The first thing I thought when I woke up today was Caesars Sportsbook. If we’re being honest, I’m not playing there enough these days. In my defense, it’s not always easy to spread the love as there are so many great books out there. We’ve all seen them. Still, it’s no excuse and I’m making good with Caesar himself as we speak. The funny part is, they’ve got great lines for the Los Angeles Chargers/Kansas City Chiefs matchup tonight. We’re talking the kind of lines you can’t get anywhere else. I was able to build a Guaranteed Parlay at plus-money that I wasn’t able to do anywhere else. We’re living the dream right now. Feels good.

Chargers vs Chiefs Same-Game Parlay Picks

All three legs of this Chargers/Chiefs SGP come add up to +107 odds.

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Time to Buy Low on Will Dissly

Some bettors like to make “banned” lists. What that means is, if they bet on a guy and he has a bad night, then that player is banned. I’m not saying it’s right, I’m just saying I don’t do it because at some point, we’ll run out of guys to bet on.

One thing we do know is, the fantasy community did NOT give up on Will Dissly after one bad game.

Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em: Jameis Winston, Gus Edwards, Will Dissly (2024) https://t.co/CU0ThRC24R

— FantasyPros (@FantasyProsNFL) December 7, 2024

Last week, I was all over Will “The Thrill” Dissly. The guy had a decent matchup in a game that I thought would see some passing volume. The passing volume did not materialize and our boy Will embarrassed himself, his friends, his family and the entire city of Los Angeles. It was bad. He didn’t even catch one pass.

Fast forward one week and I’m ready to give Will another shot. It takes a special man to do something like that but at the end of the day, it’s the right thing to do. Especially since the Kansas City Chiefs should score some points on the Chargers. We should be looking at a negative game script for Los Angeles.

When that happens, Will takes over. Why? Because the Kansas City Chiefs can’t stop the tight end position. On the season, no team has given up more receptions or receiving yards to the position. It’s become a thing. My guess is the Chargers force-feed Will and he goes for at least four receptions and 30 yards. Feels right.

Justin Herbert Can Sling It

Here’s the thing with Justin Herbert. Given the way the Los Angeles Chargers operate on offense, we really don’t know how good he is. It looks like Los Angeles wants to run the ball all the time so there are games where Herbert barely throws the ball. Last wee he only threw the rock 23 times.

One thing we know about Herbert is, he doesn’t throw picks.

Justin Herbert’s interception percentage of 0.29% is currently the best in NFL history.
Passing Aaron Rodgers in 2018 with an interception percentage of 0.33%. pic.twitter.com/cdQdcSqFdL

— ChargersMuse (@ChargersMuse) December 7, 2024

Our guy Justin is going to keep the Chargers in this game tonight. He doesn’t make a ton of mistakes and as we already know, he has Will Dissly working with him. When push comes to shove, Justin is going to get his.

I think push is going to come to shove tonight because the Chiefs are very good against the run. In fact, no team in the entire NFL has allowed fewer rushing yards to the running back position. That’s pretty good. So when the Chargers run into a brick wall, they’ll be forced to adjust and start throwing the ball.

We already know the tight ends eat versus the Chiefs but wide receivers can too. Kansas City is not the worst at allowing receptions to wideouts but they are far from the best. I’m thinking we throw Herbert’s 200+ passing yards into this parlay as well. It’s correlated so we get dinged on price but whatever. It’s fine.

• The SGP (+107): Justin Herbert 200+ Passing Yards (-320) + Will Dissly 4+ Receptions (-185) + Will Dissly 30+ Receiving Yards (-185)
• Wager: 1 Unit to win 1.07 Units
• 2024 SBD SNF SGP Results – 6-6 (+9.15 Units)

The post Chargers vs Chiefs Same-Game Parlay for Sunday Night Football (Week 14) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The NFL player props for Week 14 are slowly being released which means it’s time to pounce. My favorite part about betting these on Fridays is, I’ll forget about them by Sunday. Then I’ll see them under my “open” wagers tab and it’ll feel like Christmas. There’s nothing like a banger that has been forgotten about. What’s even better is, the number and price we get on Friday is almost always so much better than what’s available on Sunday. On the streets, that’s called “closing line value” and it’s gold.

This Sunday we’re going to attack two matchup,s and they’re both on the early slate. The first one is the Atlanta Falcons/Minnesota Vikings game. Then at the same time, we’ll be sweating out the Las Vegas Raiders/Tampa Bay Buccaneers matchup. My guess is, both of these moves cash before halftime, giving us plenty of time to get our profits down on the late slate. That’s the plan, at least.

This could easily be the greatest Sunday of our entire lives.

Week 14 NFL Player Props and Odds

Odds as of December 6 at FanDuel & DraftKings. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering. 

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Ray-Ray McCloud Will Get His

There are a lot of mouths to feed in Atlanta which makes it hard to bet any of their receiving options. That’s just the fact of the matter. We’re talking Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts and Bijan Robinson, for christ’s sake. These guys are nasty.

The thing is, all that depth makes it easy for an absolute beast like Ray-Ray McCloud to fly under the radar.

Ray Ray McCloud dances down the sideline for 60 yards!

: #LACvsATL on CBS/Paramount+
: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/LAPgHaDMtY

— NFL (@NFL) December 1, 2024

I know what the haters are going to say, “Slop, Ray-Ray is like the fifth receiving option on a team that doesn’t throw much.” Just like always, the haters are only part right, and their lack of vision is what’s making them look bad here. Typical haters.

For starters, the Falcons should get forced into throwing the ball on Sunday. They’re in Minnesota taking on a team in the Vikings that stops the run better than almost anyone. We’re talking third-best in the NFL here, people. That fact alone makes them a pass funnel, which is a big reason they’ve allowed the third-most receiving yards to wide receivers this season. Translation, Atlanta should be forced to throw the rock more than they want to on Sunday.

On top of all that, McCloud has seen the third most targets on the team this season. When Captain Kirk drops back to throw, he’ll look for McCloud. I wish his ADOT was a little higher than 6.9, but he’s 25th best in yards after the catch. He doesn’t just catch the ball and go down. Ray-Ray will fight for us.

For that reason, I think it’s safe for us to go with 40+ receiving yards for +165 at FanDuel. Feels right.

• The Pick: Ray-Ray McCloud 40+ Receiving Yards (+165) – FanDuel

AOC Might Not Be That Bad

When we hear the letters “AOC”, we don’t think of football. Hell, we don’t even think of a dude. All that is behind us now because after last week, every time I hear the letters “AOC”, I think of Aidan O’Connell.

And after watching him over the last few games, I’m ready to say he might not be that bad.

Raiders QB Aidan O’Connell is back at it after one of his best career games in a loss to the Chiefs.

Solid zip on these passes from AOC.

: By @Sean_Zittel, Vegas Sports Today#RaiderNation pic.twitter.com/2eaqx9Zoz4

— Vegas Sports Today (@VegasSportsTD) December 4, 2024

Here’s the thing: we targeted the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ pass defense last week with Bryce Young, and it worked out. The guy threw for almost 300 yards. If Bryce can do that, then anything is possible. We’ve all seen Bryce Young play football before.

This week, the Buccaneers will welcome the Las Vegas Raiders to town, which is perfect for us. We’ve got another “who the hell is that guy” playing quarterback against the Buccaneers, which means we’ve got a favorable line. We have to think about the over here. We owe it to ourselves and our families.

The thing with this “who the hell is that guy” is we know who he is. It’s Aidan O’Connell. We just watched him go for 340 yards on Black Friday. Sure, he blew the game at the end, but that just means he’ll be extra focused this week. I think 250+ yards at +158 is a steal.

For those who think I’m being a little soft with this move, feel free to go all the way up to 275+ at +320. Or even 300+ at +520. It’s all deadly.

• The Pick: Aidan O’Connell 250+ Passing Yards (+158) – FanDuel
• 2024 SBD Friday Release Results – 10-14 (+0.98 Units)

The post NFL Player Props Week 14 – Sunday’s Best NFL Prop Bets (Dec. 8) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

We reviewed all of the top online casinos, including BetMGM, Caesars Palace, DraftKings, FanDuel, and more to let you know which one will best suit your interests. This guide to the best legal online casino sites gives you insight into all of that, plus the latest online casino bonus offers.

Best Online Casino Bonuses for December 2024

Just like their sports betting counterparts, online casino sites are doing their best to draw in new US players with the best online casino bonuses. Here are the latest welcome bonuses from our favorite online casino apps:

Where is Legal Online Casino Gambling Available in the US?

There are currently six states with legal online casinos that will payout real money:

• Connecticut
• Delaware
• Michigan
• New Jersey
• Pennsylvania
• West Virginia

Delaware was the first state to allow legal online gambling in the USA, but we generally don’t think much of it because the major players in today’s industry aren’t involved there. That said, perhaps we should have known The First State would indeed be the first state to legalize online casino activity back in 2013.

New Jersey was the next state to launch online gambling and online casinos in 2018, followed by Pennsylvania in 2019, West Virginia in 2020, and Michigan and Connecticut both in 2021.

The number of real money online casino options varies wildly in these states, with Pennsylvania currently allowing the most at 21.

What States Could Legalize Online Casinos Next?

It’s been nearly four years since a state has launched legal online casinos, and while many states have had legislation put forward to follow suit, no bill has made it to the finish line yet.

New York feels like the white whale in the industry. New York online casinos have been felt close at times but, in reality, have been so far away. It’s been the biggest state for online sports betting, and online casinos would likely fare the same there, but don’t expect legalization to come any time soon.

The biggest American states—California, Texas, and Florida—are still working through their own sports betting issues, and aren’t even in consideration for iGaming at the moment.

No state appears to be on the verge, although there has been movement in places.

Ohio is likely closest to legalizing online casinos on paper, but there’s still a long way to go. A bill was introduced in the state senate in September 2024, and it’s still in committee.

Another state to watch for is Arizona, where there’s interest, but no pending legislation for online casinos. The state legislature will not meet until April 2025.

Maryland legislators worked to get a referendum on the November general election ballot, but it failed in April, never getting to the voters.

Lawmakers in Indiana spent a good chunk of 2023 looking at online casino legislation, but decided late in the year not to move forward with any bills through 2024. Studies have been launched in the state, but nothing has moved forward.

North Carolina is the latest state to legalize online sports betting, but there doesn’t appear to be much momentum for online casinos yet.

Newest Online Casinos for 2024

While new states haven’t joined in legalizing online casinos recently, there have been plenty of new online casino apps that have popped up on the market.

Some of the best new online casino apps for 2024 are Horseshoe Online Casino, Fanatics Online Casino, and Hollywood Casino. Some launched late in 2023, and some are re-brands of older apps, but the expansion and new competition is good for online gamblers.

Understanding Online Casino Bonuses, Free Spins, No-Deposit Bonuses & More

Welcome offers at online casinos are easy to claim—just enter the bonus code or promo code!—but can sometimes be a little more difficult to understand.

Like at an online sportsbook, you’ll find a variety of casino offers when you start an online casino account. Here’s a look at what’s on the market, and how they work:

• Bet/Get bonus: Bet a certain amount and receive a casino bonus. Sometimes you’ll need to bet on specific games to earn the bonus, and that bonus is very likely to come with a playthrough requirement, which we’ll discuss later.
• Deposit match bonus: This one is pretty self-explanatory on its face—make your first deposit and the online casino will match it (or a percentage of it) with a bonus.
• No deposit bonus: While they’re becoming more rare, no-deposit bonuses are a set amount that’s given for simply registering your online casino account.
• Deposit bonus: This is different than a match, as it’s a set amount for making a minimum deposit. For example, deposit $5 and receive a $50 casino bonus.
• Free spins: These are sometimes connected to a welcome bonus, but will also occasionally be awarded to existing customers. Free spins often are connected to specific slot games and the winnings are subject to playthrough requirements.

Basically all online casino bonuses come with a playthrough requirement, meaning that you’ll need to meet certain wagering requirements before the money from that bonus is eligible to be withdrawn, even if you’re winning.

To figure that out, simply multiply your bonus by the playthrough requirement to see how much you’ll need to bet before it becomes withdrawable. For example, if you have a $100 bonus with a 10x playthrough requirement, you’ll need to bet at least $1,000 before it’s eligible to be withdrawn.

Playthrough requirements can often be different between different games, too, meaning that your sign-up bonus might have to be 5x for online slots but 10x for table games like blackjack and baccarat.

Always make sure to read the terms and conditions (T&Cs) that come along with your bonus to make sure you know what you’re getting. Customer support at most major online casino operators is also typically very good, so they can help clear any uncertainties up as well.

Real Money Online Slots

Your favorite slot machine titles have made their way to online casinos, and these online slots have brought along all the sights, sounds, and real money payouts that you’re used to.

Online slot games are the most familiar part of the casino experience for many gamblers, as often the only difference can be that it’s on your Apple or Android phone as opposed to the casino floor.

You can win thousands in real money with a progressive jackpot or bonus spins on your favorite games, including Cleopatra, Divine Fortune, Buffalo, Triple Diamond, and much, much more. Most online casinos also have a wide range of choices for Megaways, steppers, and Slingo games.

With online slots, you never have trouble finding a chair, and you can set your bet amount per spin, as well as how many lines will be in play. Another major pro to playing an online slot is that you can view statistics about the slot, such as its RTP (return to player) and volatility scores.

Best Online Casino for Online Slots: BetMGM Casino

Online slots are the closest thing you’ll get to a retail casino experience while using an online casino app, and nobody gives you a larger game selection or better chance at winning big than BetMGM—making it the best casino for online slots.

The BetMGM Casino progressive jackpot options are best in industry, both in how many they have to offer and how much they payout at the top end. Multiple BetMGM customers have won more than $1 million on progressive jackpots over the years—on their phones.

Classic titles like Wheel of Fortune, Bison Fury, 88 Fortunes, Loot’ En Khamun, and much more are all available as part of the more than 500 progressive jackpot slots at BetMGM, and that’s just a fraction of the more than 4,700 online slots on the app.

BetMGM exclusives, such as MGM Grand Millions and MGM Riches are also available and manage to be among the most played games in the country, despite only being available at BetMGM.

You’ll also find slot favorites from top gaming software providers such as NetEnt, White Hat, Light & Wonder, IGT, Red Tiger, Aristocrat, and more.

Online Casino Table Games

I’m not going to lie to you and say the experience of playing table games on an online casino app can match the social experience of sitting at a blackjack table in a retail casino. But if you want to play a few hands or take a few spins on the roulette wheel for real money, it’s all available at top online casinos.

At most gambling sites, you’ll find the following table games:

• Blackjack
• Roulette
• Baccarat
• Craps
• Video poker

We specify video poker, as some states offer real money online poker, which features tournaments and cash games with other real players. Those are different apps.

Looking through the table games available at your online casino can seem overwhelming at first, as there are often dozens of options in each category. Some of those are actually different games—Lightning roulette, multi-hand blackjack, high-limit baccarat—but most of the time the difference is simply the theme.

That means you’re playing the same game of blackjack, but rather than a standard green felt, you’re looking at Detroit Lions-themed table.

While I pointed out the lack of a social element earlier, I understand that can also be a benefit for new players looking to learn a game without experienced gamblers sitting around them and potentially judging. For me personally, I learned how to play craps online before giving it a shot in a casino as the in-person version looked exciting but also complicated and intimidating.

Best Online Casino for Table Games: DraftKings Casino

DraftKings has a massive amount of table games for online gamblers to choose from, which isn’t all that different than its fellow online casino providers.

However, it’s the organization of games, along with the themes that could appeal to any online bettor that sets it apart.

While we know that a lot of experienced players are likely looking for a straight forward blackjack game without too many bells and whistles, having a blackjack game with a Thanksgiving, Vegas, or even WWE theme could be what makes you comfortable to click on the game.

And it’s not just blackjack where DraftKings busts out the themes—take Andrew Dice Clay Craps, for example. Some might ask why, but we would respond: why not?

On a more serious note, DraftKings’ jackpot feature on its table games, which opts you into a random drawing when you bet a certain amount on a game. The more you bet, the more entries you get in the drawing.

Live Dealer Online Casino Games

As technology improved at the best online casinos, they added more live dealer games to their offerings. These games are actually being run in a physical location by a real person with a live video feed being sent to your phone or computer.

All table games now have a live casino option at online casino sites, so you can play blackjack, baccarat, roulette, craps, and different versions of poker on your phone with a live dealer.

For some, this feels like a safer option, as they can see the cards being dealt or the roulette wheel spinning. It also adds a social element to the online casino experience. While you can’t speak to the dealers, there is a chat function, and they’ve been trained to converse with players.

Best Live Dealer Online Casino: Caesars Palace Online Casino

The live casino at Caesars Palace online casino provides a wide array of live deal options and a fun gaming experience.

All of the table game staples are there, and in multiple forms. For instance, you can play blackjack, NFL blackjack, speed blackjack, or power blackjack. Roulette and baccarat also have multiple options. You can also play live dealer craps or specialty “game shows” like Stock Market Live, Football Studio, or Crazy Coin Flip.

The live dealer games at Caesars Palace come with a variety of wagering minimums and maximums. For some games, you can bet as little as $0.10, while some high-roller blackjack tables have a minimum bet of $100. Maximums can go as high as $5,000 per hand.

Online Casino Banking Options

Anyone who is familiar with online sports betting knows about the various payment methods available to bettors, from cash at a retail casino window to simply using your Apple Pay account.

Here are some of the deposit and payout methods you can expect at most legal online casinos:

As you can see, various online banking methods are available to make deposits and withdrawals quick and easy for online gamblers. On top of that, since most online casino and sports betting operators run both in legal states, your e-wallet is shared between the two.

My preference is using Venmo betting apps, but I also appreciate the simplicity of PayPal betting apps and Apple Pay betting apps when looking at online casino payment options.

Best Online Casino for Payouts: DraftKings Casino

If you’re looking for the fastest payout gambling apps, look no further than DraftKings. It advertises instant payouts with some methods, and I’ve even experienced a payout that took less than 5 minutes.

BetMGM might be paying out the most money for online casino customers but when it comes to every day transactions, DraftKings will get it to you quickest.

Safety and Fairness at Online Casinos

Two of the most common questions I’ve encountered when talking with people about online casinos are: “Is my money safe?” and “How do I know the games aren’t rigged?”

The answers are that yes, your money is safe, and no, the games aren’t rigged. But both boil down to regulation at the state level, which is why we only ever recommend legal online casinos that have been approved by the gaming commissions in their respective states.

Those regulations are put in place to protect you, the customer, against fraud, and possible irregularities. Now, those irregularities are uncommon, as online casino games must go through rigorous testing to prove they are fair and safe before they’re even allowed on an app.

You’re essentially dealing with random number generators that are spitting out cards, roulette wheel spins, or slot machine spins. So, no, online casino games aren’t rigged. Your losing streak is happening for the same reason it was happening in person—bad luck.

Online Casino FAQs

We’ve covered a lot here, but here are some quick answers to commonly asked questions about online casinos.

The post Best Online Casino Sites & Apps for Real Money – December 2024 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

College Football Conference Championship Saturday is upon us. There’s nothing better than good ol’ fashioned conference football to wrap up the regular season. With so much realignment over the past few seasons, football fans will be overjoyed to see a number of top-tier matchups.

Conference Championship Saturday includes #16 Iowa State vs #15 Arizona State for the Big 12 Championship, #5 Georgia with a rematch against #2 Texas in the SEC Championship, #17 Clemson taking on upstarts SMU for the ACC Championship, and #3 Penn State vs #1 Oregon in the Big 10 Championship game.

Find our best college football Conference Championship player prop bets below.

 College Football Conference Championship Player Props

Georgia quarterback Carson Beck’s passing yardage prop is set at 244.5 for their SEC Championship rematch with Texas. The Bulldogs are 2.5-point underdogs in the latest CFB odds. Penn State tight end Tyler Warren’s receiving yardage prop sits at 68.5 yards.

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Odds as of Dec. 5 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Explore the best betting apps for CFB Conference Championship player props.

Quinn Ewers Passing Yards

Steve Sarkisian has stressed that quarterback Quinn Ewers continues to play through his ankle injury. He made it through rivalry week against Texas A&M, but he’s clearly operating at less than 100%.

Ewers has failed to hit his conference championship player prop number of 233.5 yards in each of his past three games. In fact, he’s averaged under 200 passing yards per game and failed to his this number since a November 9th romp over Florida. Moreover, he’s attempted 32 passes or fewer in each of the past four games, while averaging just 7.9  yards per attempt in that time.

Yikes Quinn Ewers looked like he was afraid to get hit and flipped a pick 6 into the flats pic.twitter.com/cl9snBZFrt

— Austin Stanley (@AustinStanley81) December 1, 2024

With Ewers limited mobility, and left tackle Kelvin Bank Jr. also banged up, expect to see Georgia’s pass rush tee off. While this isn’t the Georgia defense of old, the Bulldogs’ secondary remains an elite unit.

Ultimately, Steve Sarkisian will need to protect his ailing quarterback and utilize the short passing game to dissect the Georgia defense. Back Quinn Ewers conference championship player prop under with confidence.

Pick: Quinn Ewers under 233.5 passing yards (-114)

Antonio Williams Receiving Yards

Clemson wideout Antonio Williams has blossomed into a top option this season. He’s racked up 66 receptions for 788 yards and 10 touchdowns already. Crucially, he’s averaged 11.9 yards per reception and has been a constant outlet for quarterback Cade Klubnik.

Williams has hauled in a gargantuan 26 receptions over this last three games. He’ll thrive against an SMU defense, allowing 240 passing yards per game. SMU loves to push the pace on offense, and that will feed into this bet.

Let’s get the ball in Antonio Williams hands all 4 quarters Saturday night.

0 is making himself some money this year pic.twitter.com/jg6vnVF2af

— PePe (@CLEMSONPEPE) December 5, 2024

Additionally, the Clemson offense has become far more pass-happy of late, with Klubnik attempting at least 34 passes in his past five games against ACC opponents.

With a total of 55.5 points in the ACC Championship game, there will be fireworks in Clemson vs SMU. Williams will be the recipient of plenty of targets; expect him to clear this 61.5 receiving yards prop line with ease.

Pick: Antonio Williams over 61.5 receiving yards (-114)

The post College Football Player Props – Best Bets for Conference Championship Saturday (Dec. 7) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Conference Championship Friday brings us three exciting college football matchups with major implications. I’ve found a three-team parlay at +435 odds that could make your weekend even better. Our college football parlay combines picks from the Conference USA, American Athletic Conference, and Mountain West championship games.

We’re backing Jacksonville State to claim their first CUSA title, while taking the under in what should be a defensive battle between Army and Tulane. To complete the ticket, we’re riding Boise State’s star running back Ashton Jeanty to continue his historic season against UNLV.

Here’s a breakdown of our conference championship parlay odds and picks, with detailed analysis below.

College Football Conference Championship Parlay Odds

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All CFB parlay odds as of December 6 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Our CFB conference championship parlay pays out at +435 odds, meaning a successful $100 wager would return $435. I break down each individual parlay selection further below.

Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky (CUSA Championship)

Jacksonville State enters their first Conference USA Championship game looking for revenge after dropping last week’s regular-season finale to Western Kentucky. The Gamecocks have one of the nation’s most explosive rushing attacks, piling up 257.4 yards per game – good for third in the country.

The home-field advantage at AmFirst Stadium can’t be overlooked, where they’re 5-0 this season. The Gamecocks have owned conference play with a 12-1 record in their last 13 matchups. Their high-tempo offense is putting up 35.4 points per game, ranking 18th nationally and consistently wearing down opposing defenses.

The status of quarterback Tyler Huff remains uncertain after he tweaked his ankle last week. But JSU’s shown they can adapt, and Logan Smothers is ready to step in. Even with Huff limited last week, they still averaged 5.3 yards per carry, proving they can move the ball effectively on the ground.

Rich Rodriguez’s squad likely kept some plays in their back pocket during last week’s regular-season finale. With temperatures dropping into the low 30s, their run-heavy approach should work perfectly in the cold conditions. The betting markets see it, too, instilling Jacksonville State a 4.5-point favorite at home.

• Parlay Pick: Jacksonville State ML (-192)

Tulane vs Army (AAC Championship)

The frigid conditions expected at Michie Stadium point heavily toward the under. Temperatures are dropping into the low 20s with winds between 9-16 mph, creating serious challenges for both offenses.

Tulane’s passing attack, coming from the warm climate of New Orleans, could struggle most in these arctic conditions. It’s the kind of weather that forces conservative play-calling and makes every throw a challenge.

IT'S CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WEEK

Prime time Friday night lights on ABC#AmericanWay x #AmericanFB pic.twitter.com/oFiBzAf5Jt

— The American (@American_Conf) December 3, 2024

Army’s triple-option offense is built to control the clock. At 35:30 per game, it leads the nation in time of possession. The Black Knights have been dominant at home, going 5-0 against FBS opponents while giving up just 16 points per game. Their ground game has been unstoppable, churning out 312 yards per game at an impressive 5.7 yards per carry.

These defenses have been lights out all season. Army’s giving up just 15.1 points per game (4th nationally), while Tulane’s allowing 18.4 (15th nationally). Army’s defense, led by All-AAC safety Max DiDomenico, has been especially tough at home. Tulane’s defense isn’t far behind, holding teams to a 31.8% conversion rate on third downs.

Sharp money has already pushed this total down from 48.5 to 45.5, telling us the pros see a defensive battle coming. Tulane’s recent struggles against Memphis, where they gave up 236 rushing yards, suggest they might have trouble with Army’s ground attack. The Green Wave has also shown a pattern—their last four games after hitting an over have averaged just 40.3 points.

• Parlay Pick: Under 45.5 (-108)

Ashton Jeanty Rush Yards (Mountain West Championship)

Boise State’s Ashton Jeanty isn’t just having a good season – he’s having a historic one. He’s leading the nation with 2,288 yards and 28 touchdowns, sitting fifth on the FBS all-time single-season rushing list. He’s just 341 yards away from breaking Barry Sanders’ legendary record. The sophomore’s averaging an incredible 190.7 yards per game.

UNLV managed to contain him in their first meeting, holding him to 128 yards on 33 carries. But Jeanty has shown all season that he can figure out defenses the second time around. His latest showcase was a 226-yard explosion against Oregon State.

Ashton Jeanty vs. Oregon State:

• 37 carries
• 226 yards
• 1 TD

GENERATIONAL TALENT pic.twitter.com/14ybUhrdg6

— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) November 29, 2024

The Broncos’ coaching staff, led by offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter, keeps feeding their star back, consistently giving him 30+ carries.

The stakes for Jeanty couldn’t be bigger – he’s got Heisman buzz building, and the Broncos still have an outside shot at the College Football Playoff. He’s playing with supreme confidence, recently calling himself “the best player in the nation.” When the lights have been brightest, he’s delivered, topping 175 yards six times this season.

The 40-degree forecast actually plays into Jeanty’s power running style, and Boise State had time to study how UNLV defended him last time. His explosive ability – including a 77-yard run this season – plus his consistency (7.3 yards per carry) make the over 174.5 rushing yards a strong play.

• Parlay Pick: Jeanty Over 174.5 Rush Yards (-120)

Conference Championship Parlay: Jacksonville State ML, Under 45.5 Tulane/Army & Jeanty 175+ Rush Yards (+436)

The post Best College Football Parlay for Friday’s Conference Championships appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

A longtime professional poker player pled guilty this week to conspiring to commit mail and wire fraud after participating in a years long sports betting scheme to defraud customers in New York and Florida.

Cory Zeidman, 63, of Boca Raton, Florida, pled guilty for his participation in a scheme to scam prospective sports bettors in New York and Florida by claiming to have inside information on sports events. He pled guilty in a federal court in Long Island, New York.

“Zeidman and his partners baited unsuspecting victims with false claims of an edge in sports betting only to feed them lies and pocket millions of dollars from their savings and retirement accounts,” stated United States Attorney Breon Peace in a release from the United States Attorney’s Office Eastern District of New York.

Luring Customers With False Information

Zeidman faces up to 20 years’ imprisonment as well as forfeiture and restitution of approximately $3.6 million. According to court documents, Zeidman and his partners made millions from their organization that placed national radio advertisement to lure victims to use them for sports betting advice. The customers were led to believe Zeidman and his organization had “privileged information that made betting on sporting events a no-risk proposition.”

Customers were required to pay a fee for the information, which was either false or obtained from an internet search by Zeidman or his co-conspirators. Zeidman and his co-conspirators used fake names and engaged in high-pressure sales tactics to lead customers into believing they had the inside information.

“The guilty plea of defendant Cory Zeidman is a reminder that crimes against our residents will not go unpunished. Numerous victims lost millions of dollars after being given fraudulent and misleading information regarding online betting. We need to set an example and continue to investigate and arrest offenders who commit fraud and any other crimes against our residents,” Patrick J. Ryder, Commissioner, Nassau County Police Department, said in the release.

Millions Bilked From Unsuspecting Customers

Zeidman and his co-conspirators ran the scheme for several years and made millions in fees from their victims. Zeidman often told customers that his organization had access to non-public information, such as the match being “fixed,” having inside information to an athlete being injured, or having knowledge that match referees were “dirty,” and that media executives shared predetermined outcomes for the events with his organization.

“Today’s guilty plea is proof that this individual gambled and lost when he thought his illegal activities would fly under the radar,” stated USPIS Inspector in Charge Daniel B. Brubaker. “Illegal gambling is not a victimless crime, Zeidman and his partners were able defraud so many individuals with their lies and had them pay these exorbitant fees for nothing. USPIS will continue to investigate individuals who are intentionally skirting federal regulations for their own selfish desires.”

Any individuals who believe they may have been scammed by Zeidman can contact Homeland Security Investigations, New York.

The post Poker Pro Pleads Guilty to Sports Betting Scheme appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Houston Cougars (4-7, 3-5 Big 12) travel to Provo, Utah, to face the No. 19 BYU Cougars (9-2, 6-2 Big 12) on Saturday, November 30, 2024. Kickoff is set for 10:15 p.m. ET at LaVell Edwards Stadium, with ESPN handling the broadcast.

The Saturday Night Football odds list the BYU Cougars as notable home favorites, with a win required to keep their CFP aspirations alive. Houston, meanwhile, aims to salvage a disappointing season by playing spoiler.

Here is a look at our Houston vs BYU prediction and odds for Saturday night college football.

Houston vs BYU Odds

BYU comes in as a solid 12-point home favorite over Houston. The moneyline suggests BYU has about an 85% chance to win outright, which makes sense given their stellar record and home-field edge.

The total sits at just 41.5 points, hinting at a defensive struggle. Both teams can really defend – BYU ranks second in Big 12 scoring defense (20.3 ppg) while Houston sits fifth (22.3 ppg). The Cougars are a combined 13-7-1 to the under this season.

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Houston Betting Analysis

Houston stumbles into this one after dropping two straight – a 20-10 loss to Baylor and an ugly 27-3 drubbing by Arizona. Their offense has been a mess, with QB Zeon Chriss (67/106, 668 yds, 4 TD, 7 INT) now leading the nation’s lowest-scoring attack at 13.6 points per game.

The lone bright spot has been RB Re’Shaun Sanford II, who’s shown flashes with 413 rushing yards and a score. The ground game averages a respectable 4.2 yards per carry, but Houston’s inability to sustain drives has limited their rushing attempts.

Play the next play #GoCoogs | @MeowWolf pic.twitter.com/MsDWRRFLZO

— Houston Football (@UHCougarFB) November 30, 2024

The Cougars actually lead the Big 12 in total defense (321.9 ypg) and have locked down some solid offenses. Their resume includes impressive wins over Kansas State, TCU, and Utah. The defense has held opponents under 24 points in seven of eleven games.

Houston’s secondary has been particularly strong, allowing just 190.8 passing yards per game. They’ve recorded 12 interceptions on the season and rank third in the conference in pass defense efficiency.

For Houston to pull this off, they’ll need their defense to shine and force some key turnovers.  Chriss has to avoid the picks that have plagued him lately (4 INTs in the last two games). The offense must find ways to extend drives and keep BYU’s attack off the field.

BYU Betting Analysis

BYU’s dream season hit a rough patch with consecutive losses to Kansas (17-13) and Arizona State (28-23). After starting 9-0 and flirting with the CFP, they now need help to reach the Big 12 title game.

QB Jake Retzlaff (193/328, 2,629 yds, 20 TD, 10 INT) leads a balanced attack that can beat you several ways. The explosive Chase Roberts (48 catches, 767 yards, 4 TDs) has been his go-to target, averaging an impressive 16 yards per catch.

Jake Retzlaff leading the Cougars to another victory
Retzlaff Highlights#GoCougs | #Big12FB pic.twitter.com/evgiuZXxY8

— Big 12 Studios (@big12studios) November 10, 2024

LJ Martin (99 carries, 543 yards, 5 TDs) anchors the ground game. BYU’s offense puts up 30+ per game, and they’re nearly unbeatable at home under the lights (30-4 since 2019). The Cougars are averaging 34.8 points in home games this season.

BYU’s defense should focus on stuffing the run and daring Houston to throw. Build a lead, make Houston pass, and let that opportunistic defense (23 takeaways) do its thing. The Cougars are 7-4 ATS this season and have covered four straight at home.

Houston vs BYU Prediction

Everything points to BYU bouncing back strong. They’re the better team on both sides of the ball and should feed off a rowdy home crowd on Senior Night.

Houston’s defense might keep it interesting early, but BYU’s firepower and Houston’s turnover issues should be the difference. That 30-4 home night record under Kalani Sitake speaks volumes.

I see BYU controlling this one start to finish. Lay the 12 points with confidence – the motivated home squad from Provo should roll to a comfortable win.

Saturday Night CFB Pick:

• BYU -12 (-110)

The post Houston vs BYU Prediction, Pick & Odds for Saturday Night Football appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

It’s not the game either fanbase was hoping for when this season’s Thanksgiving schedule was released, with both teams squarely among the also-ran ranks. Nonetheless, NFC East rivals the New York Giants (2-9, 2-3 away, 3-8 ATS) and Dallas Cowboys (4-7, 0-5 home, 3-8 ATS) will meet in the middle game of a Thanksgiving triple-header on Thursday, Nov. 28, at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. Kickoff is slated for 4:30 pm ET and Dallas is listed as 3.5-point favorites in the Giants vs Cowboys odds, despite being the only team still winless at home this season. NYG’s QB1 Tommy DeVito is listed as questionable to start due to a forearm injury. As such, Giants vs Cowboys player props are a little lighter than they would otherwise be.

Giants vs Cowboys Player Props

DeVito was a limited participant at practice on Tuesday. With his status in question, Dallas’ Cooper Rush is the only QB on the b0ard in the Giants vs Cowboys player props at the moment.  NFL player props from DraftKings and FanDuel on Nov. 27. 

Now that longtime starter Daniel Jones has been released, NYG’s depth chart shows former Bronco and Seahawk Drew Lock as the QB2. Lock appeared in four games for Seattle last year, throwing for 543 yards on 63.2% passing with three touchdowns and three INTs. He’s just 4-0f-9 for nine yards with the G-Men this season.

Giants vs Cowboys Player-Prop Pick #1: CeeDee Lamb Over 6.5 Receptions

Rush isn’t a huge threat to throw the deep ball, but one thing is clear from last week’s 34-26 win over Washington: he’s going to force feed his top target. Lamb had exactly 67 yards last week but had ten catches on 12 targets. No other Cowboy had more than four targets or three catches.

While Lamb was catching ten passes against the Commanders, the Giants fading defense was allowing 294 yards on 80% passing to Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers in a 30-7 loss. That marked the third time in four games the Giants allowed at least 26 points. The fourth was a 20-17 OT loss to the lowly Carolina Panthers in Munich.

Pick: Lamb over 6.5 receptions (-115)

Giants vs Cowboys Touchdown Scorer Props

Dallas RB1 Rico Dowdle has the best odds to score the first TD at +425 and the best odds for an anytime touchdown at -105. He’s the only odds-on favorite to find paydirt.

Dowdle is followed closely by NYG’s lead back, Tyrone Tracy, who is +550 to score the first TD of the game and +120 to find the end zone at any point.

The only other player who’s shorter than +200 to score a touchdown in what’s expected to be a low-scoring game is Cowboys WR1 CeeDee Lamb (+180).

Giants vs Cowboys Player-Prop Pick #2: Cooper Rush Over 3.5 Rushing Yards

Despite his surname, Cooper Rush isn’t known to use his feet. In fact, his career-high rushing yards in a single game is just 13 yards. He hasn’t had more than five yards in a game since October 22.

But he’s logged at least two official carries in each of the last three games, and had four last week against Washington (albeit for just one yard).

The Giants allowed Mayfield to pick up 29 rushing yards on just four carries last week. As a unit, they look entirely defeated.

Pick: Rush over 3.5 rushing yards (-105)

The post Best Giants vs Cowboys Player Props to Bet on Thanksgiving Day appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Just six weeks remain in the 2024-25 NFL regular season. Week 13 includes a trio of Thanksgiving games (Bears vs Lions, Giants vs Cowboys, Dolphins vs Packers) but my Week 13 ATS picks are all for games in the early window on Sunday, Dec. 2.

Early NFL Week 13 ATS Picks

I’m taking three underdogs in Week 13. With the Steelers, I’m buying the spread up half a point from 3.0 to 3.5. With the Patriots, I’m moving the line from +2.5 to -1.5 to get it into plus-money.

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Week 13 ATS Pick #1: Steelers (+3.5) at Bengals

Something is broken in Cincinnati (4-7, 2-4 home, 6-5 ATS) and I highly doubt it’s getting fixed this season. In reality, last week was the last stand for the Bengals. Thanks to a 33-27 loss to the Chargers, they’re now 2.5 games out of a Wild Card spot with just six games remaining. Even if the Bengals win out, they’ll be 10-7 and there’s a very good chance it will take 11 wins to get a playoff spot.

In short, this is a lost season for the Bengals and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the effort wane down the stretch. The defense has been horrendous all year. The sit fifth-last in scoring (26.9 PPG) and rate 23rd overall at PFF.

Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2 away, 8-3 ATS) on the other hand brings the third-rated defense at PFF and number four D in terms of points allowed (16.9 PPG). Pittsburgh needs a win to stay ahead of the 8-4 Ravens in the AFC North and I see them bullying the Bengals at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball.

Week 13 ATS Pick #2: Cardinals (+4) at Vikings

Call me crazy but I still don’t think the Vikings (9-2, 4-1 home, 7-3-1) are all that good. They played extremely well the first few weeks of the season but the past six weeks have been a much different story. Since losing back-to-back games to Lions (31-29 home) and Rams (30-20) away, they have won four in a row, but those were all unconvincing wins over bottom-feeder teams: Colts (21-13 home), Jaguars (12-7 away), Titans (23-13 away), and Bears (30-27 OT away).

Arizona (6-5, 2-3 away, 7-4 ATS) had a four-game win streak snapped at Seattle in Week 12 (16-6) in what was a brutally off night for the entire offense. I’d be more worried about Arizona if the defense was showing signs of cracking. (They were abysmal last season and have made huge strides in terms of points allowed, improving from 26.8 PPG in 2023 to 21.5 PPG in 2024.)

The Cardinals are an above-average team that will keep this close against another above-average but also overrated Minnesota group.

Week 13 ATS Pick #3: Patriots -1.5 (+135) vs Colts

My last pick of the week is a hard fade of the Indianapolis Colts (5-7, 2-4 away, 8-4 ATS). After a zero-touchdown Week 12 against the Lions, sophomore QB Anthony Richardson now has just five TD passes and seven interceptions on 191 pass attempts this season, along with an ugly 47.1 completion percentage.

The Patriots (3-9, 1-4 home, 4-7-1 ATS) aren’t good by any stretch of the imagination, but their defense is good enough to keep the sputtering Indy offense in check. And New England’s has been nothing short of competitive the last month-plus. They’re 2-3 straight-up in their last five two of the three losses were very narrow (20-17 at the Titans, 28-22 vs the Rams).

The difference between these two teams is minimal and I like the value on the Pats to cover an alt-spread of -1.5 at +138 odds.

The post NFL Week 13 Picks Against the Spread & Early Lines to Target appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Kansas City Chiefs’ (7-0) bid for a perfect season continues on Monday Night Football as they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4). KC is last remaining undefeated team in the NFL, and entered Week 9 as one of only two squads with fewer than two losses on its resume.

Online sportsbooks are expecting Patrick Mahomes and company to remain perfect following this contest, as they’ve pegged the Chiefs as massive chalk in the latest NFL odds.

Kickoff for this Super Bowl 55 rematch is set for 8:15 pm ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, in Kansas City, MO, with ESPN and ABC providing the coverage.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds

Kansas City is currently favored by nine points in a game with a total of 46. The Chiefs opened at -9.5, and dropped to as low as 8-point favorites earlier in the week before getting bet back up. As it currently stands, the spread betting action is pretty evenly split, with Tampa drawing slightly more tickets and handle.

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Total-wise, the over/under opened at 44.5, but that number didn’t last long. It was quickly bet up to 45.5 and now sits at 46 per the NFL public betting percentages: 87% of the bets and 92% of all total money is on the over, which is not something we agree with (more on that later).

Chiefs Defense Stealing the Show

The Chiefs will be searching for a franchise record 14th straight victory when they face the Bucs, a winning streak that dates back to last Christmas. The stretch includes a Super Bowl triumph, plus multiple wins over the 49ers and Ravens, in addition to a road victory at the Bills.

They’re the Super Bowl odds favorite yet again, but it’s not their offense that has been leading the way. In fact, Mahomes is on pace for the worst statistical season of his career. He’s thrown more interceptions (9) than touchdowns (8), leading the league in picks alongside Baker Mayfield and Jordan Love.

Most Interceptions Entering Week 9

Mahomes’ .119 expected points added per play is nearly three times lower than Jaydon Daniels and Josh Allen, and he’s averaging fewer air yards per attempt (5.9) than any other quarterback with at least 144 snaps.

But here’s the thing, it doesn’t matter. It also doesn’t matter that they’ve lost their number one receiver and number one running back. They continue to find ways to win regardless of who’s on the field. The bulk of their games have been tighter than you might expect, but whenever they need a big play or a pivotal conversion, Mahomes conjures up some magic and gets it done.

Of course it also doesn’t hurt that their defense is elite. KC ranks top-five in both scoring defense and yards allowed, and has held their last six opponents to 20 points or less. Once considered vulnerable against the run, the Chiefs are allowing just over 80 rushing yards per game, which ranks second league-wide. They’re also generating a ton of pressure, ranking fourth in pass rush productivity, and just strengthened that area by adding Joshua Uche from the Pats.

The Chiefs defense might quietly be one of the best units the NFL has ever seen.

Don't believe me?

If the Chiefs hold the Bucs to under 28 points next week, they will tie to 05-07 Ravens (considered one of the best defenses of all-time) with 29 straight games under 28 points.

— Josh Chavis (@JoshChavis65) October 28, 2024

That spells trouble for Mayfield and the Bucs, who come hobbling into Arrowhead. Star receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are out, while number three receiver Jalen McMillan and emerging running back Bucky Irving are banged up. Tampa Bay has dropped both games since Evans went down, while four of Mayfield’s nine interceptions have come in the last two contests.

Buccaneers vs Chiefs Prediction

Offense will be tough to come by for the Bucs against this ferocious Chiefs defense. On the other side of the ball, KC should find success, but their lack of efficiency is going to prevent them from striking quickly. The Chiefs are perfectly content to grind out long drives by feeding Kareem Hunt the ball, bleeding the clock dry. KC is top-10 in rushing play percentage, running the ball at a 50% clip over the last three games.

The personnel and the Chiefs style of play backs a low-scoring game, as do the trends. The under is 17-5 in KC home games since 2022, failing to clear the total by an average of six points per matchup.

Buccaneers vs Chiefs Pick: Under 46 (-110) at BetMGM

The post Buccaneers vs Chiefs Prediction, Betting Lines and Picks appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Week 10 of the 2024 college football season brings us some mouth-watering Big Ten matchups. We’ve crafted a conference-focused CFB parlay at +1140 odds that could pay off big. Our college football parlay combines three of the most undervalued moneylines from key Big Ten games into one potentially profitable ticket.

We’re backing Penn State to knock off Ohio State in a massive Big Ten East showdown, while riding Minnesota’s hot streak against Illinois. To round things out, we like UCLA to carry their momentum into a road upset at Nebraska.

Here’s a look at our Week 10 college football parlay odds and picks, along with detailed analysis below.

College Football Week 10 Parlay Odds

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All CFB parlay odds as of November 2 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Check out our DraftKings Review and start betting today.

Week 10 College Football Parlay

Our Week 10 college football parlay features two live underdogs we think can win outright, plus a Minnesota team that’s somehow still undervalued despite being favored. Combining all three picks at DraftKings gives us juicy +850 odds.

Looking for some picks against the spread? Head over to our Week 10 college football picks against the spread article. Now, let’s dig into why we love these picks.

Ohio State vs Penn State

Leading off our Week 10 College football parlay is Penn State, who’s ready to shake up the Big Ten East in Happy Valley. The Nittany Lions’ explosive rushing duo of Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen could give Ohio State’s road defense fits. PSU they’ve got all the pieces needed for an upset.

WE SEE YOU NICHOLAS SINGLETON.@PennStateFball | NBC and Peacock pic.twitter.com/FFdao323eA

— NBC Sports (@NBCSports) October 27, 2024

Moreover, PSU QB Drew Allar has taken a massive leap forward this season. The senior is completing 70.9% of his passes with eight touchdowns and just one pick. Penn State is crushing teams by 23.3 points per game at Happy Valley Stadium. This is a home-field advantage that could be a true difference-maker.

The Buckeyes barely escaped their last road test against Nebraska, and now they’re facing a Penn State defense that ranks third in the Big Ten against the run. If the Nittany Lions can establish their ground game early and feed off that electric home crowd, they’re primed to pull off the upset.

• Parlay Pick: Penn State ML (+165)

Minnesota vs Illinois

The Gophers are rolling right now, having won three straight, including an eye-opening 48-23 demolition of Maryland. This hot streak has them looking like one of the Big Ten’s most dangerous teams.

QB Max Brosmer has been absolutely dealing during this run, completing 67 of 89 passes for 682 yards with six TDs and zero picks. Meanwhile, Illinois is reeling from a brutal 38-9 loss to Oregon and might be without their top playmaker Pat Bryant.

The numbers tell a clear story here – Minnesota converts 47% of their third downs (17th nationally), while Illinois’s defense gets shredded for a 45% conversion rate (116th nationally). That massive advantage should help the Gophers control the tempo and secure the win.

• Parlay Pick: Minnesota ML (-145)

UCLA vs Nebraska

Rounding out our college football parlay is UCLA, who heads into Lincoln with momentum and a perfect opportunity to steal one on the road. The Bruins are fresh off a bye week and riding high after lighting up Rutgers.

Focus on tomorrow. #DRE pic.twitter.com/gg1Ds7K4GV

— UCLA Football (@UCLAFootball) November 1, 2024

Ethan Garbers just put together the game of his life, throwing for 383 yards and four touchdowns while adding a 49-yard rushing score. On the flip side, Nebraska’s freshman QB Dylan Raiola is hitting a wall – he’s thrown zero touchdowns and five picks in his last three games.

Not to mention, UCLA’s defense has been quietly dominant, ranking 9th in yards allowed per successful play and 6th against explosive plays. With Nebraska potentially still reeling from tough losses to Indiana and Ohio State, the stage is set for the Bruins to pull off the road upset.

• Parlay Pick: UCLA ML (+220)

College Football Week 10 Parlay: Penn State, Minnesota & UCLA (+1140)

The post Expert College Football Parlay for Week 10: Moneyline Picks at +1140 Odds appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Saturday’s college football slate gives us a massive Big Ten showdown between No. 3 Ohio State and No. 7 Penn State. The sportsbooks have rolled out plenty of player props for this marquee matchup.

We’ve found some compelling plays in the Ohio State vs Penn State player props market. Our analysis keys in on Nittany Lions running back Nicholas Singleton, while we’re also eyeing Buckeyes quarterback Will Howard and Penn State tight end Tyler Warren in the scoring markets.

Let’s break down the top Ohio State vs Penn State player props and our best bets for each market.

Ohio State vs Penn State Player Props

Will Howard tops the QB passing totals at 230.5 yards, while OSU’s Jeremiah Smith leads all receivers with 70.5 yards. Look for Nicholas Singleton’s combined rushing and receiving prop at 83.5 yards for this crucial matchup.

Odds as of November 2 at DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook. Check out our recommended college football betting sites for props.

Prop Pick #1: Nicholas Singleton Over 83.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

Our first play focuses on Nicholas Singleton’s combined rushing and receiving yards. The dynamic junior looks primed to exploit an Ohio State defense that’s had trouble containing dual-threat backs.

Singleton has been incredibly efficient this season, churning out 6.4 yards per carry while becoming a real weapon in the passing game. He’s cleared 80 combined yards in five of seven games this season, and that’s while sharing the backfield with Kaytron Allen.

SINGLETON 40-YARD TD!! @PennStateFball extends the lead pic.twitter.com/UoN709C6Jz

— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) August 31, 2024

The Buckeyes have had real trouble with backs catching passes out of the backfield, ranking just 7th in Big Ten pass defense. Singleton’s receiving numbers tell the story – 13 catches for 150 yards and four TDs – suggesting he’ll be a major factor in both phases of the offense.

Penn State’s recent game plans show they want to get Singleton involved early and often. His last outing against Wisconsin (12 rushes, 49 yards; 3 receptions, 37 yards) highlights his dual-threat ability. As slight home underdogs, look for the Nittany Lions to feed their explosive back.

• Pick: Nicholas Singleton Over 83.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-114 at FanDuel)

Prop Pick #2: Will Howard to Throw an Interception

Our next pick targets Will Howard to throw a pick against Penn State’s stout defense. The numbers aren’t pretty when Howard faces pressure – just 10-of-25 passing with a worrying 7.7% turnover-worthy play rate.

PFF's No Pressure vs Pressure Passing Grades
Drew Allar vs Will Howard

Will Howard struggles under pressure.
Penn State’s pass rush is the key to victory. pic.twitter.com/aUvFzml4xX

— oollie (@oollie2k) November 1, 2024

Penn State’s defense has been shutting down passing games all year, allowing just a 31.2% success rate through the air. Their aggressive front seven, led by Abdul Carter and his 9.5 tackles for loss, should be in Howard’s face all afternoon, especially with Ohio State’s offensive line issues.

The Buckeyes’ protection took a big hit when left tackle Josh Simmons went down, and his backup might not even suit up for this one. This weakness up front, paired with Penn State’s relentless pass rush, spells trouble for Howard.

• Pick: Will Howard to Throw an Interception (-125 at DraftKings)

Ohio State vs PSU Touchdown Props

Jeremiah Smith sits as the favorite to find the end zone at -110. But we see better value elsewhere – specifically with Tyler Warren at +110, given how much Penn State loves using him near the goal line.

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Odds as of November 2, 2024, at DraftKings Sportsbook. See the latest Penn State vs Ohio State odds for full game lines.

Anytime TD Pick: Tyler Warren

Our touchdown prop focuses on Penn State tight end Tyler Warren at plus-money odds. Warren has become Drew Allar’s go-to target in the red zone, already hauling in four scores this season.

He snapped the ball, and he caught the TD @PennStateFball TE Tyler Warren's 11th reception of the game is must-see stuff. #B1GFootball on CBS pic.twitter.com/BtSRdKuntY

— Big Ten Network (@BigTenNetwork) October 12, 2024

The 6’6″, 257-pound senior has turned into a centerpiece of Penn State’s passing game. His numbers jump off the page – 47 catches for 559 yards through seven games. Just look at his monster 17-catch performance against USC to see how much they trust him.

Ohio State’s 4-2-5 defense should give Warren some tasty matchups, especially near the goal line, where his size creates real problems for defenders. Getting +110 odds on Warren to score is excellent value, especially with Penn State likely needing to stay aggressive to keep pace.

• Pick: Tyler Warren Anytime TD (+110 at DraftKings)

For more betting insights, check out our full Week 10 college football props coverage and Week 10 betting picks.

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The post Ohio State vs Penn State Props: Best Player Prop Bets for Saturday’s Big Ten Clash appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Houston Texans, a team tied for the second-best record in the AFC, will open Week 9 on the road on Thursday night when they visit the New York Jets — a team tied for the second-worst record in the conference.

New York is a slight 1.5-point home favorite in the Texans vs Jets odds, in a battle of teams ranking in the bottom half of scoring in the league this season.

We’ve taken that into consideration when sorting through the NFL player props to choose from. Catch the full list of Texans vs Jets player props and odds, below, as well as my top picks.

Texans vs Jets Player Props

Workhorse back Joe Mixon has the highest rush attempt total at 20.5, which might have something to do with both Stef Diggs and Nico Collins out due to injury.

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Receiver Tank Dell has the Texans’ highest receiving yards prop at 56.5 — the same number as Jets receiver Davante Adams. Both are looking up at Garrett Wilson, at 61.5.

Quarterback Aaron Rodgers is the high man for passing yards with a line set at 232.5, 10 yards more than CJ Stroud.

Texans vs Jets Player Prop #1: Rodgers Passing Touchdowns

If New York intends to break out of its 5-game losing streak, a standout performance from Aaron Rodgers is probably a must.

For him to win this bet for you, he’ll need to be … pretty much what he has been of late.

Jets TE Tyler Conklin with a one-handed catch in the endzone. What a play!

Again, National TEs Day never disappoints pic.twitter.com/SjTJzCrAX0

— Arye Pulli (@AryePulli) October 27, 2024

Rodgers has thrown for at least two TD passes three times over the last four games, including last time out in a 27-22 stunner of a loss to the Patriots.

Houston is susceptible to the pass, ranking inside the Bottom 10 in yards allowed, and their 16 TD passes against is second worst in the NFL.

In four career starts against the Texans (all while with the Packers) Rodgers has thrown for at least two TD passes in each.

• Texans vs Jets Prop Pick: Rodgers OVER 1.5 TD passes (+120); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

HOU vs NYJ Player Prop #2: Mixon Rushing Attempts

With Stefon Diggs out for the year with a knee injury, and Nico Collins (hamstring) still not ready to go, Houston will be without its two top receivers against the Jets.

As the Jets aren’t exactly scoring dynamo’s this one should be kept close, which should allow the Texans to feed workhorse back Joe Mixon early and often.

Joe Mixon out here playing like its 2016 man pic.twitter.com/GIAHSlEPoV

— JetPack Galileo (@JetPackGalileo) October 30, 2024

Mixon has helped overshadow what has been a poor passing game so far, with three straight games running for better than 100 yards.

He’s had 25 carries in each of the last two games, and his usage should be up there again, in a game where points might be tough to come by. It’s a high, but makeable line.

• Texans vs Jets Prop Picks: Mixon Over 20.5 rush attempts (+110); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

Texans vs Jets Touchdown Scorer Props

Running backs Joe Mixon and Breece hall are the only players on the board with minus odds to score an anytime TD. Davante Adams has the next best odds of scoring a major at +140.

Texans vs Jets Player Prop #3: Adams Anytime TD

Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight road appearances, while Texans’ TD Dalton Schultz has scored at least one TD in three of his last four TNF games.

On the New York side, Ty Conklin has touchdown grabs in each of the Jets’ last two games, while Davante Adams has found the endzone in each of his previous two appearances at MetLife Stadium.

The latest marquee big name coming to New York has been quiet since arriving on the scene, so look for Adams to find paydirt in his third game with the Jets.

• Texans vs Jets Prop Picks: Adams anytime touchdown (+140); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

Last week: 1-2

This season: 4-13, -10.34 units

The post Texans vs Jets Player Props – Best Bets for TNF (Week 9) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Los Angeles Lakers (3-1, 0-1 away, 4-0 ATS) fell from the ranks of the unbeaten on Monday. On Wednesday night, the Lakers will look to hand the Cleveland Cavaliers (4-0, 1-0 home, 4-0 ATS) the same fate when the teams meet at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse at 7:10 pm ET. With the Cavs rolling and Los Angeles on the second leg of a five-game road trip, the Lakers vs Cavaliers odds establish Cleveland as a 4.5-point home favorite.

Lakers vs Cavaliers Predictions

• Lakers moneyline (+160) at ESPN Bet
• Rui Hachimura over 16.5 points (+165) 

Sascha Paruk’s 2024-25 NBA betting record: 7-6 (+0.98 units). All wagers 1 unit unless stated otherwise.

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Cleveland is off to a hot start but this is essentially the same team that flamed out in the first round against the Magic last year. Three of their first four opponents (Wizards, Pistons, Raptors) are absolute bottom-feeders. Their 110-104 win at the Knicks on Monday was undeniably impressive, but New York is still struggling to piece it’s new lineup together. Now was a good time to catch them.

The Lakers took both games against the Cavs last season, including a 121-115 victory in Cleveland last November with the Cavs at full strength. Anthony Davis had a game-high 32 points and 13 rebounds as the Lakers dominated the glass (44-37).

When I picked the Lakers to cover against the Suns (which they did by half a point), I keyed on the fact that, at this early stage of both the season and the road trip, LA’s thin bench wouldn’t be as big a factor as it will be at later dates. At +160 (which is just a 38.46% implied win probability), I like the value on the Lakers to win straight-up in LeBron’s latest return to his home state.

The same holds true tonight. They had the day off yesterday and another day off tomorrow before a game against the Raptors. First-year coach JJ Redick shouldn’t hesitate to five Davis and James heavy minutes.

I’m also backing the red-hot Rui Hachimura to go over 17.5 points at +165 odds. Hachimura is averaging exactly 17.5 PPG and has scored at least 18 in three of four games so far this season. His 14.3 FGA per game are nearly three more than his previous career-high (11.4) and his range has improved. He won’t continue to hit at 61.4% from beyond the arc, obviously, but he’s proving that his 42.2 3P% from last season was no fluke.

LAL vs CLE Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on Oct. 30. Get a DraftKings promo code to wager on the NBA on Wednesday night.

Off to a blazingly hot start to the season, Anthony Davis (32.8 PPG, 12.0 RPG) has the highest point total of the night at 26.5 O/U and the highest rebound total at 12.5 O/U. Davis had 29 and 15 – both team highs – in Monday’s narrow 109-105 loss at Phoenix. Donovan Mitchell (23.8 PPG, 4.5 APG has the highest total among Cavs players at 25.5 O/U.

Ohio native LeBron James (23.5 O/U) is the only other player with a total over 20. LeBron is averaging 20.0 PPG, 7.0 RPG, and 7.5 APG through four games this season.

Best Lakers vs Cavaliers Odds

The Lakers vs Cavaliers spread is 4.5 at most sportsbooks with -110 odds both ways. The outlier is FanDuel, which has lowered it to Cleveland -4.0.

FanDuel, not coincidentally, also has the best odds on the Cavaliers’ moneyline at -172. The longest odds on a Lakers straight-up victory are +160 at ESPN Bet.

There is a one-point range in the Lakers vs Cavaliers game total in Wednesday’s NBA odds. FanDuel is on the low end at 225.5 (O -110/U -110) while BetMGM is on the high end at 226.5 (O -105/U -115). The NBA public betting splits show the Lakers getting 60% of moneyline handle on just 40% of the bets. The public is absolutely hammering the over, putting 93% of handle and 93% of O/U tickets on the over as of 12:15 pm ET. 

The post Lakers vs Cavaliers Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Oct 30) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The first Friday night of the NBA season brings a ten-pack of games. Among the must sees include a matchup of gold-medal Olympic teammates colliding in LA, as the Lakers welcome in the Suns, with both teams looking to go 2-0. Be sure to check all the NBA odds for the game you’re looking. Read below for the games with our favorite bets.

NBA Picks for October 25

Odds as of October 24 at 10:30pm ET. Be sure to check out the best Caesars Sportsbook promos before placing a bet on any NBA matchup on October 25. 

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Hornets vs Hawks Prediction

It’s super early, but the Charlotte Hornets and the Atlanta Hawks already showcased what they’re going to be about this season: flawed teams that will ride the talents of their all-world point guards.

Trae Young was dominant as the Hawks outlasted the Nets 120-116 in their opener. Young had 30 points, 12 assists and five boards.

Trae Young pulling out the old Rajon Rondo move pic.twitter.com/8bH6ccWztM

— Kevin O'Connor (@KevinOConnorNBA) October 24, 2024

Atlanta shot 48.8% from the field, and offset a grim 9-for-28 performance from downtown by getting to the stripe 46 times.

LaMelo Ball was equally excellent as the Hornets dumped the Rockets 110-105, finishing with 34 points, 11 assists and eight boards.

The Hornets shot 44.7% from the field, including 15-for-39 from distance. They have an emerging star in Tre Mann, who poured in 24 points and six boards in 29 minutes of work.

He started the year at +2500 in NBA Sixth Man of the Year Odds – it might be worth a dip.

Both these clubs were Bottom 10 in points allowed a year ago, and decided to lean in on the “outscoring our problems” angle. This one has all the makings of a scoring duel, with little defense to speak of.

• Hornets vs Hawks Pick: OVER 230.5 points (-110)

Pacers vs Knicks Prediction

In fairness, every team including New York was going to get firebombed out of the Boston gym on ring night, as the Celts tied a league record with 29 made threes, and crushed NY 132-109.

Back in Gotham, New York draws the Pacers, who needed to make up an eight-point deficit to outlast the Pistons 115-109.

Indiana has a clearly defined starting five, but they used a total of 12 players against Detroit, so there’s some figuring out to do.

The beatdown in Boston didn’t shake the books, as they’ve pegged the Knicks as 5-point home favorites. This is a good team, and they were 27-14 at home a year ago.

They’re supremely talented at four starter positions, with Josh Hart being among the elite role guys in the league. Look for New York to get Karl-Anthony Towns involved in his new digs immediately.

There’s level to this, and the Knicks show they’re upper tier Friday.

• Knicks vs Pacers Pick: Knicks ML (-205)

Suns vs Lakers Prediction

It’s not the first time a Lakers coach has tried Anthony Davis as the centerpiece for LA.

For at least one night, JJ Redick’s plan seemed pretty clear: feed their talented big man relentlessly on offense, let him anchor the defense and hopefully get enough contributions down the roster to stack victories.

AD lived up to the billing, pouring in 36 points, grabbing 16 boards, with four assists and three blocks in a 110-103 win over the T-Wolves.

He’s definitely in the conversation — albeit in the outer circle — of the NBA MVP odds.

ANTHONY DAVIS TONIGHT:

36 POINTS
16 REBOUNDS
4 ASSISTS
3 BLOCKS

pic.twitter.com/4dtbWwJqpJ

— NBACentral (@TheDunkCentral) October 23, 2024

Sustaining that top-shelf play will be key, and it’s another good test Friday night, as the Suns roll into town, without one really good option to contain the Lakers’ big man.

Phoenix has its own problems despite beating the Clippers in their opener: turnovers. Even with Tyus Jones in to assume competent point guard duties, Phoenix coughed it up 22 times, hanging on for a 116-113 win.

Those giveaways offset a night where they shot 48.7% from the field, 39.5% from three while dishing out 25 assists.

The Lakers forced 15 turnovers in their win over the Wolves, and combined with 15 offensive rebounds, helped them to take 10 more shots than Minny, covering a woeful 5-for-30 shooting night from 3-point range.

With AD, LeBron, Kevin Durant, Devin Booker and Brad Beal all slated to play, there’s talent galore on the floor, but there’s a reason both these teams aren’t quite elite contenders in the West.

I think the offenses bog down in stretches, and with plenty of AD working inside, it’s not as high scoring as many may predict.

• Suns vs Lakers pick: UNDER 228.5 points (-110)

The post Best NBA Picks & Predictions for Friday, Oct 25 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

After an exciting Week 7 of NFL action, it’s time to look ahead to Week 8. NFL player props for Week 8 will soon be available at sportsbooks, and I’ve identified several promising opportunities.

One of my favorite player props for Week 8 can be found in the Cincinnati vs Philadelphia matchup. I expect Jalen Hurts to have a big day on the ground against the Bengals’ defense. Elsewhere, 49ers’ receiver Juan Jennings lands a favorable matchup against Dallas.

Let’s dive further into the early NFL player props I’m targeting for Week 8.

NFL Week 8 Player Props to Target

Visit the top NFL betting apps so you can bet these lines when they become available.

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards

One of my favorite Week 8 NFL prop bets is the rushing yards total for Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts. The 26-year-old has rushed for at least 20 yards in every game so far, and I expect him to have one of his better days on the ground Sunday.

In the Eagles’ dominant 28-3 victory over the New York Giants in Week 7, Hurts had a relatively quiet game rushing-wise. He carried the ball seven times for 22 yards, scoring a pair of TDs on the ground.

https://twitter.com/NFL/status/1834567890123456789

I forecast Hurts bouncing back and rushing for 40+ yards in Week 8. The Bengals are allowing the most rushing yards to the QB position. Lamar Jackson and Daniel Jones both rushed for 50-plus yards on this NOS defense.

The Bengals vs Eagles matchup has one of the higher totals on the board at 47.5. This means oddsmakers expect plenty of offensive fireworks. Given how stingy Cincinnati has been against the pass, I think we see a healthy amount of designed-run plays for Hurts to cash this over.

• NFL Prop Pick: Jalen Hurts Over 39.5 Rushing Yards

Juan Jennings Receiving Yards

A receiver I’m targeting in the Week 8 NFL player props is San Francisco’s Juan Jennings. While we will need to wait to confirm his injury status, there’s major upside if he plays in Week 8 vs the Dallas Cowboys.

The 49ers are very banged up at the wide receiver position. Brandon Aiyuk suffered a season-ending ACL tear, while Deebo Samuel is battling pneumonia. Jennings is set to grab the WR2 spot while first-round pick Ricky Pearsall acclimates to the pace of the NFL.

Kyle Shanahan has confirmed Brandon Aiyuk has suffered a season-ending ACL and MCL tear.

Prayers up for BA  #IGYB pic.twitter.com/YlDOFqEQYR

— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) October 21, 2024

Jennings exploded the last time he was elevated into this role, racking up 175 yards and three touchdowns on 11 catches in Week 6 vs the Rams. If healthy, Jennings should feast on a miserable Cowboys secondary allowing 7.95 yards per pass.

Brock Purdy’s stock isn’t very high after his three-interception game vs Kansas City. However, this couldn’t be a better matchup for him and the team to get back on track. After watching elite pocket passer Jared Goff torch the Cowboys for 300-plus yards, I’m confident in backing Jennings to put up solid numbers.

• NFL Prop Pick: Juan Jennings Over 54.5 Receiving Yards

Kimani Vidal Rushing Yards

One running back I’m looking at in the early Week 8 NFL player props is LA Chargers’ Kimani Vidal. The rookie’s stock is down right now after LA didn’t involve him much in Monday’s loss to the Cardinals. However, I’m forecasting a solid Week 8 for Vidal.

The youngster only made his NFL debut in Week 6 of this season, when he had four carries for 11 yards, in addition to 40 receiving yards and a TD. The explosive RB is firmly No. 2 on the LAC depth chart behind J.K. Dobbins. He should see more opportunities after Gus Edwards suffered an injury.

Kimani Vidal isn’t giving Gus Edwards the #2 role back – the question is how much he’ll eat into JK Dobbins’ work.

Vidal is a great athlete (4.46 40, 37.5” vertical, 4.15 shuttle, & 18 bench reps – at 5’8”/213).

& had nearly 100 broken tackles last year (94) – 2nd in the NCAA.… pic.twitter.com/vUYhSvVnx7

— David J. Gautieri (@GuruFantasyWrld) October 14, 2024

This is an excellent matchup for Vidal, as the Saints have arguably the NFL’s worst rush defense, allowing 5.56 yards per carry. Dobbins has been relatively inefficient of late, so I wouldn’t be surprised if LA feeds Vidal the rock often, setting up a career day.

Broncos’ Javonte Williams just went for 88 yards and two TDs against the Saints last week, showing how they can be exploited. With the Chargers rushing the ball on nearly 50% of their plays this season and landing a favorable matchup, I like the “over” on Vidal’s rushing prop.

• NFL Prop Pick: Kimani Vidal Over 42.5 Rushing Yards

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Somehow, it’s already Friday, which is huge for all of us for numerous reasons. First off, the weekend is here. We just have to make it through today, which we can do because we’ve done it a million times before. Second, we’ve got so many NFL player props to sift through it’s not even funny. I don’t know about you, but I’m ready.

We’re doing the London game again this week, but unlike last week, we’re skipping this one. I’m going to sleep in and then hit the ground running with the Detroit Lions/Minnesota Vikings matchup. That game looks to be the most fun game on the slate so we have to get loose there. While that’s going on, there’s no rule saying we can’t have action in the Houston Texans/Green Bay Packers game. Lucky for us, I’ve got the perfect move in that matchup.

This could easily be the greatest Sunday of our entire lives.

Week 7 NFL Player Props and Odds

Odds taken October 18 at FanDuel & DraftKings. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering. 

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Jameson Williams Is Disgusting

Betting on receiver props is my favorite way to get down. Anytime we take a guy to go over his yardage total, it could happen in one play. That’s electric. All we have to do is find a guy that’s tough to cover and that’s paired with a quarterback that is halfway decent. Feels easy.

For starters, no one on this planet can cover Jameson Williams. I checked.

.@Lions Jameson Williams is the Motown Comet. Game changer!! Makes this offense nearly impossible to defend #BaldysBreakdowns pic.twitter.com/ydyljfjmci

— Brian Baldinger (@BaldyNFL) October 14, 2024

The issue with taking Jameson Williams every week is the fact that the Detroit Lions’ offense is too good. There are times when they simply run away from the other team because they have so many weapons. If we don’t get Jamo early, we won’t get him. It’s a tale as old as time.

Other times, we’ll see the Lions opt to keep the ball on the ground. That sucks, too, because we need Jamo to catch the ball. Not watch other people run with it. The good news is that the Lions’ opponent this week is perfect for a Jamo splash game.

For starters, the Lions won’t be able to just run the football. The Vikings’ run defense is third-best in the NFL in terms of opponent yards per attempt. The other thing we have going for us is the Vikings’ offense is legit. They should be able to move the ball through the air on the Detroit defense. I’m thinking we have a shootout-type game here.

Either way, all roads lead to Jameson Williams getting loose on Sunday. Feels right.

• The Pick: Jameson Williams 50+ Receiving Yards (+105) – DraftKings

Tank Dell Time

The issue with Jameson Williams is, he’s too good. He’s highly likely to cash his line in the first quarter so we’ll need another receiver in a great situation. That way, when Jamo is done, we can turn to our “other guy”. It makes sense.

Lucky for us, Tank Dell is playing on Sunday.

Tank Dell tormenting DBs pic.twitter.com/Tm1wpojTXe

— JetPack Galileo (@JetPackGalileo) October 15, 2024

Here’s the thing with Tank Dell. We would be betting on him every single weekend, but we can’t because there are just too many mouths to feed in Houston. I get that he has CJ Stroud throwing him balls, but when we consider the fact that Stroud is also throwing balls to Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs, it takes away from Tank.

But as with every NFL season, guys get hurt, and that’s exactly what happened to Nico Collins. The man was cruising along, destroying every defense in his path and then bam, he’s hurt. It sucks, but one man’s injury is another man’s opportunity. Circle of life.

On top of vacated targets, Dell also has the schedule working in his favor. The Texans travel to Green Bay to take on the Packers, which means baby shootout. The Packers’ offense is humming along this season, so Houston will have to hang points on the board, and the best way they can do that is through the air. Bottom line, Tank Dell is catching at least six balls Sunday. Feels right.

• The Pick: Tank Dell 6+ Receptions (+120) – FanDuel
• 2024 SBD Friday Release Results – 7-5 (+3.63 Units)

The post NFL Player Props Week 7 – Sunday’s Best Prop Bets (Oct. 20) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Coming off a successful week, I’m back with more NFL touchdown scorer picks for Week 4. I went 5-5 on my Week 3 NFL TD picks, winning 0.98 units off half-unit bets and bringing my season tally up to +0.72 units. Here’s to keeping that winning going in Week 4!

Even though I do feel some offenses are starting to find their groove, I only have eight anytime TD scorer picks for Week 4, and a couple of them are a little chalkier than I had been betting in previous weeks. But I see a lot of value in these TD predictions. As usual, I am sticking with anytime TD picks instead of dabbling in the first TD scorer market. As I have said in the past, the first TD scorer props are too unpredictable.

Here are the players I am betting to score a touchdown in Week 4.

Best NFL TD Scorer Picks for Week 4

I am betting a half-unit on each of the eight players above, with Zack Moss being the lone exception. I have a full unit on Moss. I also plan on adding a play for the Seahawks at Lions MNF matchup, but just want to get a clearer picture of whether Kenneth Walker III will play or not. Follow me on Twitter/X to see what I go with.

If you are looking for more than NFL TD props, check out our NFL props page, where you’ll find all the passing, rushing, and receiving over/unders for every player.

You’ll find some brief analysis on each of my eight TD picks below:

Malik Nabers

The New York Giants’ offense runs through Malik Nabers. The rookie wide receiver has seen 12 and 18 targets over his last two games, respectively, finding the endzone three times in across those two games. While Devin Singletary may seem like the more obvious play against a Cowboys team who has given up the most rushing TDs in the league and an NFL-worst 5.4 YPC, I don’t think the Giants have the offensive line to push Dallas around the way New Orleans and Baltimore did the past two weeks – I know the Ravens offensive line had played awful the first two weeks, but they did make some changes ahead of Week 3.

With that in mind, I think Brian Daboll will have to be a little more creative in running the ball. We saw Nabers get two carries last week, and wouldn’t be surprised if he got another couple on Thursday night. Though, I do not think Nabers needs those carries to score. I do not think anyone from the Cowboys secondary, and maybe no one in the league, can cover Nabers.

• Pick: Malik Nabers Anytime TD (+137 at bet365)

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Aaron Jones

There’s nothing like a good revenge game! Aaron Jones will travel back to Green Bay for the first time as a member of the opposing team as his Vikings take on the Packers in Week 3. Jones has been a big part of Minnesota’s offense in spite of not being an every-down back. When he has been on the field, the Vikings have used him, though.

Jones has at least 14 touches in all three games and upwards of 24 in their most recent win over the Texans, and has scored a touchdown in two of three games. Facing a Packers defense that has allowed 4.7 YPC (24th), I like Minnesota to keep Jones involved, especially when they get down to the red zone.

• Pick: Aaron Jones Anytime TD (+130 at DraftKings)

Zack Moss

Zack Moss has been the clear leader of the Bengals backfield so far, and though Chase Brown has been very good when given his touches, I don’t think the team believes Brown can handle too big of a workload. So, I’m not concerned with Moss losing touches.

Cincinnati especially leans on Moss in the red zone, and I think they’ll be down there a handful of times against the Panthers in Week 4. Carolina has given up four rushing touchdowns on the ground, the most points in the league, as well as 4.7 YPC.

I was hesitant on betting Moss when I saw his -135 odds at DraftKings, but was able to find +100 at Caesars when shopping.

• Pick: Zack Moss Anytime TD (+100 at Caesars)

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Nico Collins

In my opinion, Houston’s offense is best when the ball is headed Nico Collins’ direction. He’s a big target who is creating lots of separation from his defender, and is also very good after the catch. After being blown out by the Vikings last week, I think Houston unleashes a lot of frustrations on Jacksonville in Week 4.

The result will be plenty of targets for Collins, who has already seen 28 targets through three games, and the Texans not taking their foot off the gas until really late in the game. Collins only has one touchdown to his name this season, but with Joe Mixon likely out, I feel good about Houston being more willing to put the ball in the air when down in the red zone.

• Pick: Nico Collins Anytime TD (+120 at bet365)

Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin has now scored a touchdown in each of the first three games of the 2024-25 NFL season. Yet, we’re still getting +185 odds on him in Week 4 against an Eagles that has been pretty bad against the pass in two of three games.

I’m not sure yet whether Philadelphia shutting down the Saints offense last week was more about them or Derek Carr crumbling. But at +185 odds, I think Godwin is well worth the gamble here. The wide receiver has seen at least eight targets in each game, and he’ll likely see a lot of Avonte Maddox in the slot, which I think is a great matchup for Godwin.

• Pick: Chris Godwin Anytime TD (+185 at DraftKings)

Saquon Barkley

I can’t believe we’re still getting -135 odds on Saquon Barkley to score a touchdown. I think this will be the last week he’s this long, likely moving himself to the -180 range moving forward. So, I’m going to take advantage of the price while it lasts.

Barkley has scored five touchdowns this season and has at least one in two of three games. The Eagles new RB has been the focal point of their offense this season, seeing more than 20 touches in every game. With the potential of both DeVonta Smith and AJ Brown missing their Week 4 matchup with the Bucs, I wouldn’t be surprised if Barkley handles 30+ touches.

With plenty of expected volume and a defense giving up 4.9 YPC, I love Barkley to add at least one more TD to his season total.

• Pick: Saquon Barkley Anytime TD (-135 at DraftKings)

Marvin Harrison Jr

The Marvin Harrison Jr takeover of the Cardinals offense has officially begun. After seeing just three targets in Week 1, MHJ has seen eight and 11 targets over the last two weeks, respectively. All those targets have led to the rookie scoring three TDs in the past two games, and he’s now going to see a Commanders defense that is simply bad.

Washington is allowing 7.7 net passing yards per attempt, the second-worst mark in the league, and they have given up a league-worst nine touchdowns through the air.

I was split between betting James Conner or Marvin Harrison Jr, but the difference in price is what has me leaning MHJ.

• Pick: Marvin Harrison Jr Anytime TD (+120 at bet365)

Derrick Henry

Though I’m not sure if the Ravens offensive line shuffling ahead of Week 3 was the cause for their 274 rushing yards last week, or if that was just the Cowboys defense. Regardless, the Bills defense they will see in Week 4 hasn’t been a whole lot better against the run than Dallas has been. Buffalo is allowing 4.7 YPC this season and they haven’t really had to deal with a team pounding the ball against them since they have typically had big leads each game, outside of the Cardinals game in Week 1.

I like Baltimore to try and control the pace of this game with their offense and keep Josh Allen on the sideline for lengthy stretches. We have already seen Derrick Henry’s carries go from 13, to 18, to 25 over the first three games, respectively. I think the Ravens keep feeding the big back and try to wear down a Buffalo defense who hasn’t been tested in a while.

• Pick: Derrick Henry Anytime TD (-138 at bet365)

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The post NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets for Week 4: Predictions for TD Props appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Thursday Night Football gets another classic AFC East rivalry when the New England Patriots and New York Jets face off tonight at MetLife Stadium. Kickoff is set for 8:15 pm ET.

In their 2023 season finale, the Jets finally ended a fifteen-game losing streak to the Patriots and won’t be keen on letting New England start up a new one. Can Aaron Rodgers & the Jets make it two in a row against New England, or will Jerod Mayo pick up his second win as coach of the Patriots?

Considering how New England loves to eat up the clock and the Jets can’t stop sputtering with the ball, we’re seeing a number of props with low offensive expectations in the Patriots vs Jets odds. That’s why tonight’s four-leg SGP is aiming to take advantage of odds that may have dipped a little too low in our favor.

Patriots vs Jets Same-Game Parlay Picks

After hitting a +783 Bills vs Dolphins SGP last week (under 48.5 points + Tua Tagovailoa under 265.5 passing yards + James Cook anytime TD), I am admittedly going wild with a four-leg play that’s banking on one unproven passing offense to outperform a disappointing pass defense. The total odds for this NFL same-game parlay works out to a massive +1774, where a $100 wager would net a $1,774 profit, but only if all four legs hit.

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Odds as of September 18th at DraftKings. Make sure you’re located in one of the DraftKings legal states before betting on Patriots vs Jets.

Patriots vs Jets SGP Pick #1: Over 38.5 Total Points

Tonight’s first SGP pick was a toss-up between taking the over at -112 and picking the Patriots to cover +6 at -110, which was Sascha Paruk’s top pick in his Patriots vs Jets predictions. I wouldn’t blame anyone for taking the Pats at +6.5 if you can find it at -110!

Instead, I’m leaning towards the over 38.5 total points at -112. That point total is too small of a benchmark to pass up.

Head-to-head, the under has hit in six of the last ten games between the Patriots and Jets dating back to 2019. That includes the three recent paltry totals of 20, 25, and 13 points. If you’ve got your Farmer’s Almanac open, you’ll see that the under is 2-1 since 2015 when Patriots vs Jets happens in September.

However, I feel we can lean more towards recency bias tonight, since the over is 2-1-1 in games involving the Patriots and Jets in 2024.

The under hit in Week 1’s Patriots/Bengals game, where the 3D% was a pedestrian 38.4% and the Bengals kept giving the ball back to a team that held onto it for 34:03 of game clock. The push was last Sunday’s Jets/Titans game, where two offenses trying to forge identities nearly broke 41 points.

Now may be the moment the Jets offense overperforms, with Aaron Rodgers finally in his third game in Gotham green. Meanwhile, the Patriots’ run-heavy offense will be salivating to take a crack at a subpar run defense.

This game won’t be pretty, but both teams will put up more points than you think.

Patriots vs Jets Same-Game Parlay Picks #2 & 3: Rodgers Over 225.5 Alt Pass Yards & Hall Over 4.5 Receptions

It’s a weird feeling to take the over against a Patriots defense. Since this is no longer the Patriots of the 2010s, I’m willing to take a chance.

Yes, they stymied Joe Burrow on the road in Week 1, but could not contain Geno Smith at home in Week 2. It’s a weird pass defense juxtaposition to compare, but I think the win over the Bengals is the outlier.

In contrast, the Pats run defense is solid, meaning the Jets will take to the air, which is great news for Aaron Rodgers.

Against the Patriots & Belichick-esque passing defenses, Rodgers has thrown for 368, 259, and 251 yards. Time to see if he can truly plant that Achilles and throw at a young secondary. In those three games against the Pats, Rodgers routinely targeted eight receivers or more.

Also worth noting is that Rodgers plays well against the zone, while still decent against man coverage. This is why the Belichick-esque defense matters and why we’re pairing it with the “Breece Hall Receptions” parlay.

Breece Hall’s 23.7% Target Share is the highest by a running back two weeks intro the season over the last 4 years

pic.twitter.com/LiqkdK2BFf

— Matty Kiwoom (@MattyKiwoom) September 16, 2024

Last weekend, the Patriots zone coverage was torched by Geno Smith. They mixed their coverage to a 50/50 split between zone and man in the 2nd half and held Seattle to six points.

But that didn’t stop the Seattle passing game, with Smith throwing for 169 pass yards in the first half and 158 in the second. The Patriots stopped the deluge of points, sure, but not yards in the air.

So why does this matter? My theory is that Rodgers demonstrably knows how to adjust against the Pats passing defensive. Yes, Belichick is gone, but “The Patriot Way” vibes for Mayo & Co. aren’t forgotten that easily.

If the Pats start in zone and move to man, Rodgers will instead target guys like Hall and Allen Lazard on short routes. Hall already has games with 5 and 7 receptions; he should get at least 5 more if Rodgers makes the adjustments we’re banking on.

Patriots vs Jets SGP Pick #4: Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime TD

The Patriots are strong on the ground on both sides of the ball, but they’ll eat up the clock on offense by feeding the ball to Rhamondre Stevenson and Antonio Gibson a lot.

With a passing game that hasn’t exactly been electric, Stevenson and Gibson already have a combined 64 rushing attempts in just two weeks, the second-most of any backfield duo in the league.

So who get’s the Pats’ rushing touchdown? We’re going with Stevenson, the feature back who has two TDs in two games and is getting over 70% of the team’s carries. (A Stevenson TD also features in the best Patriots vs Jets player props.)

Last Week’s Results – All three legs hit (Under 48.5 Total Points, Tua Tagovailoa Under 265.5 Pass Yards, James Cook Anytime TD) at +783.

The post Best Patriots vs Jets Same-Game Parlay Picks for TNF Week 3 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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The post Underdog Promo Code SBD: Score $1K Deposit Match Bonus for MLB Picks This Week appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.