LA Dodgers vs New York Mets Predictions, Props & Best Odds for Game 3 (Oct 16)

• Tied at one, the NLCS shifts to the Big Apple for Game 3 between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets
• Struggling Walker Buehler starts for the Dodgers against Luis Severino for the Mets
• See the Dodgers vs Mets Game 3 predictions, best odds, and player props to target

After a 7-3 win on Monday in LA, the New York Mets (89-73, 46-35 home) carry the momentum as their best-of-seven NLCS with the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 46-35 away) moves to the Big Apple on Wednesday night for Game 3 at 8:08 pm ET. With Luis Severino on the mound for New York and struggling Walker Buehler for LA, the Dodgers vs Mets Game 3 odds are a virtual pick’em.

Dodgers vs Mets Predictions & Picks for Game 3

• Over 7.5 runs (-105) at ESPN Bet
• Dodgers moneyline (-110) at BetMGM
• Buehler under 3.5 Ks (+130) at at ESPN Bet

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My trio of picks project a high-scoring game which the Dodgers win despite another less-than-stellar start from Walker Buehler. Coming back from a hip injury in June, Buehler posted a horrendous 5.38 ERA in 75.1 innings during the regular season. It looked like he’d maybe sorted things out late in September when he allowed just one run over 5.0 innings against the mighty Padres in his final start, but he only fanned one batter in that game. And that concerning trend continued in his first postseason start, when he recorded zero strikeouts over 5.0 innings while allowing six earned runs on seven hits and a walk.

All told, Buehler had a shockingly low 18.6% K-rate in the regular season. His career average is 26.0%.

His history against the Mets is mediocre: .263 average, .893 OPS in 80 ABs. Pete Alonso is 5-for-14 (.357) with four homers against Buehler while Jesse Winker has taken him deep twice in 15 at-bats. Francisco Lindor (1-for-2) is the only other Met with a longball off Buehler.

Coming off a bullpen game and staring down three straight games over the next three days, LA manager Dave Roberts will certainly want some length out of Buehler, but I’m still taking the under on his alt-Ks at +120.

I’m also going with the Dodgers’ moneyline because I have little confidence in either Luis Severino or the Mets bullpen on Wednesday. Severino has allowed at least three earned runs in five straight starts. He was lucky to post a 3.91 ERA in the regular season with his FIP and xFIP both well over four. His ERA- was just 99, one point below league average.

After Sean Manaea managed to hold the LA bats in check on Monday, I expect a big bounce-back game from the Dodgers’ deadly lineup.

Best Dodgers vs Mets Game 3 Odds

Wednesday’s MLB odds show are hyper-tight for Game 3. The best odds bettors can get on the Dodgers to win are at BetMGM, where both teams are -110 in a true pick’em. The best price on the Mets moneyline is currently at ESPN Bet, where New York is listed at even money (+100).

Sensically, BetMGM also has the best odds on the Dodgers runline, listing LAD -1.5 at +150. (Caesars also has that price.) The best odds on NYM +1.5 is -170 at bet365.

All books have the run total at 7.5. The best price on the under is -105 at Caesars and bet365. The best price on over 7.5 is -105 at ESPN Bet and FanDuel.

Wednesday’s MLB public betting splits once again show the public hammering the Dodgers. LAD is getting 73% of moneyline handle (on just 59% of the wagers) as of 10 am ET. The public loves the over even more than the Dodgers, with 88% of handle and tickets on over 7.5.