MLB Baseball Betting News, Analysis, and Predictions | SBD https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/ Top Sports Betting Sites and Reviews Wed, 30 Oct 2024 15:57:35 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.7.1 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/app/uploads/media/1/favicon.ico MLB Baseball Betting News, Analysis, and Predictions | SBD https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/ 32 32 LA Dodgers vs New York Yankees Game 5 Odds, Predictions & Player Props to Target (Oct 30) https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/la-dodgers-vs-new-york-yankees-game-5-odds-predictions-player-props-target-oct30/ Wed, 30 Oct 2024 15:03:34 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=643171 The Yankees try to stave off elimination for the second straight day in Game 5 on Wednesday against the Dodgers Ace Gerrit Cole is back on the mound for NYY against Jack Flaherty for LAD See the Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees odds, predictions, and player props to target for Game 5 A … Continued

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  • The Yankees try to stave off elimination for the second straight day in Game 5 on Wednesday against the Dodgers
  • Ace Gerrit Cole is back on the mound for NYY against Jack Flaherty for LAD
  • See the Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees odds, predictions, and player props to target for Game 5

  • A massive offensive outpouring salvaged the season for the Pinstripes last night in an 11-4 victory. But, still trailing 3-1 in the 2024 World Series, it will all be for naught if the New York Yankees (94-68, 44-37 home) can’t earn another win over the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 46-35 away) on Wednesday at Yankee Stadium (8:08 pm ET). The pitching matchup for Game 5 is the same as Game 1 – LAD’s Jack Flaherty vs NYY’s Gerrit Cole – and New York is a -155 moneyline favorite to claw another game back.

    Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Game 5 Odds

    Teams Moneyline Runline Total
    LA Dodgers +130 +1.5 (-160) O 8.5 (+100)
    NY Yankees -155 -1.5 (+135) U 8.5 (-120)

    LA comes back as a +130 underdog in Wednesday’s MLB odds. The game total is sitting at 8.5 runs with the under slightly favored at -120.

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    The Yankees overcame an two-run deficit on Tuesday night, courtesy of a record-setting two-run home run LAD’s Freddie Freeman, who has now gone deep in six straight World Series games. (Freeman is priced at +475 to hit another home run in Game 5.)

    Despite the Game 4 setback, the Dodgers remain -925 favorites to win the title in the 2024 World Series odds with the Yankees at +625.

    LAD vs NYY Game 5 Starting Pitchers

    Jack Flaherty vs Gerrit Cole
    20.2 Playoff IP 22.1
    6.10 ERA 2.82
    1.35 WHIP 1.30
    15.7% K% 17.0%

    Both Game 5 starters were solid in Game 1. Jack Flaherty went 5.2 innings, allowing two runs on five hits and a walk with six strikeouts. He actually pitched 5.2 scoreless innings before a two-run home from Giancarlo Stanton in the sixth innings, which was his last batter of the night.

    Gerrit Cole was even better, allowing just one run on four hits over 6.0 IP. The main concern was his lack of swing-and-miss stuff. He recorded just four Ks for the fourth straight time in the postseason and his K% has dropped off from 25.4% in the regular season to just 17.0% in the playoffs.

    Dodgers vs Yankees Game 5 Predictions

    In last night’s bullpen game, the Dodger relievers uncharacteristically imploded. But manager Dave Roberts was careful not to burn too many arms, using just four relief pitchers over eight innings, and not many of his top arms. None of Anthony Banda, Michael Kopech, Blake Treinen, Alex Vesia, or Ryan Brasier pitched on Tuesday.

    In other words, the LAD bullpen is actually in good shape, relatively speaking, for the day after a bullpen game.  The Yankees somehow used more relievers (five) despite getting 4.0 innings out of starter Luis Gil. That came one day after using seven relievers in Monday’s 4-2 setback.

    That means NYY manager Aaron Boone will be wanting some serious length out of Gerrit Cole in Game 5.

    While no one in their right mind would choose Jack Flaherty over Gerrit Cole as their starter, Cole isn’t the same dominant pitcher he was last season. Even in his injury-shortened regular season, his ERA ballooned from 2.63 in 2023 to 3.41 in 2024. His K%, which was over 30% from 2018 to 2022, dropped to 25.4%.

    In essence, Cole gives the Yankees an edge over Flaherty on the mound, but it’s not huge, and if/when this game is turned over to the pens, the Dodgers actually seem to be in better shape.

    LAD vs NYY Game 5 picks:

    • Dodgers moneyline (+130) at ESPN Bet
    • Under 8.5 runs (-118) at DraftKings
    • Cole under 4.5 strikeouts (+125) at ESPN Bet

    The post LA Dodgers vs New York Yankees Game 5 Odds, Predictions & Player Props to Target (Oct 30) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Odds, Predictions & Starting Pitchers (Game 4) https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/los-angeles-dodgers-vs-new-york-yankees-odds-predictions-starting-pitchers-game4/ Tue, 29 Oct 2024 14:39:25 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=642869 The Dodgers can win the 2024 World Series in Game 4 on Tuesday The Yankees turn to rookie Luis Gil in a must-win spot, while the LAD goes with a bullpen game See the Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees odds, predictions, and picks on Oct. 29 After a 4-2 win last night game … Continued

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  • The Dodgers can win the 2024 World Series in Game 4 on Tuesday
  • The Yankees turn to rookie Luis Gil in a must-win spot, while the LAD goes with a bullpen game
  • See the Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees odds, predictions, and picks on Oct. 29

  • After a 4-2 win last night game them a 3-0 stranglehold in the series, the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 46-35 away) can sweep the New York Yankees (94-68, 44-37 home) in Game 4 of the World Series on Tuesday night at Yankee Stadium (8:08 pm ET).

    Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Odds (Game 4)

    Teams Moneyline Runline Total
    Los Angeles Dodgers +125 +1.5 (-160) O 8.5 (-110)
    New York Yankees -150 -1.5 (+135) U 8.5 (-110)

    New York is listed as a -150 moneyline favorite in Tuesday’s MLB odds with LAD coming back as a +125 road underdog. The over/under is currently sitting at 8.5 with -110 odds both ways .

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    Games 2 and 3 both ended with identical 4-2 scorelines in favor of the Dodgers, while Game 1 went to extra innings tied 2-2 before a rash of scoring in the 10th gave LA a 6-3 win.

    Freddie Freeman tied a World Series record last night by homering in his fifth straight WS game. In addition to his homers in Games 1, 2, and 3 of this series, he also went deep for the Atlanta Braves in the Games 5 and 6 of the 2021 World Series.

    Tuesday’s MLB public betting splits show LAD getting the vast majority of moneyline handle: 86% of money is currently on the Dodgers to close out the series tonight. The public is also backing the under to a lesser degree, with 55% of run-total handle on under 8.5.

    LAD vs NYY Starting Pitchers

    The Yankees hand the ball to rookie Luis Gil in Tuesday’s must-win game. Gil finished the regular season as the favorite in the AL Rookie of the Year odds.  Gil has been used sparingly in the postseason, starting just one game (Game 4 against Cleveland in the ALCS). Gil lasted 4.0 innings, allowing two runs on three hits and two walks with three strikeouts.

    Gil made one start against the Dodgers regular season, going 5.2 innings while giving up three runs on five hits and a walk with five Ks in a 6-4 victory.

    LAD Bullpen vs Luis Gil
    68.1 Playoff IP 4.0
    3.16 ERA 4.50
    1.32 WHIP 1.50
    23.1% K% 16.7%

    Instead of handing the ball to his own rookie starter Landon Knack, LA manager Dave Roberts will go with another bullpen game. It’s a strategy that’s largely paid dividends for the Dodgers in the postseason. Los Angeles won Game 4 against the Padres (8-0) using the same strategy, as well as the decisive Game 6 against the Mets (10-5). It didn’t work out in Game 2 against NYM when the Mets earned a 7-3 victory.

    The Dodger bullpen has already accounted for 11.1 IP in the World Series, allowing four runs on 11 hits and seven walks.

    Dodgers vs Yankees Game 4 Prediction

    The Yankee bats have gone ice-cold cold at the wrong time and, despite Shohei Ohtani (shoulder) clearly being much less than 100%, the Dodger lineup is still finding ways to manufacture runs. Plate discipline has been a huge difference-maker throughout the World Series, with the Dodgers drawing 14 walks through the first three games.

    Walks have been Gil’s main weakness in his rookie season, recording a relatively high 12.1% walk rate, which would have been in the top 20 (in a bad way) if Gil qualified for the MLB leaderboard.

    With the Dodgers sitting at plus-money for the second straight game, I’ll gladly back LAD for the second straight game.

    LAD vs NYY picks:

    • Dodgers moneyline (+125) at ESPN Bet
    • Under 8.5 runs (-106) at FanDuel

    The post Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Odds, Predictions & Starting Pitchers (Game 4) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 Predictions, Best Odds & Betting Splits https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/dodgers-vs-yankees-game3-predictions-best-odds-betting-splits/ Mon, 28 Oct 2024 05:58:49 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=642669 The LA Dodgers can take a commanding 3-0 lead on the Yankees in the 2024 World Series tonight Walker Buehler starts for LAD against Cole Schmidt for NYY See the Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 predictions, odds, and betting splits Up 2-0 after holding serve in California, the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 46-35 away) look … Continued

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  • The LA Dodgers can take a commanding 3-0 lead on the Yankees in the 2024 World Series tonight
  • Walker Buehler starts for LAD against Cole Schmidt for NYY
  • See the Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 predictions, odds, and betting splits

  • Up 2-0 after holding serve in California, the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 46-35 away) look to take a 3-0 on the New York Yankees (94-68, 44-37 home) in Game 3 of the best-of-seven World Series tonight at Yankee Stadium (8:08 pm ET). With Clarke Schmidt on the mound for the Pinstripes opposite Walker Buehler for Los Angeles, New York is a modest home avorites in the Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 odds.

    Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 Predictions

    • LA Dodgers moneyline (+135) at ESPN Bet
    • Under 8.5 runs (+105) at Caesars
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    After Game 1’s emotional comeback victory on Freddie Freeman’s walk-off grand slam, the Dodgers largely dominated Game 2, doubling up on the Yankees in both runs (4-2) and hits (8-4) while chasing starter Carlos Rodon after just 3.1 innings.

    While the sight of Walker Buehler on the bump has become panic-inducing for Dodgers fans, the 30-year-old showed signs of regaining his two-time All-Star form last time out. Buehler pitched 4.0 shutout innings in a pivotal Game 3 against the Mets, allowing just three hits and two walks with six strikeouts. He’d only fanned one batter in his previous ten innings.

    The shutout performance lowered his postseason ERA from a ridiculous 10.80 to a still-ugly 6.00. He had a career-worst 5.38 ERA in 75.1 regular-season innings, as well.

    Only three of the Yankee starters have ever faced Buehler before. Juan Soto is 4-for-15 with no extra-base hits and three Ks; Anthony Rizzo is 2-for-9 with a double; and Jazz Chisholm is 3-for-5 with a double.

    The same is true of NYY starter Clarke Schmidt against the Dodger starters: Kike Hernandez is 1-for-7; Teoscar Hernandez is 0-for-3; and Shohei Ohtani is 1-for-3 with a home run.

    Schmidt, who had a stellar 2.85 ERA in 85.1 regular-season innings, hasn’t been nearly as effective in two playoff starts against the Guardians and Royals. He went 4.2 innings in both and allowed two earned runs in both. He has a 1.28 WHIP in those 9.1 IP.

    Buehler is a massive question mark heading into Game 3. But his last outing shows that he still has huge upside, and with the Dodger bats mashing the way they have been over the last eight games, I am hammering LAD at significant plus-money.

    I’m also going to back the under based on the strength of both bullpens, which come into Monday well-rested after a day off on Sunday.

    Best Dodgers vs Yankees Odds for Game 3

    Team Moneyline Runline Total
    Los Angeles Dodgers +135 at ESPN Bet +1.5 (-155) at DraftKings O 8.5 (-120) at bet365
    New York Yankees -146 at FanDuel -1.5 (+140) at BetMGM U 9.0 (-122) at DraftKings

    Odds updated at 5:16 pm ET, Oct. 28. 

    The odds for Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 show a decent range as of Monday morning. The best Dodger moneyline is currently +135 at ESPN Bet (nowhere else as the line longer than +130) while the best price on a Yankee victory is -146 at FanDuel (no other book as NYY longer than -150).

    On the runline, bettors can get LAD +1.5 at -155 at DraftKings, while NYY -1.5 is +140 at BetMGM.

    There isn’t a ton of variety when it comes to the game total. Most books have it at 8.5 with the juice on the over. DraftKings has upped the run total to 9.0 but with -122 odds on the under.

    The Dodgers moved to -417 favorites in the 2024 World Series odds after winning Games 1 and 2. The Yankees are +325 to pull off the comeback and win their first championship since 2009.

    LAD vs NYY Public-Betting Splits (Game 3)

    Team Moneyline ML Handle% ML Bet% Runline RL Handle% RL Bet% Run Total O/U Handle% O/U Bet%
    LA Dodgers +130 52% 25% +1.5 19% 15% O 8.5 70% 69%
    NY Yankees -144 48% 75% -1.5 81% 85% U 8.5 30% 31%

    Monday’s MLB public betting splits show some interesting trends. On the moneyline, the Yankees are getting the vast majority of the bets (75%) but the Dodgers are actually getting slightly more of the money (52%), meaning that the Dodgers are getting significantly bigger wagers.

    The runline shows no such discrepancy. The Yankees are getting 81% of runline handle and 85% of runline tickets as -1.5 favorites.

    The public is also hammering the over. As of 11:15 am ET, 70% of run-total handle and 69% of bets were on over 8.5, despite the juice.

     

    The post Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 Predictions, Best Odds & Betting Splits appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    New York Yankees vs LA Dodgers Game 2 Predictions, Picks & Odds (Oct 26) https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/new-york-yankees-la-dodgers-game-2-predictions-picks-odds-oct-26/ Sat, 26 Oct 2024 13:18:38 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=642380 After a thrilling World Series opener, the Yankees and Dodgers are back at it on Saturday for Game 2. See the latest odds here, plus find out why there's value on targeting LA early in this matchup.

    The post New York Yankees vs LA Dodgers Game 2 Predictions, Picks & Odds (Oct 26) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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  • Los Angeles is a -148 favorite in the Yankees vs Dodgers odds for Game 2 of the World Series on Saturday
  • Carlos Rodon (1-1, 4.40 ERA) takes the ball for New York, while LA counters with Yoshinobu Yamamoto (1-0, 5.11 ERA)
  • Keep reading for the Yankees vs Dodgers Game 2 predictions, picks and odds

  • If Game 1 is any indication, this year’s Fall Classic is going to be one for the ages. Freddie Freeman ended the series opener with the first walk off, extra innings grand slam in World Series history, propelling the Dodgers to a 1-0 series lead over the Yankees. There’s no rest for the weary though, as Game 2 goes tonight in LA. Online sportsbooks dubbed the Dodgers the chalk in the opener, and they’re running it back for Game 2 in the MLB odds.

    Yankees vs Dodgers Game 2 Odds

    Teams Run Line Moneyline Total
    New York Yankees +1.5 (-166) +124 O 8.5 (-120)
    LA Dodgers -1.5 (+140) -148 U 8.5 (+100)

    LA is currently a -148 moneyline favorite in a contest with a total of 8.5. The early betting ticket count favors the Dodgers at a 3-to-1 clip, but the total money wagered thus far is split right down the middle. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08 pm ET at Dodger Stadium, in Los Angeles, CA, with FOX providing the broadcast coverage.

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    Yankees vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers for Game 2

    Game 1 saw both of the team’s starters pitch into the 6th inning, but it would be a shock if that happened again tonight. The Dodgers will give the ball to Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who hasn’t pitched more than 5 innings since returning from injury last month.

    Yamamoto has had an inconsistent postseason, posting a 5.11 ERA in three starts, but looked good in his lone NLCS outing. He struck out eight Mets over 4.1 innings, scattering four hits and yielding one run.

    The 26-year-old faced the Yankees earlier this year, and pitched very well. He held New York scoreless over 7 innings, allowing just two hits, while striking out seven.

    The Yankees lineup as a whole has been disappointing this season, as we’ll discuss, but even if Yamamoto doesn’t last deep into the game, bettors can feel confident relying on the Dodgers bullpen. That unit owns a 5-0 record, with a 3.16 ERA and 83% strand rate in the playoffs.

    Carlos Rodon vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto 2024 Playoff Stats

    1-1 Record 1-0
    4.40 ERA 5.11
    1.12 WHIP 1.22
    2.75 K/BB 2.8

    New York will counter with Carlos Rodon. The lefty was shelled by the Royals in the ALDS, but bounced back nicely versus the Guardians in the ALCS. Last time out, he held Cleveland to two runs over 4.2 innings, striking out six. He’s 1-2 in five career starts versus LA, and has had an issue keeping the ball in the yard.

    In 81 career lifetime at-bats, Dodger hitters are slugging .519 off Rodon, with seven home runs. 12 of their 16 hits have gone for extra bases, and the NL’s most potent lineup during the regular season has been tormenting enemy pitchers all playoffs long.

    Yankees vs Dodgers Prediction

    The Dodgers have smacked 21 home runs and scored 76 times during the postseason. For context, that’s seven more dingers and 30 more runs than New York. They’ve crossed the plate at least six times in six of their last seven games, and their biggest stars are living up their hype.

    Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts and Max Muncy all boast an OPS over .900. Freeman was battling an injured ankle that limited his production leading up to the Fall Classic, but his Game 1 slam proved he’ll be a force to be reckoned with as well. Tommy Edman is hitting .354 from the bottom of the lineup, and that kind of offensive balance has vaulted LA to a -240 favorite in the World Series odds.

    Yankees vs Dodgers World Series Odds

    Teams Odds
    New York Yankees +190
    LA Dodgers -240

    The Yankees meanwhile, need more production from their biggest star. Aaron Judge struck out in each of his first three at-bats in Game 1, lowering his playoff average to .167. He hasn’t had a multi-hit game all postseason, and has whiffed in 44% of his at-bats. Thankfully, Giancarlo Stanton has picked up the slack.

    Stanton homered again in Game 1, marking the fourth straight game he’s done so. He leads the team with six postseason dingers, and is the only Yankee with more than 8 RBI. The 34-year-old has been a one-man show, but his torrid pace simply isn’t sustainable. He’ll need more help from his teammates if New York is going to be competitive in this series.

    As for a Game 2 wager, consider backing the Dodgers in the first 5 innings at -145. LA hit lefties harder than righties this season, posing an MLB-best 121 wRC versus southpaws like Rodon.

    Yamamoto was dominant against the New York bats in their lone meeting, and he’s been incredibly profitable to back in the first 5 innings market. In Yamamoto’s 20 career starts, the Dodgers are 15-4-1 on the first 5 innings moneyline.

    Yankees vs Dodgers pick: LA Dodgers First 5 Innings Moneyline (-145)

     

    The post New York Yankees vs LA Dodgers Game 2 Predictions, Picks & Odds (Oct 26) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 1 Predictions, Best Odds & Betting Splits (Oct 25) https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/yankees-vs-dodgers-game1-predictions-picks-best-odds-betting-splits-oct-25/ Fri, 25 Oct 2024 15:22:28 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=642046 Game 1 of the 2024 World Series goes on Friday with Gerrit Cole and the Yankees facing Jack Flaherty and the Dodgers Gerrit Cole starts for the Yankees opposite Jack Flaherty for the Dodgers See the Yankees vs Dodgers Game 1 predictions, picks, and best odds on Oct 25 The 2024 World Series gets underway … Continued

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  • Game 1 of the 2024 World Series goes on Friday with Gerrit Cole and the Yankees facing Jack Flaherty and the Dodgers
  • Gerrit Cole starts for the Yankees opposite Jack Flaherty for the Dodgers
  • See the Yankees vs Dodgers Game 1 predictions, picks, and best odds on Oct 25

  • The 2024 World Series gets underway on Friday night in LA when the New York Yankees (94-68, 50-31 away) visit the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 52-29 home) at Chavez Ravine at 5:08 pm PT/8:08 pm ET. Despite New York starting ace Gerrit Cole, Los Angeles is priced as a slight favorite in the Yankees vs Dodgers Game 1 odds.

    New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 1 Predictions

    • LA Dodgers moneyline (-125) at BetMGM
    • Over 8.5 runs (-115) at ESPN Bet
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    If Cole was pitching like the 2023 Cy Young-winner he was last season, the odds for this game would likely be reversed. But he’s not. After a solid but not spectacular injury-shortened regular season (3.41 ERA, 1.13 WHIP), Cole has been supremely mediocre in the postseason. While his ERA looks impressive (3.31), he has a 1.53 WHIP and has only recorded 12 strikeouts in 16.1 innings over three starts. His xFIP is a bloated 5.39.

    Flaherty hasn’t been any better. He has an ugly 7.04 ERA and 5.86 xFIP in 15.1 postseason innings to date. His K% in the playoffs is just 11.9%, down from a career-best-tying 29.9% in the regular season.

    Flaherty also has ugly numbers against this group of Yankee hitters. In 54 ABs, they have a .304 average, .944 OPS, and three homers against the 6’4 righty. Anthony Rizzo has all three long balls.

    The main reason I’m siding with the Dodgers in Game 1 is the absolute tear their lineup went on in the NLCS. Yes, the four-day layoff could certainly disrupt their rhythm but Shohei Ohtani and company have scored at least six runs in four straight games.

    They averaged 7.6 runs per game against the Mets and are getting contributions from up and down the lineup. If Ohtani and Mookie Betts don’t get you at the top of the order, Max Muncy and Kike Hernandez have been just as dangerous further down the lineup.

    Best Yankees vs Dodgers Game 1 Odds

    Team Moneyline Runline Total
    New York Yankees +110 at Caesars +1.5 (-180) at ESPN Bet O 8.5 (-115) at BetMGM
    Los Angeles Dodgers -125 at BetMGM -1.5 (+165) at BetMGM U 8.5 (-105) at ESPN Bet

    With nearly five whole days for bettors to get their money down, the Yankees vs Dodgers Game 1 odds don’t have a lot of variety left. Almost every sportsbook has the moneyline at Yankees +110/Dodgers -130. The only exception is BetMGM, where the Yankees are +105 and the Dodgers are a slightly longer -125.

    On the runline, BetMGM also has the best price on the Dodgers, listing LAD -1.5 at +165. ESPN Bet has the best odds on NYY +1.5, pricing the Yankees at -180 to keep the score within a run.

    There is no variation at all in the run total. Every book currently has the over under at 8.5 (O -115/U -105).

    NYY vs LAD Public-Betting Splits

    Team Moneyline ML Handle% ML Bet% Runline RL Handle% RL Bet% Run Total O/U Handle% O/U Bet%
    NY Yankees +110 24% 25% +1.5 12% 15% O 8.5 74% 78%
    LA Dodgers -130 76% 75% -1.5 88% 82% U 8.5 26% 22%

    Friday’s MLB public betting splits show the public heavily leaning to the Dodgers in Game 1. Los Angeles is getting 76% of moneyline handle on 75% of the wagers. The Dodgers are also getting 88% of runline handle to win by multiple runs.

    The public also has a strong lean to the over in Game 1. So far, 74% of O/U handle is on over 8.5 runs. Five of LAD’s six games against the Mets in the NLCS went over 8.5, averaging 10.5 runs per game.

    New York’s series with the Guardians was slightly lower scoring, averaging 9.8 runs over five games.

    The post New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 1 Predictions, Best Odds & Betting Splits (Oct 25) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    Best Yankees vs Dodgers Game 1 Player Props to Target https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/best-yankees-dodgers-game-1-player-props-target/ Fri, 25 Oct 2024 03:56:59 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=642208 Which Yankees and Dodgers should you target in the player props market in Game 1 of the World Series? We break down the odds board and give you our three favorite bets here.

    The post Best Yankees vs Dodgers Game 1 Player Props to Target appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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  • The Yankees and Dodgers clash in Game 1 of the World Series tonight
  • Mookie Betts had seven hits, two home runs, and six RBI in the final three games of the NLCS
  • Keep reading for the best Yankees vs Dodgers Game 1 player props to target

  • Major League Baseball could not have asked for a better World Series matchup. The Yankees and Dodgers will meet for baseball’s ultimate prize, in a battle of the league’s two most prominent franchises. Both New York and LA are littered with star power, with names like Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge, Juan Soto and Mookie Betts headlining their rosters. All four are going to garner plenty of action in tonight’s Game 1 player props market, with Betts standing out as an incredible target.

    Best Yankees vs Dodgers Player Props

    Prop Odds
    Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Total Bases +120
    Jack Flaherty Under 4.5 Strikeouts +115
    Anthony Rizzo Over 0.5 Total Bases -155

    Betts is among the league leaders in both home runs (4) and RBI (12) this postseason, and finished the NLCS on an absolute tear.

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    Yankees vs Dodgers Prop #1: Mookie Betts Total Bases

    In the final three games versus the Mets, Betts produced seven hits in 14 at-bats. Two of those hits left the yard, and five went for extra bases. He’s slashing .295/.404/.659 during the playoffs, recording at least one hit in seven of the past nine games.

    Also working in his favor is his position in the lineup. Betts bats second, directly behind Ohtani, the game’s most dangerous hitter. Pitchers are much more willing to pitch to him than Ohtani, and hitting in the two-hole can often lead to one more at-bat, and one more opportunity, than a player batting in the middle of the order.

    The icing on the cake is that Betts owns Game 1 starter Gerrit Cole. Betts is 7-for-17 (.412) lifetime versus Cole, which is by far the best average of any Dodger.

    • Yankees vs Dodgers Prop Picks: Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120); risk 1 unit at Caesars

    Yankees vs Dodgers Prop #2: Jack Flaherty Strikeouts

    Per the MLB odds, the Game 1 total sits at 8.5. The latest data in the MLB public betting splits shows the over is drawing 80% of the tickets, as bettors believe these two lineups are simply too potent to contain.

    Another reason the over is so popular is the struggles of Jack Flaherty. The 29-year-old has been hit hard in two of his three playoff starts, lasting just 3 innings in his most recent outing.

    Jack Flaherty’s 2024 Playoff Starts

    Opponent IP Hits Runs K BB
    New York Mets 3.0 8 8 0 4
    New York Mets 7.0 2 0 6 2
    San Diego Padres 5.1 5 4 2 1

    Flaherty’s strikeout prop sits at 4.5, a number he’s failed to clear twice already this postseason. His velocity fell to 91.4 mph on his fastball in his most recent start, down 2 mph from his season long average. He struck out only two of the final 36 Mets batters he faced in the NLCS, which amounts to a dismal 5.5% strikeout rate.

    To make matters worse, the Yankees are patient at the plate. Only 10 teams fanned less than New York during the regular season, while the Yankees lead all of MLB in base on ball percentage during the playoffs.

    • Yankees vs Dodgers Prop Picks: Jack Flaherty Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115); risk 1 unit at Caesars

    Yankees vs Dodgers Prop #3: Anthony Rizzo Total Bases

    One of the New York batters who’s had the most success against Flaherty is Anthony Rizzo. The 37-year-old played through two broken fingers in the ALCS, but that didn’t stop him from hitting .429 over the five-game series.

    Rizzo recorded a hit in all but one of the contests, and has had a full week to heal. He’s a lifetime .430 hitter versus Flaherty in 21 at-bats, with a sizzling 1.476 OPS.

    If the Yankees are going to overtake the Dodgers in the World Series odds, they’ll need increased production from players other than Judge, Soto and Giancarlo Stanton. Rizzo is a likely candidate to step up, and a strong bet to exceed 0.5 total bases in Game 1.

    • Yankees vs Dodgers Prop Picks: Anthony Rizzo Over 0.5 Total Bases (-155); risk 1 unit at Caesars

    The post Best Yankees vs Dodgers Game 1 Player Props to Target appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    Yankees vs Dodgers World Series Odds – LAD Opens as Favorites https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/yankees-vs-dodgers-world-series-odds-lad-opens-as-favorites/ Mon, 21 Oct 2024 03:15:14 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=641253 Arguably the two biggest brands in baseball will meet in the 2024 World Series as the New York Yankees face the Los Angeles Dodgers The Dodgers, who have home-field advantage in the best-of-seven series, have opened as favorites in the 2024 World Series odds See the opening Yankees vs Dodgers World Series odds, schedule, and … Continued

    The post Yankees vs Dodgers World Series Odds – LAD Opens as Favorites appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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  • Arguably the two biggest brands in baseball will meet in the 2024 World Series as the New York Yankees face the Los Angeles Dodgers
  • The Dodgers, who have home-field advantage in the best-of-seven series, have opened as favorites in the 2024 World Series odds
  • See the opening Yankees vs Dodgers World Series odds, schedule, and projected starting pitchers

  • The preseason favorites in both the American League and National League will meet in the 2024 Fall Classic. The New York Yankees won the AL Pennant with a 4-1 series victory over the Guardians in the ALCS, while the Los Angeles Dodgers captured the NL Pennant with a 4-2 win over the Mets in the NLCS. Heading into the best-of-seven finale, the Yankees vs Dodgers odds slightly favor LAD winning their eighth championship and second in the last five years.

    Opening Yankees vs Dodgers World Series Odds

    Team Odds to Win Series Total Games
    New York Yankees +115 O 5.5 (-195)
    Los Angeles Dodgers -135 U 5.5 (+155)

    The Dodgers vs Yankees World Series odds list Los Angeles as a -135 favorite with New York at +115 to win its record-extended 28th title.

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    Odds as of Oct. 20 at FanDuel. Claim a FanDuel promo code to bet on the 2024 World Series. 

    The game total has been set at 5.5, as it is for most best-of-seven series. The over is pretty heavily favored at -195, with the under priced at +155.

    The Dodgers opened the season as the World Series favorites, priced at +341 on opening day. New York was the +1000 third-favorite at that point, trailing the Dodgers and the Atlanta Braves.

    NYY vs LAD World Series Schedule

    Game Location Date/Time
    1 Los Angeles Friday, Oct. 25 (TBD pm ET)
    2 Los Angeles Saturday, Oct. 26 (TBD pm ET)
    3 New York Monday, Oct. 28 (TBD pm ET)
    4 New York Tuesday, Oct. 29 (TBD pm ET)
    5 New York Wednesday, Oct. 30 (TBD pm ET)
    6 Los Angeles Friday, Nov. 1 (TBD pm ET)
    7 Los Angeles Saturday, Nov. 2 TBD (pm ET)

    As it has every season since 1924 (save for those impacted by WWII), the World Series will have a 2-3-2 format. The Dodgers will host Games 1 and 2, plus 6 and 7 if necessary. Games 3 and 4, and 5 if necessary, will be played at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx.

    The Dodgers and Yankees split their only two regular-season meetings, both in LA. The Dodgers took the opener 2-1 on June 7 but the Yankees answered back with an 11-3 thrashing the next night.

    Yankees vs Dodgers Projected Starting Pitchers

    Yankees Reg. Seas. Stats Playoff Stats
    Gerrit Cole 3.41 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 95.0 IP 3.31 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 16.1 IP
    Carlos Rodon 3.96 ERA, 1.22, 175.0 IP 4.40 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 14.1 IP
    Clarke Schmidt 2.85 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 85.1 IP 3.86 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 9.1 IP
    Dodgers Reg. Seas. Stats Playoff Stats
    Walker Buehler 5.38 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 75.1 IP 6.00 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 9.0 IP
    Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3.00 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 90.0 IP 5.11 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 12.1 IP
    Jack Flaherty 3.17 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 162.0 IP 7.04 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 15.1 IP

    The Yankees project to have an advantage in starting pitching. Gerrit Cole hasn’t quite regained his 2023 Cy Young form since coming back from injury in late June but he still represents the most-consistent option in either dugout. Cole has a solid 3.31 ERA in the 2024 playoffs but has recorded just 12 Ks in 16.1 postseason.

    For the Dodgers, the glimpse of brilliance from Walker Buehler in Game 4 against the Mets was a welcome sight. Buehler had a hideous 5.38 ERA in 75 innings in the regular season, and he was hammered for six runs on seven hits with no strikeouts over 5.0 innings in his first playoff start against the Padres. But on Wednesday, he pitched 4.0 scoreless innings against the Mets, allowing just three hits and a walk with six Ks.

    The post Yankees vs Dodgers World Series Odds – LAD Opens as Favorites appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    Mets vs Dodgers Game 6 Predictions, Best Odds & Betting Splits (Oct. 20) https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/mets-vs-dodgers-game6-predictions-best-odds-player-props-oct20/ Sun, 20 Oct 2024 15:13:59 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=641195 The Los Angeles Dodgers try to close out the best-of-seven NLCS with the New York Mets on Sunday night The Mets send Sean Manaea to the mound in a must-win Game 6 while the Dodgers will go with a bullpen game See the Mets vs Dodgers Game 6 predictions, player props, and best available odds … Continued

    The post Mets vs Dodgers Game 6 Predictions, Best Odds & Betting Splits (Oct. 20) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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  • The Los Angeles Dodgers try to close out the best-of-seven NLCS with the New York Mets on Sunday night
  • The Mets send Sean Manaea to the mound in a must-win Game 6 while the Dodgers will go with a bullpen game
  • See the Mets vs Dodgers Game 6 predictions, player props, and best available odds on Oct. 20

  • The New York Mets (89-73, 43-38 away) staved off elimination on Friday with a dominant 12-6 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 52-29 home), narrowing the deficit to 3-2 in the best-of-seven series. Sunday, the NLCS shifts back to California for Game 6 at Dodger Stadium at 5:08 pm PT/8:08 pm ET. Sean Manaea toes the rubber for the Mets while the Dodgers will go with another bullpen game.

    New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 6 Predictions

    • Dodgers moneyline (-148) at FanDuel
    • Manaea under 4.5 strikeouts (+102) at FanDuel
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     Sean Manaea has been solid for the Mets in the postseason. In 17.0 innings over three starts, he’s posted a 2.65 ERA with 17 strikeouts and a 1.00 WHIP. But this will be the first time he’s faced the same team twice in the playoffs and, the way the Dodger bats have been mashing in this series, I expect significant regression from the 32-year-old righty.

    In Game 2 against LAD, Manaea allowed three runs (two earned) on two hits and four walks with seven Ks. It was another showcase of LA’s patience at the plate. And facing Manaea for the second time in less than a week, I expect the results to only get better for the Dodgers.

    Knowing he was going with a bullpen game on Sunday, LA manager Dave Roberts only used three pitchers in Friday’s 12-6 setback (starter Jack Flaherty was tagged for eight runs in three innings, while Brett Honeywell allowed four runs in 4.2 innings and Anthony Banda recorded one out). With a day of rest in between, his pen is almost at full strength for Game 6.

    While the LAD relievers were knocked around some in Game 2 (seven runs on 11 hits), they’ve been solid on the whole this postseason (2.94 ERA) and recorded a shutout against the Padres in a must-win Game 4. Roberts won’t go with the same mix against the same hitters this time around, and I expect the results to be significantly better than in Game 2.

    Best Mets vs Dodgers Game 6 Odds

    Team Moneyline Runline Total
    New York Mets +130 at Caesars +1.5 (-150) at bet365 O 8.5 (-105) at BetMGM
    Los Angeles Dodgers -148 at FanDuel -1.5 (+145) at BetMGM U 8.5 (-105) at ESPN Bet

    The best moneyline available on the Dodgers in Sunday morning’s MLB odds is found at FanDuel, where LAD is -148 to win Game 6. The best moneyline price on the Mets is +130, which is available at Caesars, bet365. DraftKings, and ESPN Bet.

    The runline shows some decent variety. Bettors can get LAD -1.5 at +145 at BetMGM, while the Mets +1.5 is as long as -150 at bet365.

    All sportsbooks have the run total at 8.5, and most have the O/U at -110 odds both ways. But under bettors can get -105 odds on under 8.5 at ESPN Bet, while over bettors can get the same price on the over 8.5 at BetMGM.

    After the Yankees (-110) punched their ticket to the Fall Classic last night, the Dodgers (+110) sit second to the Pinstripes in the updated 2024 World Series odds. Heading into Game 6, the Mets are +1000 to win their first World Series since 1986.

    NYM vs LAD Public-Betting Splits

    Team Moneyline ML Handle% ML Bet% Runline RL Handle% RL Bet% Run Total O/U Handle% O/U Bet%
    NY Mets +130 8% 11% +1.5 8% 8% O 8.5 69% 78%
    LA Dodgers -148 92% 89% -1.5 92% 92% U 8.5 31% 22%

    Sunday’s MLB public betting splits show the public absolutely hammering the Dodgers at home in Game 6. As of 11:10 am ET, LAD was getting 92% of moneyline handle on 89% of moneyline wagers. The Dodgers were also getting 92% of runline handle as -1.5 home favorites.

    The total splits were a little narrower but still heavily favored the over: 69% of run-total handle and 78% of tickets were on over 8.5. Only one game in the series to date has stayed under 8.5 (LAD’s 8-0 victory in Game 3) and, altogether, the teams are averaging 11.4 runs per game.

    The post Mets vs Dodgers Game 6 Predictions, Best Odds & Betting Splits (Oct. 20) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    Yankees vs Guardians Game 5 Odds & Predictions https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/yankees-vs-guardians-game-5-odds-predictions-oct19-2024/ Sat, 19 Oct 2024 18:00:21 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=641117 The New York Yankees can punch their ticket to the World Series with a win over Cleveland tonight. See Brady Trettenero's prediction for Game 5 of the ALCS tonight.

    The post Yankees vs Guardians Game 5 Odds & Predictions appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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  • The Yankees are slim favorites over the Guardians to advance to the World Series
  • We are focusing on the total for our Yankees vs Guardians Game 5 prediction
  • Read below for Yankees vs Guardians prediction, odds and starting pitchers for Game 5

  • The New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians clash in Game 5 of the ALCS at Progressive Field on Saturday, October 19, 2024. First pitch is set for 8:08 p.m. ET, with the game broadcast live on TBS.

    The Yankees, holding a commanding 3-1 series lead, are on the brink of their first World Series appearance since 2009. The Guardians, meanwhile, are battling to extend their season in front of their home crowd.

    Let’s dive into our Yankees vs Guardians prediction for Saturday, along with a breakdown of the odds and starting pitchers.

    Yankees vs Guardians Odds

    Team Moneyline Run Line Total Runs
    Yankees -120 -1.5 (+140) Over 7.5 (-112)
    Guardians +100 +1.5 (-160) Under 7.5 (-108)

    The oddsmakers have the Yankees as slight -120 favorites on the moneyline, implying a 54.5% chance of victory. The Guardians are +100 underdogs, with an implied probability of 50%.

    The run line favors the Yankees at -1.5 (+140), while the Guardians are +1.5 (-160). The total runs line is set at 7.5, with the over juiced to -112 and the under at -108.

    Given the offensive firepower on both sides and the betting trends pointing towards a high-scoring game, the over 7.5 runs at -112 looks like the most attractive bet on the board.

     

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    Yankees vs Guardians Game 5 Prediction

    It’s hard not to like the Yankees’ chances of wrapping up the series in Game 5. New York has been the better team throughout, outscoring Cleveland 21-14 and outhitting them .258 to .229. The Yankees’ power has been on full display, with 10 home runs compared to just four for the Guardians.

    Giancarlo Stanton has been the driving force behind the Yankees’ offense, launching three homers in the ALCS and posting a staggering 1.136 OPS. Aaron Judge, who had been relatively quiet, broke out with key home runs in Games 2-3. The Yankees’ big bats appear to be clicking at the right time.

    The Guardians, to their credit, have shown resilience, mounting late-inning comebacks in Games 3 and 4. However, they’ve struggled to consistently generate offense, scoring four runs or fewer in three of the four games. Jose Ramirez, their best hitter, is batting just .188 in the series.

    Looking at the pitching matchup, it’s hard not to like the Yankees’ chances. Carlos Rodon was absolutely brilliant in Game 1, allowing just one run over six innings while striking out nine. On the other hand, Tanner Bibee struggled mightily, giving up three runs in just 1 1/3 innings.

    While I lean New York on the moneyline to wrap this up, the “over” of 7.5 is my best bet. The Guardians are desperate and will be going all out to keep their season alive, while the Yankees’ bats show no signs of slowing down.

    The betting trends further support my Yankees vs Guardians Game 5 prediction. The over has hit in four of the five games played at Progressive Field between these clubs in 2024. Furthermore, Pinnacle, one of the sharper sportsbooks, has bumped this number up to 8.

    ALCS Game 5 Pick:

    • Over 7.5 Runs (-112)

    Starting Pitchers

    The starting pitching matchup features a rematch of Game 1, with left-hander Carlos Rodon taking the ball for the Yankees and right-hander Tanner Bibee getting the nod for the Guardians.

    Rodon
    VS
    Bibee
    16-9 Record 12-8
    3.96 ERA 3.47
    1.22 WHIP 1.12
    9 K, 0 BB in ALCS Game 1 Last Start 3 R, 5 H in 1.1 IP in ALCS Game 1
    4.69 ERA, 104 K in 94 IP Road/Home Splits 4.15 ERA, 99 K in 93 IP

    Rodon has been fantastic for New York all season, posting a 16-9 record with a 3.96 ERA. He was even better in his Game 1 start, allowing just one run over six innings while racking up nine strikeouts. Betting on Rodon to go over 7.5 strikeouts looks like a solid prop bet.

    Bibee, on the other hand, will need to bounce back in a big way after getting shelled in Game 1. The rookie right-hander lasted just 1 1/3 innings, giving up three runs on five hits. If Bibee struggles again, the Guardians will likely turn to their bullpen early, which has been taxed heavily in recent games.

    Yankees vs Guardians Injury Report

    No significant new injuries to report for either team heading into Game 5. The Yankees have managed to overcome the absences of DJ LeMahieu (hip) and Jonathan Loaisiga (shoulder), while the Guardians are relatively healthy but have a fatigued bullpen, with closer Emmanuel Clase showing signs of wear.

     

    The post Yankees vs Guardians Game 5 Odds & Predictions appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Predictions, Picks & Odds (Game 4) https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/new-york-yankees-vs-cleveland-guardians-predictions-picks-odds-game-4/ Fri, 18 Oct 2024 13:21:53 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=640719 After a dramatic Game 3 win to get back into the ALCS, can the Cleveland Guardians even the series up with the New York Yankees in Game 4? We break down the matchup and share our best bet.

    The post New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Predictions, Picks & Odds (Game 4) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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  • The Cleveland Guardians try to even up the ALCS against the New York Yankees in Game 4 Friday
  • New York starts Luis Gil, while the home side counters with Gavin Williams
  • See the Yankees vs Guardians Game 4 odds, predictions, and pick for Oct. 18

  • What a turn of events.

    With the New York Yankees (94-68, 50-31 away) up two runs and one out away from moving to a 3-0 series lead in the American League Championship Series, the Cleveland Guardians (92-69, 50-30 home) rallied with a 2-run HR to push it into extras, before David Fry’s 2-run bomb in the 10th breathed life back into Progressive Field.

    Does that momentum carry over for “Believeland” where they look for a 2-2 tie in a crucial Game 4 tilt?

    The Yankees are still in good shape and should have the pitching advantage with 15-game winner Luis Gil on the bump, going against Gavin Williams, who was just 3-10 for the Guardians in the regular season. That’s a big reason why they’re favored in Friday’s MLB odds.

    Game 4’s first pitch goes at 8:08pm ET , with TBS/truTV/Max carrying the broadcast.

    Yankees vs Guardians Odds (Game 4)

    Team Moneyline Runline Total
    New York Yankees -120 -1.5 (+145) O 7.5 (-118)
    Cleveland Guardians +100 +1.5 (-175) U 7.5 (-102)

    Despite their dramatic comeback, Cleveland is listed as a +100 underdog, with the Yankees priced as -120 road favorites. New York is getting +145 odds to win by at least two runs, with the Guardians at a short -175 to keep it within a run. Every game in the ALCS has been decided by two runs or more.

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    This latest setback hasn’t dimmed the Yankees’ perch at the top of the updated World Series odds, as short as -110 and as long as +140.

    NYY vs CLE Game 4 Starting Pitchers: Luis Gil vs Gavin Williams

    Gil vs Williams
    15-7 Record 3-10
    3.50 ERA 4.86
    3.83 xERA 4.14
    1.19 WHIP 1.37
    26.8% K% 23.8%

    Gil will be making his first postseason start in 2024, as the scheduling quirks of New York’s postseason – a first round bye, plus off days between Games 1 and 2 of the ALDS – kept pushing him off the bump.

    He has not pitched since September 28, and there’s no real way to tell how he’ll look after 18 days off between starts.

    Gil’s last two starts to close out the regular season were rough. He walked three and gave up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings but was carried to a 7-4 win against the A’s in his second-to-last start.

    He was shelled for six earned on six hits and couldn’t get out of the fifth inning in his last start, a 9-4 loss to the Pirates.

    Gil faced Cleveland only once in 2024, lasting only three innings on August 20, giving up three earned runs and walking six in an eventual 9-5 loss.

    It’s been even longer since we’ve seen Williams, who last pitched on September 22, and he’ll get the call in the biggest game of the Guardians’ season.

    It was a forgetful end of year run for the second-year righty, who finished 2-7 in his last eight starts, including Cleveland losing each of his final four appearances.

    He struggled in his lone start against New York on September 22, lasting just four innings, surrendering four hits (including a HR to Aaron Judge), four walks and three earned runs in a 6-0 defeat.

    New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Game 4 Predictions

    If you believe in baseball magic, then there’s some sort of spell brewing after watching that Jhonkensy Noel homer in the bottom of the ninth to quite literally breathe life into what was a near Guardians corpse.

    Then again, New York has yet to drop consecutive games in the postseason.

    These two mirror each other offensively, separated by one run, one home run and .005 between batting averages. Both Cleveland and New York lineups should be able to capitalize on starting pitchers that should feel the weight of this game from the jump.

    Williams has not been good at home, carrying a 6.55 ERA at Progressive, while Gill will be trying to shake off the rust against a team that ranks 10th in the majors in runs scored at home, at 4.7 per contest.

    This should be an exciting one, and like the previous three games, should be enough runs to push this to an Over. The Over is 2-0-1 in the ALCS.

    NYY vs CLE Game 4 pick:

    • Over 7.5 (-118) 

    The post New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Predictions, Picks & Odds (Game 4) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    LA Dodgers vs New York Mets Odds & Predictions for Game 5 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/la-dodgers-new-york-mets-odds-predictions-game-5/ Fri, 18 Oct 2024 13:06:59 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=640733 The Dodgers are one win away from capturing their NL record 25th pennant and advancing to the World Series. Can they close out the Mets on the road in Game 5 on Friday? Find out here.

    The post LA Dodgers vs New York Mets Odds & Predictions for Game 5 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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  • Los Angeles is a -142 moneyline favorite in the Dodgers vs Mets odds for Game 5 of the NLCS on Friday
  • Jack Flaherty (1-1, 2.92 ERA) takes the ball for LA, while New York counters with David Peterson (1-0, 2.08 ERA)
  • See below for the Dodgers vs Mets odds and predictions for Game 5

  • The LA Dodgers are now one win away from capturing their NL record 25th pennant. The Dodgers routed the Mets 10-2 in Game 4 of the NLCS to take a commanding 3-1 lead, and online sportsbooks expect them to punch their ticket to the World Series with another victory in Game 5. First pitch is scheduled for 5:08 pm ET tonight in Queen’s, NY, with LA pegged as the chalk in the latest MLB odds.

    Dodgers vs Mets Game 5 Odds

    Teams Run Line Moneyline Total
    LA Dodgers -1.5 (+124) -142 O 7.5 (-105)
    New York Mets +1.5 (-148) -120 U 7.5 (-115)

    The Dodgers are currently -142 moneyline favorites in a game  with a total of 7.5. Early money has come pouring in on LA, with Dave Roberts’ team drawing 91% of the straight-up bets, and 81% of the handle. Total-wise, the betting action is just as lopsided. 87% of the over/under bets and 86% of the money is expecting the game to exceed 7.5 runs, just like every other contest in this series so far. 

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    Dodgers vs Mets Probable Pitchers for Game 5

    In fact, the Dodgers have eclipsed 7.5 runs on their own in three of the four matchups. If the Mets have any hope of extending this series, they’ll need to shut down the LA bats, and that responsibility falls on David Peterson in Game 5.

    Peterson will make his first start of the postseason after four relief appearances so far in the playoffs. He threw 2.1 innings in New York’s Game 1 loss, and it did not go well. Peterson yielded four hits and three runs to LA, while also issuing a walk. He hadn’t allowed a run in any of his three previous appearances versus the Phillies and Brewers, and was a solid starter during the regular season.

    Jack Flaherty vs David Peterson 2024 Playoff Stats

    1-1 Record 1-0
    2.92 ERA 2.08
    0.81 WHIP 1.38
    3.2 K/BB 1.3

    The southpaw had a 2.90 ERA over 21 starts, but hasn’t pitched more than 3 innings in nearly a month. He threw 40 pitches in Game 1 and there’s an excellent chance he doesn’t go very deep into the game. That will put even more stress on a tired, struggling New York bullpen. Mets relievers were shelled for 7 hits and 5 runs in Game 4, bringing their NLCS ERA to 6.54. They’re averaging 1.74 home runs allowed per 9 innings, to go along with 6.5 walks.

    LA meanwhile, will turn to Game 1 star Jack Flaherty. The 29-year-old threw the game of his life on Sunday, shutting out the Mets over 7 innings. Flaherty scattered only two hits while striking out six. That outing followed up a rough performance in the NLDS against San Diego, where he allowed four runs and two homers in a loss to the Padres.

    Shutting down the New York bats is nothing new to Flaherty. He’s held them to a lifetime .200 average over 90 at-bats, with a 30% strikeout rate. Tonight will mark his seventh career playoff start and eighth appearance, after previous postseason stints with the Orioles and Cardinals.

    Dodgers vs Mets Prediction

    The Dodgers are now -1600 in the NL pennant odds and -130 to win the World Series. Based on their recent play, those championship odds might not be short enough. LA has outscored New York 30-9 in the NLCS, completely neutralizing the Mets lineup. New York batters are slashing a dreadful .205/.308/.288, scoring more than two runs just once. That was in Game 2, when the Dodgers threw a bullpen game.

    Excluding that contest, the Dodgers have allowed only two runs total since Game 3 of the NLDS. With Flaherty back on the hill on regular rest, the outlook doesn’t look promising for the Mets.

    As if the pitching dominance wasn’t enough to propel LA to the championship round, their offense has also been on fire. They’ve smacked six home runs already in the NLCS, getting production from their biggest stars.

    After a quiet start to his postseason career, Shohei Ohtani has come alive. He’s homered in back-to-back games, and scored four times in the Game 4 rout. Mookie Betts also homered in Game 4 and drove in four runs, while Max Muncy has now reached base in 12 straight playoff games, which is a postseason record.

    Teams taking a 3-1 series lead have gone on to advance 85% of the time in postseason history, and we should expect LA to add to that total tonight.

    LAD vs NYM pick: LA Dodgers Moneyline (-142)

     

     

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    Dodgers vs Mets Game 4 Odds, Picks, Predictions & Betting Splits (Oct 17) https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/dodgers-vs-mets-game-4-odds-picks-predictions-betting-splits-oct17/ Thu, 17 Oct 2024 17:40:01 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=640598 The LA Dodgers bring a 2-1 lead into Game 4 of the NLCS against the New York Mets on Thursday Los Angeles starts Yoshinobu Yamamoto on Thursday against New York’s Jose Quintana See the Dodgers vs Mets Game 4 odds, predictions, and public betting splits on Oct. 17 Coming off their second shutout victory of … Continued

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  • The LA Dodgers bring a 2-1 lead into Game 4 of the NLCS against the New York Mets on Thursday
  • Los Angeles starts Yoshinobu Yamamoto on Thursday against New York’s Jose Quintana
  • See the Dodgers vs Mets Game 4 odds, predictions, and public betting splits on Oct. 17

  • Coming off their second shutout victory of the NLCS, the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 46-35 away) look to take a 3-1 stranglehold against the New York Mets (89-73, 46-35 home) in Game 4 on Thursday night at Citi Field (8:08 pm ET). With the red-hot Jose Quintana on the mound, New York is still a slight underdog in Thursday’s Dodgers vs Mets odds.

    Dodgers vs Mets Odds (Game 4)

    Team Moneyline Runline Total
    Los Angeles Dodgers -135 -1.5 (+125) O 7.0 (-120)
    New York Mets +115 +1.5 (-150) U 7.0 (-100)

    The Mets are listed as +115 home underdogs the Thursday’s MLB odds with the Dodgers priced as -135 road favorites. LA is also +125 on the runline to win by two or more, while the Mets are -150 to keep the score within a run. All five of the Dodgers’ postseason wins to date have been by at least two runs.

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    The Dodgers are neck-and-neck with the Yankees at the top of the updated World Series odds, both hovering between +110 and +125. The Yankees hold a 2-0 lead on the Guardians in the ALCS heading into their Game 3 on Thursday night. (See my Yankees vs Guardians picks here.)

    LAD vs NYM Game 4 Starting Pitchers: Yamamoto vs Quintana

    Yamamoto vs Quintana
    7-2 Record 10-10
    3.00 ERA 3.75
    3.44 xERA 4.49
    1.11 WHIP 1.25
    28.5% K% 18.8%

    Jose Quintana has been nothing short of magnificent for the Mets in the playoffs. He’s given up just one unearned run across 11.0 innings in two starts against the Brewers and Phillies, allowing six hits and three walks while striking out 11. His postseason K-rate has jumped to 25.0% from just 18.8% in the regular season.

    The bad news for Mets fans is that the Dodger hitters have absolutely crushed him in his career, and the sample size is big. In 154 ABs, the LAD lineup has a .299 average against Quintana. He has managed to mostly keep the ball in the park, though, givin up just four home runs in those 154 at-bats (one each from Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, Kike Hernandez, and Will Smith).

    Yamamoto made on start against the Mets in his rookie season, and it was very mediocre. He managed to go six full innings, giving up three runs on seven hits and a walk with nine Ks.

    He had a brutal first start in the postseason, getting rocked for five runs on five hits and two walks over just 3.0 innings in a 7-5 Game 1 win over the Padres. But he was much better in the decisive Game 5, allowing just two hits, no walks, and no runs over 5.0 innings, though he only managed a pair of strikeouts.

    LAD vs NYM Public Betting Splits

    Team Moneyline ML Handle% ML Bet% Runline RL Handle% RL Bet% Run Total O/U Handle% O/U Bet%
    LAD -135 89% 81% -1.5 (+125) 79% 85% O 7.0 59% 78%
    NYM +115 11% 19% +1.5 (-150) 21% 15% U 7.0 41% 22%

    Thursday’s MLB public betting splits and money percentages show the vast majority of handle and tickets on the Dodgers to win. As of 1:25 pm ET, 89% of moneyline handle was on LAD to win, leaving just 11% on the Mets. The public also loves the Dodgers -1.5 at plus-money, putting 79% of runline handle on Las Angeles, as well.

    The public was more divided on the run total, slightly favoring over 7.0 (59% of handle).

    Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Game 4 Predictions

    Jose Quintana is a savvy veteran, but it’s hard to foresee his shutout streak continuing against a Dodger lineup that’s long had his number. He hasn’t posted a K-rate over 20.2% in any of the last three seasons, and his 2024 postseason numbers are bound to regress.

    I don’t expect Yamamoto to be perfect, either, but the Mets lineup is certainly less familiar with him, and he generated plenty of swings-and-misses in his first career start against New York. Factor in that the LAD bullpen is vastly outperforming the NYM pen in the postseason (2.75 ERA vs 4.76 ERA) and I am jumping on the Dodger moneyline at -135.

    LAD vs NYM picks:

     

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    Yankees vs Guardians Predictions, Best Odds & Betting Splits for Game 3 (Oct 17) https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/yankees-vs-guardians-predictions-best-odds-betting-splits-game3-oct17/ Thu, 17 Oct 2024 14:50:50 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=640571 Up 2-0 in the best-of-seven ALCS, the New York Yankees can push the Cleveland Guardians to the brink of elimination on Thursday The Yankees send Cole Schmidt to the mound against Cleveland’s Matthew Boyd Below, see the best available Yankees vs Guardians odds plus expert picks and predictions for Game 3 The New York Yankees … Continued

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  • Up 2-0 in the best-of-seven ALCS, the New York Yankees can push the Cleveland Guardians to the brink of elimination on Thursday
  • The Yankees send Cole Schmidt to the mound against Cleveland’s Matthew Boyd
  • Below, see the best available Yankees vs Guardians odds plus expert picks and predictions for Game 3

  • The New York Yankees (94-68, 50-31 away) visit the Cleveland Guardians (92-69, 50-30 home) at Progressive Field in Game 3 of the ALCS on Wednesday evening at 5:08 pm ET. Cole Schmidt toes the rubber for the Yankees as they look to take a 3-0 stranglehold in the best-of-seven while Matthew Boyd starts for the Guardians as they look to gain a toehold in the series.

    New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Game 3 Predictions

    • Guardians moneyline (+105) at ESPN Bet
    • Under 7.5 runs (-124) at FanDuel
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    Not much has gone well for the Guardians in the first 17 innings of this series. They’ve been outscored 11-5 and their supposedly indomitable bullpen has allowed four runs in 12 innings. The good news for the Guardians is that Thursday starter Matthew Boyd has been stellar since returning from Tommy John surgery in August. Boyd put up a 2.72 ERA in 39.2 IP in the regular season, and he hasn’t allowed a run in 6.2 innings in the postseason, allowing just five hits and three walks while racking up 10 Ks.

    Boyd has mediocre numbers against the Yankee lineup. In 33 ABs, they are slashing .242/.405/.455 against the longtime Detroit Tiger. Aaron Judge is 2-for-6 with a home run, five walks, and a 1.470 OPS. But that’s much better than Clarke Schmidt’s numbers against the Cleveland batters: in 38 ABs, they have mashed Schmidt for a .395 average and .925 OPS, though no one has taken him deep.

    While I like the Guardians to get off to a good start against Schmidt, I am also taking the under, largely because of how well the Yankee bullpen has performed in the postseason. In 23.1 IP, New York relievers have a miniscule 0.77 ERA and 2.65 FIP. They have allowed just one home run the entire playoffs.

    Best Yankees vs Guardians Odds for Game 3

    Team Moneyline Runline Total
    New York Yankees -115 at BetMGM -1.5 (+150) at bet635 O 7.0 (-120) at BetMGM
    Cleveland Guardians +105 at ESPN Bet +1.5 (-166) at FanDuel U 7.5 (-124) at FanDuel

    Thursday’s MLB odds show a decent ranges in the Yankees/Guardians moneyline. New York is anywhere from -125 to -115 with BetMGM and Caesars currently offering the longest price on a New York victory. ESPN Bet has the longest odds on a Cleveland win at +105.

    The best odds on Cleveland +1.5 is -166 at FanDuel. Most sportsbooks have the Yankees -1.5 at +150, including bet365, BetMGM, and Caesars.

    The run total ranges from 7.0 to 7.5. Over bettors can get over 7.0 at -120 at BetMGM while under bettors should target under 7.5 at -124 at FanDuel.

    The Yankees (+115) remain the favorites in the World Series odds while the Guardians have faded to +1500.

    NYY vs CLE Public Betting Splits

    Team Moneyline ML Handle% ML Bet% Runline RL Handle% RL Bet% Run Total O/U Handle% O/U Bet%
    NY Yankees -120 82% 83% -1.5 (+150) 85% 82% O 7.5 77% 77%
    CLE Guardians +105 18% 17% +1.5 (-168) 15% 18% U 7.5 23% 23%

    The MLB public betting splits for Game 3 are all over the Yankees. So far, 82% of moneyline handle is on New York to win along with 83% of the moneyline wagers. The runline splits are even more lopsided, with 85% of handle on the Yankees to win by multiple runs.

    With respect to the total, the public heavily leans towards over 7.5. As of 11 am ET, 77% of O/U handle and 77% of O/U wagers were on over 7.5 runs.

    The post Yankees vs Guardians Predictions, Best Odds & Betting Splits for Game 3 (Oct 17) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    LA Dodgers vs New York Mets Predictions, Props & Best Odds for Game 3 (Oct 16) https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/la-dodgers-vs-new-york-mets-predictions-props-best-odds-for-game-3-oct-16/ Wed, 16 Oct 2024 14:19:22 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=640433 Tied at one, the NLCS shifts to the Big Apple for Game 3 between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets Struggling Walker Buehler starts for the Dodgers against Luis Severino for the Mets See the Dodgers vs Mets Game 3 predictions, best odds, and player props to target After a 7-3 win on … Continued

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  • Tied at one, the NLCS shifts to the Big Apple for Game 3 between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets
  • Struggling Walker Buehler starts for the Dodgers against Luis Severino for the Mets
  • See the Dodgers vs Mets Game 3 predictions, best odds, and player props to target

  • After a 7-3 win on Monday in LA, the New York Mets (89-73, 46-35 home) carry the momentum as their best-of-seven NLCS with the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 46-35 away) moves to the Big Apple on Wednesday night for Game 3 at 8:08 pm ET. With Luis Severino on the mound for New York and struggling Walker Buehler for LA, the Dodgers vs Mets Game 3 odds are a virtual pick’em.

    Dodgers vs Mets Predictions & Picks for Game 3

    • Over 7.5 runs (-105) at ESPN Bet
    • Dodgers moneyline (-110) at BetMGM
    • Buehler under 3.5 Ks (+130) at at ESPN Bet
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    My trio of picks project a high-scoring game which the Dodgers win despite another less-than-stellar start from Walker Buehler. Coming back from a hip injury in June, Buehler posted a horrendous 5.38 ERA in 75.1 innings during the regular season. It looked like he’d maybe sorted things out late in September when he allowed just one run over 5.0 innings against the mighty Padres in his final start, but he only fanned one batter in that game. And that concerning trend continued in his first postseason start, when he recorded zero strikeouts over 5.0 innings while allowing six earned runs on seven hits and a walk.

    All told, Buehler had a shockingly low 18.6% K-rate in the regular season. His career average is 26.0%.

    His history against the Mets is mediocre: .263 average, .893 OPS in 80 ABs. Pete Alonso is 5-for-14 (.357) with four homers against Buehler while Jesse Winker has taken him deep twice in 15 at-bats. Francisco Lindor (1-for-2) is the only other Met with a longball off Buehler.

    Coming off a bullpen game and staring down three straight games over the next three days, LA manager Dave Roberts will certainly want some length out of Buehler, but I’m still taking the under on his alt-Ks at +120.

    I’m also going with the Dodgers’ moneyline because I have little confidence in either Luis Severino or the Mets bullpen on Wednesday. Severino has allowed at least three earned runs in five straight starts. He was lucky to post a 3.91 ERA in the regular season with his FIP and xFIP both well over four. His ERA- was just 99, one point below league average.

    After Sean Manaea managed to hold the LA bats in check on Monday, I expect a big bounce-back game from the Dodgers’ deadly lineup.

    Best Dodgers vs Mets Game 3 Odds

    Team Moneyline Runline Total
    Los Angeles Dodgers -110 at BetMGM -1.5 (+150) at BetMGM O 7.5 (-105) at FanDuel
    New York Mets +100 at ESPN Bet +1.5 (-170) at bet365 U 7.5 (-105) at Caesars

    Wednesday’s MLB odds show are hyper-tight for Game 3. The best odds bettors can get on the Dodgers to win are at BetMGM, where both teams are -110 in a true pick’em. The best price on the Mets moneyline is currently at ESPN Bet, where New York is listed at even money (+100).

    Sensically, BetMGM also has the best odds on the Dodgers runline, listing LAD -1.5 at +150. (Caesars also has that price.) The best odds on NYM +1.5 is -170 at bet365.

    All books have the run total at 7.5. The best price on the under is -105 at Caesars and bet365. The best price on over 7.5 is -105 at ESPN Bet and FanDuel.

    Wednesday’s MLB public betting splits once again show the public hammering the Dodgers. LAD is getting 73% of moneyline handle (on just 59% of the wagers) as of 10 am ET. The public loves the over even more than the Dodgers, with 88% of handle and tickets on over 7.5.

    The post LA Dodgers vs New York Mets Predictions, Props & Best Odds for Game 3 (Oct 16) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    Guardians vs Yankees Game 2 Odds, Picks & Predictions (Oct. 15) https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/guardians-vs-yankees-game2-odds-picks-predictions-oct15/ Tue, 15 Oct 2024 16:12:37 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=640150 The Guardians try to even their best-of-seven ALCS with the Yankees on Tuesday night Reigning AL Cy Young-winner Gerrit Cole starts for NYY opposite Tanner Bibee for CLE See the Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees odds, picks, and predictions on Oct. 15 After falling 5-2 in the series opener last night, the Cleveland Guardians … Continued

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  • The Guardians try to even their best-of-seven ALCS with the Yankees on Tuesday night
  • Reigning AL Cy Young-winner Gerrit Cole starts for NYY opposite Tanner Bibee for CLE
  • See the Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees odds, picks, and predictions on Oct. 15

  • After falling 5-2 in the series opener last night, the Cleveland Guardians (92-69, 42-39 away) face a difficult road as they try to even their best-of-seven ALCS with the New York Yankees (94-68, 44-37 home) on Tuesday night at Yankee Stadium (7:38 pm ET). The Yankees send ace Gerrit Cole, the 2023 AL Cy Young-winner, to the mound, coming one off his best start of the year. The Guardians counter with their #1 starter, Tanner Bibee, but the Guardians vs Yankees odds are an extension of the fact that not all aces are created equal.

    Guardians vs Yankees Game 2 Odds

    Team Moneyline Runline Total
    Cleveland Guardians +145 +1.5 (-155) O 7.5 (+115)
    New York Yankees -175 -1.5 (+130) U 7.5 (-135)

    The Yankees are priced as -175 moneyline favorites, giving them a 63.64% implied win probability. The Guardians come back as +145 road underdogs (40.82%) in Tuesday’s MLB odds. Most sportsbooks have the run total at 7.0 but ESPN Bet, which refused to post whole numbers for MLB games, has it at 7.5 with the under favored at -135.

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    The Yankees moved back to the top of the 2024 World Series odds last night following their Game 1 victory (and LAD’s Game 2 loss to the Mets). New York is currently priced as short as +125 to win their first championship since 2009.

    CLE vs NYY Game 2 Starting Pitchers: Bibee vs Cole

    Tanner Bibee vs Gerrit Cole
    12-8 Record 5-0
    3.47 ERA 3.41
    3.80 xERA 3.59
    1.12 WHIP 1.13
    26.3% K% 25.4%

    Bibee has made two starts in the postseason to date, both against the Tigers. He went 4.2 scoreless in the first, allowing just four hits and a walk with six strikeouts. The second was less impressive: two runs on four hits and two walks over 4.0 innings with just three Ks. Cleveland won both games.

    His history against the Yankees is limited, but also concerning. In just 17 ABs, the Yankee lineup has a .353 average and 1.038 OPS against Bibee with three walks and only two strikeouts. Anthony Volpe is the only Yankee hitter to have a home run against Bibee. Aaron Judge has never faced the 25-year-old righty.

    Cole’s track record against the Guardian hitters is stronger, and the sample size is big. In 127 ABs, the Guardian bats have a .236 average and .759 OPS off of the Yankee ace.

    Optimistically for the Guardians, Jose Ramirez is 12-for-34 (.353 average) with a 1.129 OPS, including two homers and three doubles. Josh Naylor is only 6-for-25 (.240 average) but has a team-high three long balls off of Cole.

    CLE vs NYY Public Betting Splits

    Team Moneyline ML Handle% ML Bet% Runline RL Handle% RL Bet% Run Total O/U Handle% O/U Bet%
    Guardians +140 7% 8% +1.5 (-155) 21% 23% O 7.0 65% 66%
    Yankees -167 93% 92% -1.5 (+130) 79% 77% U 7.0 35% 34%

    Roughly five hours before first pitch, the MLB public betting splits were all over the Yankees. The public had placed 93% of moneyline handle on New York to win, and 79% of runline handle on the Yankees to win by multiple runs at plus-money.

    With respect to the run total, the public favored the over, but not so emphatically. As of 11:45 am ET, 65% of run-total handle and 66% of tickets were on over 7.0.

    Guardians vs Yankees Predictions for Game 2

    Cole isn’t on the same level that he was last season (yet) but it also doesn’t take perfection to contain this Cleveland lineup. They managed the sixth-best record in all of baseball while sitting below the median in slugging percentage (.395, 16th), wOBA (.306, 17th), and wRC+ (100, 17th). And the situation hasn’t improved in the postseason, where Cleveland is averaging just 3.5 runs per game and has already been shutout twice.

    At the same time, I don’t have a lot of faith that the Yankees are going to rough up Bibee or the Guardians’ MLB-best bullpen. New York’s stats against Bibee are eye-popping, but he didn’t start against them at all in the regular season. They won’t be facing the same pitcher they saw in early 2023 when Bibee was making just his second career MLB appearance.

    CLE vs NYY Game 2 picks: 

    • Under 7.5 runs (-135) at ESPN Bet
    • Bibee over 12.5 outs recorded (-140) at DraftKings

    The post Guardians vs Yankees Game 2 Odds, Picks & Predictions (Oct. 15) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    Guardians vs Yankees Game 1 Predictions, Best Odds & Picks (Oct. 14) https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/guardians-vs-yankees-game-1-predictions-best-odds-picks-oct-14/ Mon, 14 Oct 2024 17:02:17 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=640063 Alex Cobb and the Guardians visit Carlos Rodón and the Yankees in Game 1 of the ALCS on Monday night NYY went 4-2 against CLE in the regular season and is a big home favorite in Game 1 Below, see the Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Game 1 predictions, best odds, and props to … Continued

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  • Alex Cobb and the Guardians visit Carlos Rodón and the Yankees in Game 1 of the ALCS on Monday night
  • NYY went 4-2 against CLE in the regular season and is a big home favorite in Game 1
  • Below, see the Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Game 1 predictions, best odds, and props to target

  • The two best teams in the American League during the regular season will meet in the 2024 ALCS as the New York Yankees (94-68, 44-37 home) get set to host the Cleveland Guardians (92-69, 42-39 away) in Game 1 of the best-of-seven series on Monday night (7:38 pm ET) at Yankee Stadium.

    Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Game 1 Predictions

    • Guardians +1.5 (-155) at ESPN Bet
    • Under 7.5 (-115) at BetMGM  

    Sascha Paruk’s 2024 MLB playoff betting record: 19-17 (+3.18 units)

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    With Alex Cobb on the mound for Cleveland, Guardians fans have ample reason for concern. Cobb missed almost the entirety of the regular season due to injury and was tagged for two runs on three hits and a walk in just 3.0 innings against the Tigers in his lone postseason start. But his peripherals suggest he’s going to get better results on Monday against the Pinstripes. He had a FIP of 2.83 in that start against the Tigers and his velo was just fine.

    Cobb’s only other playoff experience game over a decade ago with the Rays (2013) when he allowed just two earned runs over 11.2 innings (1.57 ERA) with ten Ks.

    But the main reason I’m backing the Guardians runline along with the under is the Cleveland bullpen. The Guardians led the majors in bullpen ERA (2.57) and FIP (3.30), and though their relievers have looked moderately fallible so far in the postseason, I expect that immensely talented group to keep the Yankee bats in check in Game 1.

    I was tempted to bet the Cleveland moneyline at plus-money (as long as +140) but Rodón has a solid history against the few Guardian batters who have faced him: five hitters have combined for a .210 average and .612 OPS against Rodón, which is mostly comprised of Jose Ramirez’s 10-for-43 performance (.233 avg) with zero home runs.

    And the Yankee bullpen is solid in its own right. Not only did the group finish sixth in the majors with a 3.62 ERA and 11th with a 3.96 FIP, it is also riding an impressive shutout streak entering the ALCS. The New York relievers didn’t allow a single earned run in 16.0 IP against the Royals in the ALDS.

    CLE vs NYY Game 1 Starting Pitchers: Cobb vs Rodón

    Alex Cobb vs Carlos Rodón
    2-1 Record 16-9
    2.76 ERA 3.96
    4.87 xERA 4.14
    1.04 WHIP 1.22
    16.1% K% 26.5%

    Best Guardians vs Yankees Game 1 Odds

    Teams Moneyline Runline Total
    Cleveland Guardians +140 at ESPN Bet +1.5 (-155) at bet365 O 7.5 (-100) at ESPN Bet
    New York Yankees -160 at BetMGM -1.5 (+135) at Caesars U 8.0 (-110) at DraftKings

    The Guardians vs Yankees Game 1 odds show a little variety from book to book. The best Guardians moneyline ranges from +135 to +140, with ESPN Bet, Caesars, and bet365 having the longest odds currently. The best Yankees moneyline is at BetMGM, where they are -160 to win Game 1 straight-up.

    The longest odds on the NYY runline of -1.5 is +135 at both Caesars and BetMGM, while ESPN Bet and bet365 have the best odds on the CLE runline of +1.5 at -155.

    The run total is sitting at 7.5 across the board in Monday’s MLB odds. Most books, including bet365, DraftKings, and ESPN Bet, list over 7.5 at even money. The best price on under 7.5 is -115 at BetMGM.

    The Yankees are currently the second-favorite to the Dodgers in the World Series odds at +185. Cleveland is a +550 longshot to win its first championship since 1948.

    The post Guardians vs Yankees Game 1 Predictions, Best Odds & Picks (Oct. 14) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    Mets vs Dodgers Game 2 Odds, Predictions & Props to Target (Oct 14) https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/mets-vs-dodgers-game2-odds-predictions-props-target-oct-14/ Mon, 14 Oct 2024 15:40:32 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=640016 The New York Mets try to even the 2024 NLCS with the Los Angeles Dodgers in Monday’s Game 2 Sean Manaea starts for the Mets while RP Ryan Brasier will open for the Dodgers Get the Mets vs Dodgers odds, predictions, and props to target on Oct. 14 With their crushing 9-0 victory in Game … Continued

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  • The New York Mets try to even the 2024 NLCS with the Los Angeles Dodgers in Monday’s Game 2
  • Sean Manaea starts for the Mets while RP Ryan Brasier will open for the Dodgers
  • Get the Mets vs Dodgers odds, predictions, and props to target on Oct. 14

  • With their crushing 9-0 victory in Game 1 last night, the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 52-29 home) are now riding a three-game win streak. What’s more impressive is that they haven’t allowed a single run in 33 innings. On Monday, the New York Mets (89-73, 43-38 away) will aim to end that streak and even the best-of-seven NLCS at one game apiece. First pitch is slate for 1:05 pm PT/4:05 pm ET at Dodger Stadium.

    New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 2 Odds

    Team Moneyline Runline Total
    New York Mets +120 +1.5 (-180) O 8.5 (-100)
    LA Dodgers -145 -1.5 (+150) U 8.5 (-120)

    The Mets vs Dodgers Game 2 odds list LA as a -145 home favorites with the Mets coming back as +120 road underdogs. The run total is sitting at 8.5 with the under favored at -120 in Monday’s MLB odds.

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    After their demolition of the Mets in Game 1, the Dodgers improved to +115 in the 2024 World Series odds, well ahead of the second-favorite Yankees (+185). The Mets faded to +700.

    The MLB public betting splits for Game 2 show the public hammering LAD to win. The Dodgers are getting 73% of moneyline handle and 88% of moneyline bets. The public also slightly favors the over, putting 52% of run-total handle on over 8.5.

    NYM vs LAD Game 2 Starting Pitchers: Manaea vs Brasier

    Sean Manaea vs Ryan Brasier
    12-6 Record 1-0
    3.47 ERA 3.54
    3.75 xERA 3.57
    1.08 WHIP 0.96
    24.9% K% 22.7%

    Sean Manaea has been rock-solid in his two postseason starts to date. He’s combined to pitch 12.0 innings against the Brewers and Phillies, allowing three runs on nine hits and two walks with ten Ks. But his previous playoff performances were all a disaster.

    From 2019 to 2022, Manaea made three playoff appearances and had an ERA of 15.26 over 7.2 IP. He doesn’t have good stats against the Dodger hitters, either. In 140 ABs, they have a .286 average and .859 OPS against the 32-year-old lefty, including eight home runs. Mookie Betts has hit him the hardest, going 10-for-32 with three homers, two triples, and two doubles off Manaea.

    In his only regular-season start against LA, Manaea allowed two runs on four hits and three walks over 5.0 innings in a 9-4 Mets victory on April 19. He fanned just three batters.

    Ryan Brasier will pitch the first inning for just the sixth time this season. The right-handed reliever has made three appearances already this postseason, all against the Padres. He pitched 1.2 scoreless in Game 1 and 1.1 scoreless to start Game 4, but he was tagged for two runs (on a two-run homer by Fernando Tatis Jr) in just 0.2 IP of Game 2.

    His history against the Mets lineup is reasonably good, though the sample size is small. In 21 total ABs, he’s limited them to just a .238 average and .749 OPS. But Dave Roberts won’t be asking for more than four or five outs from Brasier, so his track record isn’t nearly as important as Manaea’s.

    The LAD bullpen is in fairly great shape after Game 1. Roberts got seven full shutout innings from starter Jack Flaherty, plus one inning each from Daniel Hudson and lightly-used rookie Ben Casparius. He’ll have almost his full complement of arms available for Monday’s bullpen game.

    Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Game 2

    The LAD shutout streak is too impressive for me to ignore any longer. I backed the Dodger bats in Game 1 and it worked out, but tonight I’m backing the team as a whole.

    The bullpen has accounted for 18 innings in the current shutout streak, including a full nine shutout innings while facing elimination in Game 4 against the Padres.

    Meanwhile, the Dodgers hitters have been averaging 5.5 runs per game in the playoffs and have a great chance to stay hot against Manaea, a pitcher they’ve largely feasted on in the past, and who has a history of postseason struggles, notwithstanding his 2024 performance.

    NYM vs LAD Game 2 picks:

    • Dodgers moneyline (-142 at FanDuel) – 2.0 units
    • Mookie Betts over 0.5 RBI (+175 at ESPN Bet)

    Sascha Paruk’s 2024 MLB playoff betting record: 19-17 (+3.18 units)

    The post Mets vs Dodgers Game 2 Odds, Predictions & Props to Target (Oct 14) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Predictions, Picks & Best Odds for Game 1 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/mets-vs-dodgers-predictions-picks-best-odds-game1-2024/ Sun, 13 Oct 2024 14:56:33 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=639933 Kodai Senga and the New York Mets face Jack Flaherty and the LA Dodgers in Game 1 of the 2024 NLCS on Sunday The Dodgers won the regular-season series 4-2, winning each of the last three meetings Below, see the Mets vs Dodgers predictions, picks, and best odds for Game 1 on Oct. 13 The … Continued

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  • Kodai Senga and the New York Mets face Jack Flaherty and the LA Dodgers in Game 1 of the 2024 NLCS on Sunday
  • The Dodgers won the regular-season series 4-2, winning each of the last three meetings
  • Below, see the Mets vs Dodgers predictions, picks, and best odds for Game 1 on Oct. 13

  • The New York Mets (89-73, 43-38 away) and Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 52-29 home) start the 2024 National League Championship Series on Sunday Night at Dodger Stadium. First pitch for Game 1 is scheduled for 5:15 pm PT/8:15 pm ET. Making just his third appearance of the season, Kodai Senga goes for the Mets opposite Jack Flaherty for the Dodgers.

    New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 1 Predictions

    • Senga under 1.5 Ks (+210) at ESPN Bet
    • Dodgers over 4.5 runs (+105) at FanDuel 

    Sascha Paruk’s 2024 MLB playoff betting record: 17-17 (+0.03 units)

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    Flaherty has been fading in recent weeks. In his last four starts – including a 10-2 Game 2 setback against the Padres in the NLDS – he’s allowed at least three runs and six hits-plus-walks each time out. He has fairly good numbers against the Mets hitters (.231 average, .716 OPS) in 65 ABs, but I don’t trust him enough to bet the Dodgers at a short price. (The LAD moneyline ranges from -160 to -165.)

    I do expect Los Angeles to put up runs, though, and I can’t imagine Mets starter Kodai Senga is going to last long. Senga made just one start in the regular season due to injury, throwing 72 pitchers against the Braves in July. He was on a very low pitch count when he made his second start of the year against the Phillies in the NLDS, throwing just 31 pitchers over 2.0 innings in a 6-2 Game 1 victory. While Senga managed three Ks against Philly, the Dodger hitters have only whiffed five times against him in 21 career ABs (while managing six hits and four walks).

    The Dodger lineup, as a whole, doesn’t strikeout much (21.4%, 11th-best in MLB) and they’ve been on another level the last couple games. As a group, LA only struck out four times in their 8-0 Game 4 win over the Padres, and five times in their 2-0 Game 5 victory. That’s just a 12.9% K-rate in their last 70 plate appearances.

    That, coupled with the likelihood that Senga is on another low (if slightly higher) pitch count is why I’m betting under 1.5 Ks for the Mets starter at a big price.

    Best Mets vs Dodgers Odds for Game 1

    Team Moneyline Runline Total
    New York Mets +136 at FanDuel +1.5 (-155) at ESPN Bet O 8.0 (-114) at FanDuel
    Los Angeles Dodgers -160 at BetMGM -1.5 (+136) at DraftKings U 8.5 (-125) at ESPN Bet

    Sunday’s MLB odds don’t show a ton of variety in the Mets vs Dodgers odds. The best moneyline price on a Dodger victory is currently -160, which is available at BetMGM, Caesars, and ESPN Bet. The best odds on a SU Mets win is +136 at FanDuel and DraftKings.

    Most books have the run total set at 8.0 with the over slightly favored. FanDuel has the best odds on over 8.0 runs at -114. ESPN Bet, which refuses to post run totals without a hook, has the O/U listed at 8.5 with the under favored at -125.

    On the runline, DraftKings has the best odds on LA -1.5 at +136, while ESPN Bet has the best price on NYM +1.5 at -155.

    The Dodgers head into the LCS as +160 favorites in the World Series odds, slightly ahead of the Yankees (+173). The Mets are third-favorites at +408 with the Guardians (+477) bringing up the rear of the four remaining teams.

    The MLB public betting splits show the vast majority of money on LAD to win Game 1. The Dodgers are getting 91% of moneyline handle on 86% of the bets as of 10:30 am ET. The public is more split when it comes to the total, with just 54% of money on the over and 46% on the under.

    The post New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Predictions, Picks & Best Odds for Game 1 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    Tigers vs Guardians Odds, Predictions & Player Props to Target (Game 5) https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/tigers-guardians-odds-predictions-player-props-game-5/ Fri, 11 Oct 2024 20:45:01 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=639745 Can Tarik Skubal lead the Tigers into the ALCS, or will the Guardians pull off the upset? We preview Game 5 of the ALDS here, plus offer our prediction and tell you which player props to target.

    The post Tigers vs Guardians Odds, Predictions & Player Props to Target (Game 5) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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  • Detroit is a -125 moneyline favorite in the Tigers vs Guardians odds for Game 5 of the ALDS on Saturday
  • AL Cy Young-favorite Tarik Skubal (1-0, 0.00 ERA) takes the ball for Detroit, while Cleveland counters with Matthew Boyd (0-0, 0.00 ERA)
  • See the Tigers vs Guardians odds, predictions and player props to target for Game 5, below

  • The MLB playoffs have been dramatic at every turn. On Thursday, it was Cleveland’s turn to summon some late-game heroics. The Guardians rallied to beat the Tigers on the road in Game 4, forcing a series deciding Game 5 on Saturday.

    Despite the scene shifting back to Cleveland, it’s Detroit that’s earning the respect of online sportsbooks in the latest MLB odds.

    Tigers vs Guardians Game 5 Odds

    Teams Run Line Moneyline Total
    Detroit Tigers -1.5 (+154) -125 O 6 (+100)
    Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (-185) -105 U 6 (-120)

    The Tigers are currently -125 moneyline favorites, in a contest with a total of 6. Early betting action is completely one-sided, with Detroit drawing 79% of the moneyline tickets, and 90% of the handle.

    First pitch has been swapped from 8:08 pm ET to 1:08 pm ET due to inclement weather, but the earlier start also allows Cleveland area fans the opportunity to sweat this contest and the Oregon-Ohio State mega tilt later in the evening.

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    Tigers vs Guardians Probable Pitchers

    One of the main reasons Detroit is favored to advance is the pitching matchup. AL Cy Young odds favorite Tarik Skubal takes the ball for the Tigers, and his stellar regular season has carried over to the playoffs.

    Skubal is 1-0 in two postseason starts, and has yet to give up a run. He’s scattered just seven hits and issued one walk in 13 innings, while striking out 14. He pitched a gem in Detroit’s Game 2 victory, shutting out Cleveland over 7 innings. He fanned 8 Guardians, continuing his calendar-long dominance over their lineup.

    Tarik Skubal vs Matthew Boyd 2024 Playoff Stats

    1-0 Record 0-0
    0.00 ERA 0.00
    1.47 FIP 2.31
    0.62 WHIP 1.29
    30.4% K% 26.3%

    Skubal is now 2-0 in three starts versus Cleveland this year, yielding only one run in 14 innings. The Guardians lineup has a lifetime average of .220 against the lefty, with no home runs and only seven extra-base hits.

    Cleveland, meanwhile, will counter with Matthew Boyd. The 33-year-old didn’t allow a run in his Game 2 outing against Detroit, but lasted only 4.2 innings. That marks the fourth straight start he didn’t make it out of the 5th, and another short outing would put a lot of pressure on a tired Guardians bullpen.

    No Cleveland starter has made it through the 5th inning so far in this series, and it will be asking a lot of the Guardians relievers to deliver another 4+ innings of flawless relief work.

    Carpenter’s Status in Doubt

    Cleveland did get some potential good news ahead of Saturday, as the status of Tigers slugger Kerry Carpenter is in doubt. Carpenter was injured in Thursday’s loss, and the team will likely wait until just before game time before determining if he’ll play.

    He was the hero in Game 2, smacking the decisive go-ahead home run. The 27-year-old hit 18 homers in 87 games this season, and was slashing .429/.429/.857 versus the Guardians this season. His potential loss is a devastating blow to Detroit’s chances in the World Series odds, but one they can overcome in this matchup.

    Tigers vs Guardians Player Props to Target

    With Carpenter out or potentially hobbled, Detroit will need other hitters to step up. Matt Vierling is an excellent candidate to do so, especially versus Boyd.

    Vierling hit left-handed pitching much harder than righties this season, to the tune of a .275/.329/.391 slash line. He slugged .455 versus Cleveland hurlers, and sees the ball very well coming out of Boyd’s hand. Vierling drew walks in his only two career plate appearances against Boyd.

    No Tigers vs Guardians player props card is complete without Skubal. He’s -155 to clear 5.5 strikeouts, something he’s easily done in every start this postseason, as well as both of his outings against the Guardians in 2024.

    He boasts a 30.4% strikeout rate in the playoffs, and has fanned members of the Cleveland lineup 22 times in 82 career at-bats.

    • Matt Vierling 1+ Hits (-195)
    • Tarik Skubal Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-155)

    Tigers vs Guardians Prediction

    To make matters worse for the Guardians, Skubal will also be on full rest. Detroit has yet to stretch him out past seven innings this postseason, because they haven’t needed to.

    This game projects to be tight and low scoring, which suggests the Tigers may have to lean on their ace into the later innings. That spells trouble for Cleveland, because they haven’t mustered any offense against Skubal all season.

    • Detroit Tigers Moneyline (-125)

     

    The post Tigers vs Guardians Odds, Predictions & Player Props to Target (Game 5) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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    Padres vs Dodgers Game 5 Predictions, Picks & Best Odds (Oct. 11) https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/mlb/padres-vs-dodgers-game-5-predictions-picks-best-odds-oct-11/ Fri, 11 Oct 2024 15:56:52 +0000 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/?p=639640 The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres in a winner-take-all Game 5 of the NLDS on Friday night Yu Darvish starts for the Padres against Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the Dodgers Below, see the Padres vs Dodgers Game 5 predictions, picks, and best odds on Oct. 11 The Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 52-29 home) … Continued

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  • The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres in a winner-take-all Game 5 of the NLDS on Friday night
  • Yu Darvish starts for the Padres against Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the Dodgers
  • Below, see the Padres vs Dodgers Game 5 predictions, picks, and best odds on Oct. 11

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 52-29 home) managed to stave off elimination with a resounding 8-0 win over the San Diego Padres (93-69, 48-33 away) on Wednesday and now the NL West rivals meet in a decisive Game 5 of the National League Division Series on Friday at Chavez Ravine (5:08 pm PT/8:08 pm ET). The Dodgers are listed as home favorites, ranging from -142 to -150 in Friday’s MLB odds.

    San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers Predictions & Picks

    • Padres moneyline (+125) at ESPN Bet
    • Tatis Jr over 0.5 RBI (+150) at FanDuel

    Sascha Paruk’s 2024 MLB playoff betting record: 17-15 (+2.03 units)

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    The 26-year-old Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been mostly solid in his injury-shortened rookie season, posting a 3.00 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 90.0 innings. His last three starts have been anything but, though. He’s managed just 11.0 innings across the three starts, allowing 11 earned runs on 14 hits and five walks with 11 Ks. The worst of the bunch was his Game 1 start against the Padres, when he was tagged for five runs on five hits over just 3.0 innings with a single strikeout.

    In the regular season, the Padres got to Yamamoto for eight runs on eight hits over 6.0 innings across two starts. San Diego won both games (15-11 in the season opener in Korea, and 8-7 in extra innings in San Diego in April).

    The Padres’ lineup is now mashing a .371 average against Yamamoto and 1.107 OPS. Manny Machado has taken him deep twice, while Fernando Tatis Jr is 3-for-3 with a double and a walk.

    I backed Darvish and the Padres in Game 2 on Sunday largely because of his excellent history against the Dodger hitters, and the 38-year-old delivered. Darvish went seven strong while allowing just three hits, two walks, and one run. The only concerning part was the he only managed three Ks. San Diego ran away with a 10-2 victory.

    Even though Yamamoto logged more innings during his time in Japan, he looks out of gas two months since returning from a shoulder injury.

    SDP vs LAD Game 5 Starting Pitchers: Darvish vs Yamamoto

    Yu Darvish vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto
    7-3 Record 7-2
    3.31 ERA 3.00
    3.64 xERA 3.44
    1.07 WHIP 1.11
    23.6% K% 28.5%

    Best Padres vs Dodgers Game 5 Odds

    Teams Moneyline Runline Total
    San Diego Padres +125 at ESPN Bet +1.5 (-172) at FanDuel O 7.5 (-125) at ESPN Bet
    Los Angeles Dodgers -140 at Caesars -1.5 (+150) at bet365 U 8.0 (-110) at DraftKings

    There isn’t a ton of variations in the Padres vs Dodgers odds at this point but there is a little. The best odds on a Dodger victory can currently be found at Caesars, where LAD is a -140 favorite to win straight-up. The best price on the Padres advancing is +125 at ESPN Bet.

    ESPN Bet also has the best over price, listing over 7.5 at -125. All other sportsbooks have the line at 8.0. Only DraftKings has the O/U at -110 both ways, so that’s the best place to bet the under at the moment.

    Runline bettors will want to hit up bet365 to wager on the Dodgers -1.5 at +150, or FanDuel to bet the Padres +1.5 at -172.

    The MLB public betting splits for Friday show the public hammering the over in Game 5 between the Padres and Dodgers. As of 11:55 am ET, a massive 79% of handle and 80% of wagers was on over 8.0 runs. The first four games in the series have all featured at least eight runs, and have averaged 10.75 RPG.

    The Dodgers head into Friday as the +350 second-favorite in the World Series odds, trailing only the Yankees who punched their ticket to the ALCS last night. The Padres are +550 fourth-favorites.

    The post Padres vs Dodgers Game 5 Predictions, Picks & Best Odds (Oct. 11) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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