well. Last week was a big win for Clemson. They bounced back nicely on the road against Virginia Tech, and the defense was a key player in that. The Tigers shut out Virginia Tech in three quarters, allowed just 40 rushing yards, and gave up under 200 yards passing. In conference play, specifically, the Clemson defense has stepped up. They average 6.71 tackles for loss in ACC games and are great at getting off the field. They are 12th in the country in third-down conversion rate.

Pitt Betting Trends

Pitt got off to an incredible 7-0 start but got blown out by ACC leader SMU two weeks ago. They followed that up with a tough loss to Virginia at home and are now in desperate need of a win heading into this game, especially with two road games on deck. The Panthers travel to Louisville next week and finish up their regular season at Boston College.

On the season, Pitt is 6-3 against the spread, but they have covered just once in their last four games. The Panthers are currently in fifth place in the ACC standings.

Pitt’s offense has slowed down over the last few weeks. Even in games where it looks like they scored a lot, the defense was the reason for the majority of the points. They have had a difficult time converting on third downs and thus have not been able to control the clock. Pitt has converted just 24% of their third-down attempts over their last four games. To make matters even worse, starting quarterback Eli Holstein is a game-time decision.

A bright spot for Pitt is their defense. They average over 8 tackles for loss in ACC play and rank 18th in the country in EPA/rush. The Panthers will need to shut down Clemson’s rushing game if they want to keep this pivotal matchup close.

Clemson vs Pitt Prediction

This Pitt team has completely fallen off over the past couple of weeks, and I believe that downfall will continue on Saturday vs Clemson. Last week’s win was very telling for this Clemson team and showed that they could bounce back and still have their eyes on the ACC Championship.

Pitt’s defense has been good and will cause some fits for Clemson’s offense, but on the other side of the ball, I do not see how the Panthers score. Clemson has outgained every single opponent they have played outside of their opening game vs Georgia.

Pitt will struggle to stay on the field with Clemsons’ defense causing havoc on first and second down. Then, Pitt has struggled to convert on third downs, which will allow Clemson to have the ball and control the time of possession and the game. Even if it starts off close, Clemson runs away with this one and moves to 8-2.

Clemson vs Pitt Pick: Clemson -11.5 (-110)

The post Clemson vs Pitt Prediction, Odds & Spread for ACC Showdown 2024 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Week 11 in the NFL is shaping up to be a great one. Thursday Night Football featured a divisional matchup between the Commanders and Eagles, and there are three more divisional games on Sunday. The Ravens travel to Pittsburgh for an AFC North battle, the Bears host the Packers, and the Seahawks face the 49ers.

Only one Week 11 matchup (Jaguars vs Lions) has a double-digit spread. On top of all that, we get another Chiefs vs Bills showdown, which has given us some instant classics over the past few seasons. That is certainly the game of the week and has major implications for the NFL playoff bracket.

I am looking at three underdogs on Sunday in my NFL Week 11 best bets. See below for all my NFL picks this weekend.

NFL Week 11 Picks Against the Spread

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Week 11 ATS Pick #1: Steelers +3 vs Ravens

Underdogs in AFC North matchups always get a look for me, especially when it is between the Ravens and Steelers. The underdog in this series is 28-10-3 (74%) against the spread over the last 20 years, and Mike Tomlin as an underdog is 62-35-4 (63.9%) against the spread as a head coach. The latest NFL odds have the Steelers as three-point home underdogs, and these games are always close and hard-fought, so I like getting a field goal here for Pittsburgh at home.

Tomlin made the tough decision of benching Justin Fields with a 4-2 record to go with Russell Wilson. That decision has paid off as the Steelers have gone 3-0 since making the switch, and the offense has moved the ball much better. The Steelers are averaging over 30 points per game over their last three.

The Ravens are better than those three teams the Steelers have faced, but their secondary is banged up and has struggled all season. This will be a close game, but Russell Wilson gives Pittsburgh’s offense a great chance to keep up with Lamar Jackson and Baltimore’s high-powered offense. I’ll take the Steelers to cover the spread.

• Pick: Steelers +3 (+100)

Week 11 ATS Pick #2: Browns +1 vs Saints

The Saints got a huge win over the Falcons last week under their interim head coach, Darren Rizzi. Even though they are still at home, this is a letdown spot for New Orleans. They got the interim head coach bump in Week 10, but they should come back down to earth against Cleveland and their defense.

New Orleans’s receiving corps is still depleted, and the Browns are off a bye week. The Saints have given up the second most rushing yards per carry this season with 5.2, and Nick Chubb has been getting healthier and healthier each week. Chubb has not been efficient since his return, but he went up against tough run defenses in the Bengals, Ravens, and Chargers.

Cleveland will be able to control this game, and even though their defense has been inconsistent, I trust them a lot more than I do the Saints in this spot. The Browns go into New Orleans and get the win.

• Pick: Browns +1 (-115)

Week 11 ATS Pick #3: Chiefs +2.5 vs Bills

If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. Similar to my Steelers pick, seeing Patrick Mahomes as an underdog is as close to an auto-bet as you can get. Mahomes is 11-3 straight up and 12-1-1 against the spread as an underdog in his career. His only ATS loss did come against the Bills in the 2022 regular season, so Buffalo could do it again, this time at home.

Patrick Mahomes against the spread as an underdog

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W
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Mahomes is 12-1-1 ATS @Chiefs +2.5 at Bills pic.twitter.com/qbP5bdvSHg

— John Ewing (@johnewing) November 13, 2024

Even before Mahomes, the Chiefs have done well as dogs. Since 2016, Kansas City has gone 18-5-1 against the spread as underdogs. This season, the Chiefs just keep finding ways to win. Last week was the perfect example of that as they beat the Broncos by blocking a last-second field goal.

Josh Allen and the Bills have looked unstoppable at times this season and are riding a five-game winning streak. They are back at home this game, so they will have Bills Mafia on their side, but the Chiefs went into Orchard Park last year in the playoffs and won. The Chiefs can certainly do it again on Sunday, and the public agrees with me as 81% of the bets are currently on Chiefs +2.5 in the latest NFL betting splits.

While the Bills offense has been great, their defense has struggled. They allow 4.9 yards per carry, and Kareem Hunt has looked good since returning to Kansas City. I trust the Chiefs defense much more than Buffalo’s, so pairing that with Mahomes as an underdog makes me believe that Kansas City will cover the spread in what should be a very entertaining game to watch.

• Pick: Chiefs +2.5 (-110)

The post NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 11 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

In Week 11 of the college football season, the Big 12 is wide open. BYU currently sits atop the standings, but Colorado and Texas Tech are not far behind. Colorado is third behind Iowa State with a 6-2 record (4-1 in conference), and Texas Tech is fifth with a 6-3 record (4-2 in Big 12 play).

This is a big game for both programs looking to make the Big 12 Championship game. The conference winner has a shot at a bye-week in the CFP bracket and the chance to host a playoff game. Now a lot would have to happen for either of these teams to get to that point, but a win here is crucial.

Colorado is coming off a bye, while Texas Tech went into Ames and upset #17 Iowa State last week 23-22.

Colorado vs Texas Tech Odds

The college football odds list the Buffaloes as 4.5-point road favorites over Texas Tech. Colorado opened as a 2.5-point favorite in Week 11 but has now moved to 4.5. The O/U is a high one at 62.5 and has not moved since the odds opened last Sunday.

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Colorado Betting Trends

After failing to cover the spread in their first two games, Colorado has rattled off six straight ATS victories. They won five of their last six and were rolling before their bye week. It took just eight games for the Buffaloes to go over their season win total of 5.5.

Deion Sanders has his team looking great in Year 2. The offensive line play has improved and their defense has stepped up when needed. Colorado’s offense was never the issue with projected Top 5 NFL Draft picks Travis Hunter and Shedeur Sanders, and even they have improved. The over is 4-3-1 this season in Colorado’s games.

Travis Hunter has graded inside the top five at two positions pic.twitter.com/toKBjN69i5

— PFF College (@PFF_College) November 8, 2024

The duo of Sanders and Hunter have led the Buffs to eighth in the country in passing yards per game averaging over 323. Colorado is not much on the ground, but with Sanders and his plethora of weapons, it has not mattered. The defense has also been impressive. They have been susceptible on the ground, but they are 18th in the country in sacks, and fifth in the nation in red zone defense. They look like a team that has the horses to compete for a Big 12 Title, which is a remarkable feat after their 4-8 finish last season.

Texas Tech Betting Trends

Texas Tech got a huge win last week against Iowa State and snapped their two-game losing streak. The Red Raiders have been unpredictable at times, but when they are on, they are tough to beat. They are 5-3-1 against the spread and have covered the spread in their last three games as underdogs. They are 2-1 straight up in those games as well.

The Red Raiders put up points in bunches as they lead the high-scoring Big 12 in points per game with 36.4. Led by quarterback Behren Morton and runningback Tahj Brooks, Texas Tech can keep up with essentially any team they play with their balanced attack. Morton has thrown for exactly 2,300 yards, 19 touchdowns, and five interceptions on the campaign, while Brooks has over 1,000 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns.

It is a good thing Texas Tech can score because their defense has allowed 35 points or more in three of their last five games and ranks 124th in passing yards allowed.

Colorado vs Texas Tech Prediction

When this line opened at Colorado -2.5, I was ready to hop all over the Buffs, but now that the line has moved so much, I am looking at this game differently. There are two key matchups to watch in this game. It is Colorado’s eighth-ranked passing offense vs Texas Tech’s secondary and Tahj Brooks vs Colorado’s rushing defense.

Brooks has averaged over 133 rushing yards over his last five games and has yet to rush for under 100 yards in a single game this season. Colorado’s defense has been impressive, but the Buffs are still allowing 155.1 rushing yards per game. I believe this matchup is much more indicative of who will cover the spread.

Texas Tech is at home and will be able to run the ball to limit Colorado’s possessions. That means less of Shedeur Sanders and less of Travis Hunter (on offense) making big plays. Colorado has also not faced a team with Texas Tech’s explosiveness yet, so even when those big plays come for Colorado, the Red Raiders will be able to keep up with them. I’ll take Texas Tech to cover the 4.5.

And there is a reason I said when those big plays come and not if. This game will be full of big plays and scoring on both sides of the ball, which is also why I am looking to take the over in this game. This one should be fun to watch.

Colorado vs Texas Tech Picks: 

• Texas Tech +4.5 (-115)
• Over 62.5 (-110)

The post Colorado vs Texas Tech Prediction, Preview & Odds – CFB Week 11 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

We are officially in the second half of the 2024 NFL season. It’s Week 10, and we will see if underdogs can bounce back this week after favorites dominated in Week 9. Last week, favorites went 14-1 SU and 10-5 ATS. Despite that, there are still two underdogs that I like against the spread on Sunday.

See below for all my NFL Week 10 picks.

NFL Week 10 Picks Against the Spread

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Week 10 ATS Pick #1: Colts +4 vs Bills

Yes, the Colts looked terrible in primetime against the Vikings last week. Indianapolis’s offense did not get in the endzone and could not move the ball, but for all we know, it was just past Joe Flacco’s bedtime. Outside of last Sunday night, Flacco has been good this season, and I expect him to get back to form against a Bills defense that has been vulnerable against the run and pass.

This is also a great situational spot for Indianapolis. The Bills are coming off a close, hard-fought divisional game against the Dolphins and next week they face the undefeated Chiefs. Kansas City knocked the Bills out of the playoffs last year and are looking for revenge. Over the last few years, the Chiefs and Bills have formed one of the most entertaining rivalries in the league. They want to get in and out of Indianapolis to focus on that game.

Indianapolis is 7-2 against the spread this season and every game they have played has been decided by eight points or less. The Colts have some fight to them, and at 4-5, the Colts need this win to stay in the thick of the AFC playoff picture. They will be the more motivated team, and they are at home. I like getting over a field goal with the Colts on Sunday.

• Pick: Colts +4 (-110)

Week 10 ATS Pick #2: Broncos +7.5 vs Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs are the only undefeated team in the league. They will likely get another win on Sunday as the NFL odds list the Chiefs as big favorites over the Broncos, and Patrick Mahomes has done extremely well vs the Broncos in his career. He is 12-1 straight up vs Denver, however, I do not expect this game to be a blowout. Mahomes is 7-6 against the spread against Denver, and the Chiefs have failed to cover their last two games as favorites of over a touchdown.

Denver was just blown out by the Ravens, but with Bo Nix and Sean Payton, this Broncos team has looked much better than in years past. The Broncos defense is a top unit in the NFL, and the Chiefs have been an under team this season.

Bo Nix CATCHES a touchdown from Courtland Sutton. WHAT A PLAY. #BroncosCountry

(via NFL, CBS) pic.twitter.com/MsxYlAbz9O

— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) November 3, 2024

This is also a difficult spot for the Chiefs. They are on a short week and played in overtime on Monday Night vs the Buccaneers. While they are not as likely to look over a divisional opponent, the Chiefs do have the Bills on deck in Week 11. Overall, this should be a low-scoring game, and I trust the Broncos offense to score enough points to keep this game under a touchdown. I will take the Broncos to cover the spread against their AFC West rival.

• Pick: Broncos +7.5 (-110)

Week 10 ATS Pick #3: Bears -6 vs Patriots

This is a game I will unfortunately be watching now. Chicago got embarrassed last week on the road in Arizona, and the Patriots lost in overtime to the Titans.

In this battle of rookie quarterbacks, I expect the Bears to pull away as the Patriots have had back-to-back hard-fought and emotional games. They came back to beat the Jets two weeks ago, then lost an overtime game last week that was forced on a miracle touchdown as regulation ended. The Bears on the other hand have dropped two in a row. After the hail mary loss to the Commanders, they looked out of sorts last week. Now, they are back home where they play much better.

Chicago beats up on bad teams. Thier wins have come against the Titans (2-6), the injury-riddled Rams, the Panthers (2-7), and the Jaguars (2-7). All of those games were at home and were won by at least six points. This is the perfect get-right spot for the Bears.

The Bears defense is still a strong unit, and like the rest of their team, is much better at home. I do not see how Drake Maye, Rhamondre Stevenson, and the rest of the Patriots will be able to move the ball in Chicago. New England’s defense is great either as they just allowed 167 rushing yards to the Titans. The Bears will be able to run the ball against the Patriots, set up their play-action for Caleb Williams, and win this game comfortably in front of their home fans.

• Pick: Bears -6 (-110)

The post NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 10 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Before the season, this was one of the most anticipated college football matchups of the year. Both programs had their sights on the National Championship, but after three losses for Michigan, Oregon is now favored by more than two touchdowns. That is a big change since Oregon opened as a 2.5-point favorite back when lines opened in May. Oregon is undefeated and has the fourth-best National Championship odds at +850.

After two straight losses, Michigan got back on track last week with a win over in-state rival Michigan State. Oregon got off to a slow start this season but is in a rhythm now as the Ducks have beaten their opponent by at least 21 points in four of their last five games.

Who will win, and more importantly, cover the spread in this Big Ten showdown?

Oregon vs Michigan Prediction

The Ducks are led by the current favorite in the Heisman odds, Dillon Gabriel. Oregon’s offensive has been in a groove as they rank 24th in the country in points per game and 11th in yards per game. While they get all the headlines, Oregon’s defense has also been stellar. The Ducks are allowing under 300 yards per game and have held five of their last six opponents to 14 points or less.

Balled out #GoDucks pic.twitter.com/mOKOX7r4gE

— Oregon Football (@oregonfootball) October 26, 2024

At 5-3, it has been a disappointing season for Michigan. The Wolverines are also just 2-6 against the spread this year. Their defense has looked great at times, but when facing explosive offenses, they have been torched through the air.

It’s Week 10 and Michigan’s offense is still trying to figure out how to throw the ball. They are 129th out of 134 FBS teams in passing output and have thrown for over 200 yards just once in their last six games. Michigan wants to run the ball, but this game has a chance of getting ugly quick which would force Davis Warren to throw the ball more.

I do not see how Michigan will be able to score points against Oregon’s defense. The whole world knows that they are going to run the ball, and the Ducks have a good enough rush defense to not let them control the game. Michigan will have to attempt to air it out to stay competitive, and I think that will only lead to turnovers.

Michigan’s defense is supposed to be a strength, and they are at home, but Dillon Gabriel and co. should not have a problem moving the ball and scoring. Running back Jordan James has had a great season, and Tez Johnson will be busy as Gabriel’s favorite target.

Oregon has also had no issues on the road so far this season. They are 3-0 away from Eugene, and while the teams they have played are Oregon State, UCLA, and Purdue, they took care of business. Their road wins have had final scores of 49-14, 34-13, and 35-0.

The Ducks will take the lead from the jump, and this once-exciting matchup will be over quickly.

Prediction: Oregon 34, Michigan 10
Best Bet: Oregon -14.5 (-110)

Oregon vs Michigan Odds

The college football odds have Oregon as a 14.5-point road favorite over Michigan. With moneyline odds at -700, sportsbooks are giving Oregon an 87.5% implied win probability. The O/U in this game is set at 45. The odds have not moved much in the last week. Earlier this week, Michigan was +15.5 before moving to +14.5.

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Odds as of bet365 on November 1. Check out the best bet365 bonus code before locking in your Oregon vs Michigan bets.

Oregon vs Michigan Player Props

College football player props as of November 1 at bet365.

Oregon vs Michigan Player Prop Pick: Tez Johnson Anytime TD (-120)

Tez Johnson has been Dillon Gabriel’s favorite target this season. Johnson has eight touchdowns in as many games and has scored at least one touchdown in five straight. He is averaging 10.4 targets over his last five games and has turned that into 41 receptions. While the total in this game is lower, Johnson should still be able to get in the endzone vs Michigan, whose passing defense has been exposed at times this season vs good offenses.

The post Oregon vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Props to Target (Nov. 2) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Where has the time gone? It is officially November, and the NFL season is in its ninth week. After Monday Night Football, we will be halfway through the season, and the playoff race will only get tighter. Week 9 features some intriguing matchups that could potentially impact the standings and playoff picture later in the year. There are five divisional games on Sunday, and I am targeting one of the divisional underdogs in my NFL Week 9 best bets.

NFL Week 9 Picks Against the Spread

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Week 9 ATS Pick #1: Dolphins +6 vs Bills

Despite a loss to the Cardinals last week, the Dolphins offense looked back to normal with Tua Tagovailoa back under center. Tua threw for 238 yards and a touchdown, while Devon Achane ran for 97 yards on just ten carries. They will look to build off that performance against a team that they know well in the Bills. While the Bills have looked great, the Dolphins are much better than their 2-5 record and six points is too much for this AFC East showdown.

A lot of big underdogs have won outright this season, and I do not see that as the case this time. The Bills are 7-1 straight up against Tua and have won 12 of their last 13 games against the Dolphins. The last couple have been blowouts, including earlier this season when Tua was injured, but I believe this time will be different. This feels like a must-win for the Dolphins if they want to get back into playoff contention. The Bills on the other hand have rattled off three straight wins and have not had to break a sweat in their last two games.

Miami’s defense has been sneaky good and are in the top half of the league in most defensive statistics. While a lot of points are expected to be scored in this one, the Dolphins have a unit that could make some key stops and keep this game close. I will take Miami to cover the six points in a big, divisional game for them.

• Pick: Dolphins +6 (-110)

Week 9 ATS Pick #2: Bears +2 vs Cardinals

The Bears were a hail mary away from 5-2, but now they sit at the bottom of the NFC North with a 4-3 record. I expect them to come out firing on all cylinders to quickly put that loss behind them, and the Cardinals present a favorable matchup for them to do exactly that.

A;FK;JD;KJF;LAKEJFLKJVAL;KEJL;JF;EFJ;LFAKJ

JAYDEN DANIELS HAIL MARY! @COMMANDERS WIN! pic.twitter.com/BsQ0Z84Rko

— NFL (@NFL) October 27, 2024

Arizona’s defense has been lackluster this season. The Cardinals have given up the seventh most rushing yards and the sixth most passing yards this season. Chicago’s rushing attack has improved over the last few weeks, and they just ran for over 200 yards against the Commanders last week. They should be able to run the ball all over this defense, which will only help Caleb Williams and the passing game.

After a slow start to the season, Caleb Williams has looked like the real deal and has been at his best late in games. He gave the Bears the lead late in the game last week and is 7-0 against the second-half spread this season. The NFL odds in Bears vs Cardinals is a 2-point spread, which suggests that this will be a close game, and I trust Caleb Williams and co. to get the job done late if needed.

Chicago has a great defense, and even though the Commanders moved the ball all over them, they stiffened in the red zone and only allowed 12 points before the hail mary touchdown. Arizona has a lot of talent on offense, but they have only scored more than 17 points in two of their last six games. The Bears should win this game or, at the minimum, cover the short spread.

• Pick: Bears +2 (-115)

Week 9 ATS Pick #3: Colts +5.5 vs Vikings

There is one major reason why I love the Colts on Sunday Night Football: Joe Flacco. Indianapolis benched Anthony Richardson after he completed just 44.4% of his passes through six games. With Flacco, this offense becomes a lot more exciting. In the three games where he played the majority of the snaps, Flacco has thrown for 716 yards, seven touchdowns, and just one interception.

Every game the Colts have played this season has been close. Each of them has been decided by six points or less, and I expect this one to be no different.

After their 5-0 start, the Vikings have lost two in a row. They are still a good team, but they have come down to earth, and while Sam Darnold has been effective, I trust Joe Flacco more on Sunday night. Give me the Colts in what should be yet another one-score game.

• Pick: Colts +5.5 (-110)

The post NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 9 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

LSU continues their road trip on Saturday, October 26 as they go to Kyle Field to play Texas A&M. While LSU has dominated the series, especially against the spread (12-1 ATS since 2010), these two have gone back and forth over their last six matchups. Both LSU and Texas A&M have gone 3-3 over that span.

Texas A&M and LSU have both rattled off six straight wins and are undefeated in SEC play. LSU lost to USC in their opener and is 3-0 in conference play, while Texas A&M lost their first game to Notre Dame and is now 4-0 in the SEC. A win by either team would be huge for their hopes to reach the 12-team CFP bracket.

LSU vs Texas A&M Odds

The college football odds have the Aggies as slight favorites at home over LSU. Texas A&M opened as 3-point favorites before moving to a near pick’em. The O/U has not moved as much as the spread, but the total opened at 53.5 before moving to 54.5. The Aggies are 4-3 to the over, while the over is just 2-5 in LSU games this season.

Odds as of October 25 at BetMGM. Check out the best BetMGM promo code before locking in your LSU vs Texas bets for CFB Week 9.

LSU is Lighting it Up Through the Air

LSU started the season 0-4 against the spread but has covered in three straight games heading into Week 9. This is just LSU’s second game where they have been an underdog. They covered the spread against Ole Miss as an underdog two weeks ago.

The Tigers are averaging 34.1 points per game and 6.5 yards per play this season. LSU has been especially great through the air thanks to Garrett Nussmeier’s production in his first season as the starter. He is 12th in the country in QBR and has thrown for 2,222 yards and 18 touchdowns with six interceptions. With weapons like Kyren Lacy and Aaron Anderson, LSU is ranked fourth in the country in passing yards per game with 322.4.

LSU’s defense has allowed under 21 points per game, but their passing defense has been vulnerable especially when they are away from Death Valley. They blitz frequently and are seventh in the country in sacks, but if they do not get to the quarterback, their secondary has been torched. LSU’s secondary is 112th in defensive success rate against the pass this season.

Texas A&M Looks to Take Advantage of LSU’s Defense

Despite a 6-1 record, Texas A&M is just 2-5 against the spread. The last time they covered the spread was when they defeated Missouri at home 41-10 as 2.5-point favorites.

The Aggies want to run the ball. Texas A&M is second in the SEC in rushing yards and 12th in the country in rushing offense, averaging 218.6 yards per game. This rushing attack has led the Aggies to 31.4 points per game this season, and quarterback Conner Weigman has been efficient, completing 70.2% of his passes since returning from injury.

On the money @ConnerWeigman @Thomas3Noah

@SECNetwork #GigEm | #BTHOmississippistate pic.twitter.com/QsKpPo1QWH

— Texas A&M Football (@AggieFootball) October 19, 2024

Texas A&M’s defense has been stout and has caused a lot of havoc on opposing offenses. They have allowed 17.7 points per game and have been great at getting off the field on third downs. The Aggies rank seventh in the country as their opponents have converted on just 27.8% of their third down attempts. This is largely a result of their ability to get after the quarterback and generate pressure on runs, forcing negative plays on first and second down.

LSU vs Texas A&M Prediction

The matchup to watch in this SEC showdown will be LSU’s offense vs. Texas A&M’s front seven. The Tigers can throw the ball on anyone, but they average just 123.3 rushing yards per game, which is good for 15th out of 16 SEC teams. Texas A&M is known for getting after the quarterback, but through seven games, LSU has only allowed two sacks.

Still, I give the edge to Texas A&M because LSU will likely become one-dimensional in this game, and the Aggies will be able to control the clock at home by running the ball. LSU allows over 127 rushing yards per game, and I expect running back Le’Veon Moss to run all over the Tiger defense. Weigman has been throwing the ball accurately and can also contribute on the ground. Texas A&M has the players needed to win this game on both sides of the ball and should beat LSU in front of the 12th man.

LSU vs TAMU Pick: Texas A&M ML (-115)

The post LSU vs Texas A&M Prediction, Pick & Odds – CFB Week 9 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

All 32 teams are in action in NFL Week 8 since there are no byes. There are 14 games on Sunday, and then the Giants and Steelers play on Monday Night Football. While there are a couple of double-digit spreads, there are a lot of intriguing matchups to look forward to.

NFL Week 8 Picks Against the Spread

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Week 8 ATS Pick #1: Browns +8.5 vs Ravens

The Ravens have won five in a row and look like serious Super Bowl contenders. In fact, they only trail the Chiefs in the latest Super Bowl odds. Despite that, this is a tough spot for Baltimore on Sunday.

Baltimore is off a short week after playing on Monday Night Football, and this will be their third road game in four weeks. The Browns will look different in Week 8 with Jameis Winston under center, and he should provide a much-needed spark to this offense. Winston likes to throw the ball around the field, and we have seen the Ravens’ secondary struggle this year, so Cleveland could be in for some big plays on Sunday.

Cleveland’s defense is still a strong unit, and they know the Ravens well. The Browns have won two of the last three times these teams have played. Underdogs in AFC North matchups are 45-31 (59%) against the spread since 2018. I am not confident that the Browns will pull off the outright upset, but 8.5 is too many points for a home, divisional underdog.

• Pick: Browns +8.5 (-110)

Week 8 ATS Pick #2: Eagles +2.5 vs Bengals

The NFL odds list the Bengals as 2.5-point home favorites against the Eagles. Both Philadelphia and Cincinnati are 2-0 in their last two games, and both of the teams’ wins have come against the Browns and the Giants.

The biggest advantage in this game is the Eagles running game vs the Bengals rush defense. Cincinnati allows 4.4 yards per carry, and now they face Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts. The Eagles’ weapons are healthy now, so the Bengals will not be able to stack the box and sell out to stop the run. Cincinnati’s secondary has also been gashed, so AJ Brown and Devonta Smith could be in for a big day, especially off of play-action.

Saquon Barkley is at it again.

: #PHIvsNYG on FOX
: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/iGCd9x3WWo

— NFL (@NFL) October 20, 2024

The Bengals offense of course has weapons as well, and Cincinnati’s passing attack has been improved over the past couple of weeks. Still, I trust Philadelphia’s defense and rushing attack much more and believe they will be able to control the game. I like the Eagles to cover the spread on the road.

• Pick: Eagles +2.5 (+100)

Week 8 ATS Pick #3: Cowboys +4.5 vs 49ers

The Cowboys are off a bye week, and the 49ers lost their Super Bowl rematch against the Chiefs last week. The 49ers have been bitten by the injury bug yet again this year, and they will have multiple key pieces not playing on Sunday Night Football.

Christian McCaffrey is still out, and Brandon Aiyuk is done for the season. Then Jauan Jennings is doubtful, and Deebo Samuel is questionable, and that is just on the offensive side of the ball. Dallas’s rushing defense has been abysmal this season, but I still like this spot for the Cowboys. In their three wins, Dallas has allowed 93 rushing yards or less. Mike McCarthy is 38-23-3 (62.3%) against the spread with extended rest in his career as a head coach.

Both of these teams are trending in the wrong direction, but Dallas has had an extra week to attempt to right the ship. The Cowboys are winless at home but are 3-0 on the road. This should be a close game no matter who wins, so I like getting over a field goal with Dallas.

• Pick: Cowboys +4.5 (-115)

The post NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 8 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Fresh off a huge overtime win vs Ole Miss, LSU now travels to Fayetteville to play the 4-2 Arkansas Razorbacks. In Arkansas’s last time out, they pulled off a big upset win over Tennessee and had a bye last week.

LSU has owned this series of late. The Tigers have won seven of their last eight matchups and ten of the last 13. Arkansas’s last win was in 2021 when they won in Baton Rouge 16-13.

Keep reading to see the latest Ole Miss vs LSU betting lines and predictions for Saturday’s SEC showdown in CFB Week 8.

LSU vs Arkansas Odds

The college football odds list LSU as a slight road favorite vs Arkansas. LSU opened at -3 against Arkansas and moved all the way down to -1.5 before moving back to where the line is now. The O/U is set at 56.5. The total opened at 55, so it has moved a point a half towards the over.

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LSU Betting Trends

Thanks to an overtime victory over Ole Miss, LSU covered the spread for just the second time this season. The Tigers did not lead at any point in the game before scoring their game-winning touchdown. They are now 2-4 against the spread and 5-1 straight up.

Quarterback Garrett Nussmeier has been great for LSU. He has thrown for just under 2,000 yards with 18 touchdowns and six interceptions this season. LSU’s offense has turned one-dimensional over the past few weeks as they have struggled to run the ball. The offensive line has still shown promise, especially in pass-pro. Nussmeier has only been sacked four times this season.

The defense still leaves much to be desired. They have struggled against the run and against the pass and are 99th in defensive EPA per play. They blitz much more frequently than they did last year, and their sack total is the lone bright spot for the Tigers’ defense.

Arkansas Betting Trends

Arkansas has been one of the surprise teams in the SEC this year. They sit at 4-2 and are honestly just a few plays away from being 6-0. The Razorbacks are 5-1 against the spread.

Bye week has us thinking Saturdays are lot more fun with our fans!

So let’s do it again next week! pic.twitter.com/MXlhh04xfV

— Arkansas Razorback Football (@RazorbackFB) October 12, 2024

Bobby Petrino has helped Arkansas’s offense a lot this season. Arkansas is averaging 33 points per game and has had solid play from their quarterbacks. Even if starter Taylen Green does not play in this game, the Razorbacks are in good shape with Malachi Singleton who led Arkansas to a win over Tennessee. Behind their quarterbacks and runningback Ja’Quinden Jackson, Arkansas is ranked 19th in the country in EPA per rush. They should cause LSU’s defense some fits.

While the offense has been great, Arkansas’s defense has stepped up. They held Tennesee to just 14 points in their last time out. In SEC play, they have allowed under 17 points per game.

LSU vs Arkansas Predictions

This is a difficult spot for LSU. They are coming off a huge win against Ole Miss and have Texas A&M on deck. Reversely, Arkansas is at home and coming off a bye. The betting trends are also pointing to the Razorbacks.

In five seasons under Sam Pittman, Arkansas is 6-4 against the spread as a home underdog, and LSU is just 2-5 ATS as a road favorite in three seasons under Brian Kelly. It only gets better from there for Sam Pittman. Pittman is 22-8 against the spread as an underdog and is 5-1 against the spread when he has had extra rest.

LSU’s defense will have a hard time stopping Arkansas’s rushing attack, and while the Tigers are 5-1, they have not looked great at times this season. How Arkansas is just a couple of plays away from 6-0, LSU is just a couple of plays away from being 3-3. Coming off the bye, I expect Arkansas’s defense to have a good game plan for LSU’s passing attack to keep the game close. Arkansas is a good, well-balanced team, and I like getting points with them at home in Fayetteville in a tough scheduling spot for LSU.

LSU vs Arkansas Pick: Arkansas +2.5 (-110)

The post LSU vs Arkansas Predictions & Betting Lines (Oct. 19) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

12 NFL games kick off on Sunday, October 20, starting with the Jaguars and Patriots in London, and wraps up with two Monday Night Football games.

After going 9-0 against the spread last week, the Broncos covered as a road favorite on Thursday Night Football against the Saints. That makes road favorites 13-0 straight up and against the spread since Week 5. In my NFL Week 7 picks, there is one road favorite that I am looking to back.

NFL Week 7 Picks Against the Spread

Week 7 offers some exciting games on Sunday and Monday. There is a Super Bowl 58 rematch, CJ Stroud and the Texans travel to Lambeau Field to take on the Packers, and Jim Harbaugh and the new-look, ground-and-pound Chargers go on the road to play the Cardinals.

See below to find out who I am betting on in each of those games.

Texans vs Packers Odds

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NFL Pick #1: Packers -3 (vs. Texans)

Texans vs. Packers is one of the most intriguing matchups on Sunday in the early slate. The Texans are 5-1 straight up but just 2-4 against the spread, while the Packers are 4-2 SU and ATS.

The NFL odds list the Packers as 3-point home favorites to the current 2-seed in the AFC. Both of these teams are playing at a high level right now as the Texans have rattled off three straight wins after losing to the Vikings, and the Packers have won four of their last five. Their only loss in that stretch was also to the Vikings.

Even without Nico Collins, the Texans have a strong passing attack with CJ Stroud under center. Wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell will pose a threat to Green Bay’s secondary, and Houston also has a much-improved run game now that Joe Mixon is back. The Texans ran for 192 yards against the Patriots last week. While the offense gets most of the praise, Houston’s defense has played well and ranks in the top five for passing yards allowed and sacks.

Jordan Love and the young receivers of the Packers have been on a roll. While they all have had their moments, Jayden Reed is the one who has stepped up and become Love’s favorite target. Green Bay is in the top five for yards per play with 6.2, so the offense has been efficient plus Love has only been sacked four times. The Packers offense vs the Texans defense will be the matchup to watch in this one.

The Packers are 7-4 against the spread in their last eleven games at Lambeau Field, and Matt LaFleur is great against the spread when playing good teams. LaFleur is 28-15 ATS (65%) against teams that are above .500 SU as the head coach of the Packers.

The Packers lead the league in takeaways with 17, and while Houston’s offense is loaded with talent, they have not been as efficient this year. I believe the defense takes over at home, and the Packers win by over a field goal.

• Pick: Packers -3 (-105)

Chiefs vs 49ers Odds

The post NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 7 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

In one of three matchups between Top 25 teams in Week 7 of college football, Ole Miss travels to Death Valley to face LSU. Kickoff is scheduled from Baton Rouge, LA at 7:30 pm ET.

Ole Miss defeated LSU last season 55-49, but LSU has otherwise dominated this series. The Tigers have won ten of the last 14 games between these two SEC programs.

This game will likely have playoff implications, as a win for either team will go a long way in making it to the inaugural 12-team CFP bracket. Both of these teams are in the top 12 when it comes to CFP National Championship odds. Ole Miss has the sixth-best odds at +1800, and LSU has the 12th-best odds at +5000.

Keep reading to see the latest Ole Miss vs LSU odds, spread, and predictions for Saturday’s CFB Week 7 action.

Ole Miss vs LSU Odds

The college football odds list Ole Miss as a 3.5-point road favorite vs LSU. This line has held at 3.5 since opening. With -170 odds on the moneyline, the sportsbooks are giving the Rebels a 62.96% implied win probability.

Points are expected to come in bunches with a high O/U of 62. The total opened at 64 before moving down to where it is at currently. At least 62 points were scored in five of the last seven games between Ole Miss and LSU.

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Ole Miss Betting Trends

Ole Miss is 5-1 straight up and against the spread to start their season. Led by Lane Kiffin and Jaxson Dart, the Rebels have a high-powered offense that is averaging 44 points per game. Their offense has been slowed down in SEC play, however. They scored just 17 in their loss to Kentucky and put up 27 against South Carolina last week. The over is also just 1-5 in their six games.

The Rebels are averaging 8.11 yards per play, which is good for second in college football. Dart will prioritize getting the ball in the hands of running back Henry Parrish Jr. and wide receiver Tre Harris. Parrish Jr. has 570 rushing yards and nine touchdowns through six games. Harris is already closing in on 1,000 yards receiving as he has 885 heading into Saturday with five touchdowns.

Let’s run it back #BeatLSU | #HottyToddy pic.twitter.com/3GMxpZTott

— Ole Miss Football (@OleMissFB) October 10, 2024

Ole Miss’s defense has also been strong. They have yet to allow a team to score more than 20 points in a game. They have been vulnerable through the air, but they rank first in the country in rushing defense. Ole Miss is allowing just 63.7 rush yards per game.

LSU Betting Trends

LSU is 4-1 this season, but they are just 1-4 against the spread. The Tigers have won four in a row after losing their opener to USC in Las Vegas earlier this season. LSU is 2-3 to the over this year.

Garrett Nussmeier has put together a strong start to the season. He has thrown for 1,652 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. He has plenty of weapons at his disposal, especially wide receiver Kyren Lacy. Lacy is averaging over 70 receiving yards per game and has five touchdowns through five games.

LSU’s defense has improved from last season, mostly because they are blitzing at a higher rate. Last year, they generated zero pressure, but now the Tigers are ranked third in the SEC in sacks and have recovered the third-most fumbles in the conference. Still, there is work to do. LSU ranks last in the SEC in passing yards allowed per game.

Ole Miss vs LSU Prediction

Ole Miss is the better team in this matchup. They have the better offense. They have the better defense. But this is a difficult spot for the Rebels. They have to go on the road for a night game in one of the most difficult places to play in college football. LSU is also fresh off a bye week, while Ole Miss has played six straight games.

When getting playing at home after getting extended rest, Brian Kelly is 15-2 straight up and 12-5 against spread. Under Brian Kelly, LSU is 12-0 straight up at home in night games, and Ole Miss has not beaten LSU in Death Valley since 2008. Under Lane Kiffin, Ole Miss is 0-4 straight up against Top 25 SEC teams on the road.

LSU’s defense will need to generate pressure on Jaxson Dart and force some turnovers to stay in this game. The Tigers’ offense will also be ready for a potential shootout. LSU has one of the best offensive lines in the country, and Nussmeier has only been sacked once. They will be able to move the ball against Ole Miss’s vulnerable secondary.

Give me the home team getting over a field goal in what should be a close and exciting SEC game full of fireworks.

• Ole Miss vs LSU Pick: LSU +3.5 (-115)

The post Ole Miss vs LSU Odds, Spread & Prediction – College Football Week 7 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

It’s another week in the NFL, and underdogs continue to cover the spread at an impressive rate. Out of 26 games, underdogs of at least 5.5 points have covered the spread in 19 of those games. They also have 13 outright wins. In my NFL ATS picks for Week 6, I am targeting one underdog of 5.5 points or more.

NFL Week 6 Picks Against the Spread

Week 6 features some intriguing matchups. With my best bets, I will preview an important NFC matchup between the Lions and Cowboys, a divisional game between the Falcons vs Panthers, and Sunday Night Football between the Bengals and Giants. See below to find out how I am betting on each of these games.

Lions vs Cowboys Odds

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NFL Pick #1: Lions -3 (vs. Cowboys)

Detroit is 3-1 against the spread this season, and the Lions have been great ATS for a while now. Over the last four years, the Lions are 38-17 against the spread (69.1%) in the regular season. Jared Goff has also been extremely profitable as a road favorite. Goff is 13-3 against the spread in his last 16 road games and is 6-1 ATS as a road favorite. With this game being played in a dome, I like the Lions to cover again on Sunday.

Dallas has yet to win (and cover) a home game this season. They struggle to run the ball, so Dak Prescott must have a big game. Without much of a run game, Aidan Hutchinson and co. will have the opportunity to make an impact as the Cowboys will likely face a lot of third and longs.

On the other side of the ball, Dallas’s rushing defense has been abysmal and now they face Detroit’s offensive line, David Montgomery, and Jahmyr Gibbs. I believe the Lions will run away with this one on Sunday afternoon.

• Pick: Lions -3 (-115)

Falcons vs Panthers Odds

NFL Pick #2: Panthers +6 (vs. Falcons)

You always have to take a deep breath before betting on the Panthers, but I like them in this spot. The NFL odds have them listed as near-touchdown home underdogs to a divisional opponent.

The Falcons have not fared well on the road and have lost outright in their last two games in Carolina. They are also just 3-7 against the spread in their last ten road games. I am also expecting a bit of a letdown for Atlanta. Three of their last four games have been prime-time games, and their last two games have also been divisional opponents.

Red Rifle, Black Helmet pic.twitter.com/m4ppWT0IWW

— Carolina Panthers (@Panthers) October 9, 2024

Atlanta has looked good to start the season, but I have a hard time trusting them to lay six points on the road. Even though they lost to the Bears last week, the Panthers have looked better with Andy Dalton under center. Carolina can keep this game close at home.

• Pick: Panthers +6 (-110)

Bengals vs Giants Odds

NFL Pick #3: Giants +3.5 (vs. Bengals)

I wrap up my NFL Week 6 best bets with Sunday Night Football. The Bengals are a surprising 1-4, and the Giants are 2-3. The Bengals have covered the spread in two of their five games, while the Giants have covered in three of five.

Cincinnati’s offense has looked the part, especially over the last few weeks. They are averaging 35 points per game in their last three, but they have only won one of those games. The Bengals defense has not been able to stop anyone. While the Giants do not have an explosive offense, over the past few games they have improved. Even without Malik Nabers and Devin Singletary last week, the Giants found a way to win the game. They can run the ball, and Daniel Jones has made just enough plays to sustain their drives.

The Bengals are trending in the wrong direction, and the Giants are showing signs of life. I’ll take my chances with the home team that has a better defense, and I especially like getting over a field goal with New York. Give me the G-Men on Sunday Night Football.

• Pick: Giants +3.5 (-110)

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